When the New York Yankees hosted the Boston Red Sox for three games in early June, the Sox posted a dominant three-game sweep. On Friday, the Yankees visit Fenway Park for the first time this season to open a weekend set. New York is a slight favorite on the MLB odds.
How to Bet Yankees at Red Sox MLB Odds & TV Info
- When: Friday, 7 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park
- Probable pitchers (away/home): Domingo German/Martin Perez
- TV: MLB Network; MLB Extra Innings
- Stream/gameday audio: https://www.mlb.com/live-stream-games/
Why Bet on New York?
In Thursday’s series finale vs. Kansas City, the Yankees gave third baseman Gia Urshela and shortstop Gleyber Torres the game off, but both are likely to play Friday. Urshela also sat out Wednesday after getting hit in the shin by a pitch on Tuesday night. He remains day-to-day with a contusion. Torres is simply in a funk, 2-for-35 (.057) with 15 strikeouts over his last 10 games.
Should the team be a bit worried about closer Aroldis Chapman? He was untouchable for much of the season but has faded of late. He blew a save Wednesday – ended up getting the win – and over his past seven outings has two blown saves while posting a 11.81 ERA and 3.19 WHIP across 5.1 innings.
It’s Domingo German on the mound here. German (4-4) surrendered four runs over four innings last Saturday in a no-decision against the Athletics. German allowed six hits, including solo shots to Tony Kemp and Matt Chapman in the truncated outing. He generated six strikeouts and only issued two walks. He continues to have issues with home runs.
The 28-year-old righty owns a solid 3.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 63/15 K/BB ratio across 69 innings (13 starts) this season. After registering a 2.35 ERA across nine starts from April 22 to June 6, German has surrendered 11 combined earned runs over 8.1 innings across his past two starts. He will pitch on extended five days’ rest due to Monday’s team off day.
German faced Boston on June 6 and pitched well in a no-decision, surrendering one run on three hits over 5 2/3 innings of work. The only blemish was a solo home run off the bat of Alex Verdugo in the opening inning. He departed with a 3-1 lead and in line for the victory, but the Yankees bullpen was unable to hang on for him.
Why Bet on Boston?
The Red Sox will close out the season’s first half by playing 19 games in 20 days. Tuesday began a stretch of 16 consecutive days with a game, including a West Coast trip. Boston’s longest losing streak of the season is 3 games (3 times). The last two seasons in which Boston never lost more than three straight games were 2013 and 2018 (won World Series both years).The Sox have put versatile infielder Christian Arroyo on the injured list. He suffered a right shin bone bruise during a collision last Sunday in the outfield with teammate Kiké Hernández and hadn’t played since. He can return as early as next Thursday. The 26-year-old had a .756 OPS with four homers and 19 RBI through 41 games this season. Michael Chavis has been called up in a corresponding move.
Arroyo is a good defender, so that will hurt as the Red Sox already lead Major League Baseball with 54 errors and have the second-lowest fielding percentage (.980). They’ve committed at least one error in seven of their last 10 games.
The Red Sox have four players leading the league in errors at their main positions: Rafael Devers at third base (12 errors), Bobby Dalbec at first base (6), Christian Vázquez at catcher (6), and Hunter Renfroe in right field (4).
It’s Martin Perez (5-4) on the mound. Perez picked up the win on Saturday after allowing one run on three hits and two walks over five innings as the Red Sox defeated the Royals 7-1. Perez generated a 38 percent whiff rate on his changeup and 42 percent CSW during the contest to lower his ERA to 4.32 WHIP to 1.40 over 66 2/3 frames.
Perez is 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA (8 ER/34.1 IP) on the road this season. In 2 June road starts, he is 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA (1 ER/12.2 IP) and holding opponents to a .195 AVG. Perez leads the majors in called third strikes this season (37). He hasn’t faced the Yankees this year.
Game Trends
- Yankees are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 18-6 in their last 24 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.
- Over is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings in Boston.
Expert MLB Pick
Red Sox 6, Yankees 5
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