The NASCAR Cup Series season is long, which is why it is so tough for any driver to be great from start to finish.
There tends to be ebbs and flows to the season for every driver, which also means that we see different people occupy the top spot in the driver standings throughout the year.
Sunday NASCAR Favorites | |
| 1. Kyle Larson | 410 points |
| 2. Denny Hamlin | 361 points |
| 4. Martin Truex Jr | 395 points |
| 3. Tyler Reddick | 354 points |
My Analysis
At the end of the day, though, the regular season goal is the same for everyone, which is to finish in the top 16 and make it to the playoffs. Once in, a win or two there can take a driver from the middle of the pack all the way to the top in a heartbeat. It’s still too early to talk about the playoffs, so let’s instead focus on the upcoming race at Darlington, which is the Goodyear 400. This one goes off on Saturday at 3 PM EST, so let’s take a look at the current Cup Series favorites.
^Kyle Larson NASCAR Pick +390
If seasons are indeed made up of ebbs and flows, then you have to say that Larson is in full flow at the moment. Larson is coming off a win in Kansas last weekend, which means he has been in the top 2 in 2 straight races. He has landed on the podium in 4 of the last 6 races, so it is no real surprise that he is atop the driver standings with a 29-point lead. The big question now is whether he can maintain this current form, which is easier said than done. He finished 2nd in Darlington in his championship winning season, but in the 2 years since, he has been a non-factor in this race.
^Denny Hamlin NASCAR Pick +430
Hamlin is another one who seems to be getting hot at the moment, although he has been a little up and down all year. For a while, it seemed to be either win or bust for Hamlin, who has picked up no less than 3 victories already this season. He seems to be settling into a groove now, though, with a win and a 5th place run over his last 2 races. Those off days have had an impact on his point total, but he is still sitting 4th overall. Hamlin has been outside the top 10 in his last 2 attempts at this race, but I think he breaks back into it this weekend.
^Martin Truex Jr. NASCAR Pick +660
We are seeing a common theme with the drivers who are among the favorites for this weekend’s race, as Truex Jr. has also been solid over the past couple of weeks, posting a pair of top 5 finishes. Truex Jr. is staying close to Larson at the top and is currently sitting 2nd overall, which might well change if he can pick up his first win of the season this Sunday in Darlington. His last win on this track came in 2021 and he has been off the pace in the last couple of seasons. He might get back into the top 10 this weekend.
^Tyler Reddick NASCAR Pick +770
Reddick is currently sitting 5th in the driver standings, but he has been somewhat unpredictable to this point in the season, especially in the opening few weeks, when he really struggled. He has picked up a win this year, but he has now had back-to back races outside the top 20. He has, though, landed on the podium in 3 of his last 4 runs in Darlington, so perhaps that bad run ends this weekend.
^MyBookie | Cup Series Picks to Win
NASCAR Cup Series: Goodyear 400 Info
When: Sunday, May 12 at 3:00pm ET
Where: Darlington Raceway
NASCAR this weekend TV Schedule: FS1, MRN, SiriusXM
Practice 1: Saturday, May 11, 10:35 am ET
Qualifying: Saturday, May 11, 11:20 am ET
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2023 NASCAR Goodyear 400
This weekend, the NASCAR Cup Series continues with the Goodyear 400, which will be held in Darlington. Right now, we have a tight race going on in the driver standings, which is happening because the wins have been pretty evenly spread out across several different drivers. If this trend continues, we are going to have a real battle for playoff spots begin to develop, with the standings changing on a weekly basis depending on how the races play out. It is perhaps still a little too early to be talking about playoff spots, so let’s instead focus on the next race up by talking about the current favorites to win in Darlington this coming weekend.
NASCAR Cup Series: Goodyear 400 | NASCAR Lines
When: Sunday, May 14 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: Darlington Raceway
TV / Streaming: FS1
Radio: MRN, SiriusXM
Kyle Larson
NASCAR Odds: +520
Given the nature of his Cup Series win in 2021, the feeling was that Larson might be about to go on a serious run of domination. That has not really panned out, though, as he went out in the Round of 8 last season and is sitting down in 8th in the driver standings this year. Larson has certainly had some off weeks during the course of the current season, but he has also delivered the goods at times, winning 2 races and finishing 2nd in 2 others, so he can never be counted out of contention. He did not perform particularly well at Darlington last season, but he finished 2nd twice on that track in 2021.
Denny Hamlin
NASCAR Odds: +600
For 9 straight seasons, Denny Hamlin has made it into the Cup Series playoffs, and given that he is currently sitting 4th overall in the driver standings, he will almost certainly extend that streak to 10. In fairness, though, it has not been a particularly great start to the season for Hamlin, but he is showing signs of getting into a groove with a win last weekend in Kansas. In his last 4 runs in Darlington, he has a 1st and a 2nd place finish, so there is a real chance he might just nab back-to-back wins.
Martin Truex Jr.
NASCAR Odds: +710
At 42 years of age, you have to wonder just how much gas Truex Jr. has left in the tank. That conversation really started to gain some steam last season, when he missed the playoffs and finished 17th overall. He has responded in fine fashion, though, and comes into this weekend sitting in 3rd overall, thanks in large part to a big win in Dover a couple of weeks back. If we go back a couple of years to the season he finished 2nd, we find that he had a win in Darlington, so let’s not write Truex Jr. off just yet.
Tyler Reddick
NASCAR Odds: +880
It is perhaps a little too early to call this a breakout season for Reddick despite the fact that he is currently in 6th in the driver standings. When you consider that his previous best finish in his first 3 seasons with the Cup Series was 14th, he is certainly ahead of the pace, but there is still a lot of racing to come. His lone win this season came on the road course at the Circuit of the Americas, but he does come into this week on the heels of back-to-back top 10 finishes. He was on the podium twice in Darlington last season, so top 5 seems like a great bet this weekend.
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