The Olympic Games are always in a state of flux, with some events dropping out in favor of newer, more popular sports.
Oftentimes, it takes a long time to get the Olympic Committee to add a new sport into the mix, which was very much the case with surfing.
My Analysis
The sport was officially given the nod to begin in the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games and will return once again in Paris.
We say Paris, but anyone who knows geography will be well aware that there are not a ton of big waves rolling down the Seine.
With that in mind, the surfing events will actually take place more than 10,000 miles away in Tahiti, which could prove to be good news for those of you planning on wagering on surfing, as the location being used is one that we have already seen on the WSL Tour this season.
^Dates and Olympic Surfing Info
Before we get to the odds for the men’s and women’s surfing events, let’s quickly talk about some of the details of the competition.
Between July 27 and August 8, surfing will have 4 specific days of competition.
Judges will look at the run of each surfer, giving points for the difficulty of the tricks, as well as speed, flow, and power.
The top 3 scorers in each event will land the medals.
^^
Men’s Olympic Surfing Odds
As mentioned earlier, the site being used for the Olympic Games is in Tahiti and was part of an earlier event on the WSL Tour.
Specifically, we are talking about Teahupo’o, and you have to wonder if the surfers who performed well at that event will do equally well here.
Surfing fans will be disappointed to learn that Italo Ferreira, who won gold in Tokyo and the event in Tahiti, will not be taking part in these Olympics.
That said, one of the fellow Brazilians taking his place is Gabriel Medina, who is favorite to win the gold medal at odds of +212.
The biggest challenger to Medina, based solely on his performance in Tahiti earlier this year, is John Florence, who lost to Ferreira in the final of that event.
His odds for the Olympic Games are currently at +320. He is closely followed by Jack Robinson at +360, after which there is something of a drop-off in the odds.
Robinson is followed by Kauli Vaast at +710 and Griffin Colapinto at +1075. Based on all of that, it looks like a 3-way battle for the Gold Medal.
Top 3 to Win Medals
- Gabriel Medina +212
- John John Florence +320
- Jack Robinson +360
Women’s Olympic Surfing Odds
If we are to take the earlier event in Tahiti as a potential preview for the Olympic Games, then we may well be in a good spot when it comes time to bet.
All 3 of the female surfers who exceled in Tahiti this year are taking part in the Paris Games. Whether they can repeat and get among the medals, though, remains to be seen.
The three women who looked great in Tahiti earlier in the season were Tatiana Weston-Webb (+690), Brisa Hennessy (+650), and Vahine Fierro (+310), who is in as the favorite to win gold.
Past performance is no guarantee of future success, so you also cannot count out Caroline Marks (+470) and Caitlin Simmers (+630).
Top 3 to Win Medals
- Vahine Fierro +310
- Caroline Marks +470
- Caitlin Simmers +630
Stone cold.
— World Surf League (@wsl) May 31, 2024
Gabriel Medina’s 9.73 drainer. It’s no surprise Gabe has made the semis in seven of nine events he’s surfed at Teahupo’o. He’s made six of those finals, winning twice. Winning this QF matchup against RCal, he’ll face John John Florence in semifinal 2 coming up. Don’t… pic.twitter.com/ktybzDfQIy
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2020 Tokyo Olympics: Sailing and Windsurfing
The sailing and windsurfing competitions at the Olympics begin on July 24 with the Men’s RS:X race. Kiran Badloe of the Netherlands is a big favorite to win gold at -165. Italy’s Mattia Camboni is +500, with Poland’s Piotr Myszka at +640, and France’s Thomas Goyard is +1100. It’s time to take a closer look at our Oymlypics betting update so you can get ready to bet against MyBookies’s Sailing odds and Windsurfing odds.
Sailing and Windsurfing Odds Analysis | 2020 Tokyo Olympics Betting
Windsurfing Betting Odds and Analysis
Badloe won gold in this event at each of the last three World Championships, after taking silver in 2018. He has also taken gold at two of the last three European Championships. The defending Olympic champion, Dorian van Rijsselberghe of the Netherlands, is not competing in Tokyo.
Camboni took silver at the 2021 World Championships and again at the 2021 European Championships. He won this event at the 2018 European Championships and finished 10 at the last Olympics.
Myszka took fourth at the 2016 Olympics, just two points away from a medal. The 35-year-old won gold at the 2010 and 2016 World Championships, with a silver in 2011.
The women’s RS:X is on July 25. China’s Lu Yunxiu is +175 as the favorite, ahead of Netherland’s Lillian De Geus at +225. France’s Charline Picon is +440, and Katy Spychakov is +650. Picon is the defending Olympic champion, but de Geus won at the 2018 World Championships, ahead of Picon and Yunxiu.
At the 2020 RS:X World Championships, de Geus won again, with Picon in second. In April 2021, de Geus defended her title in Cadiz, Spain, with Picon taking third. Yunxiu won at the 2019 Worlds, and Israel’s Katy Spychakov (+650) took second in both 2019 and 2021.
Sailing Betting Odds and Analysis
On the sailing side, the women’s Laser Radial is on July 24, with the Netherlands’ Marit Bouwmeester as the favorite at +195. Denmark’s Anne-Marie Rindom is +250 with Belgium’s Emma Passchaert at +600. Bouwmeester is the defending Olympic champion while Rindom took bronze back in 2016, and Plasschaert beat them both at the 2018 Worlds.
The men’s Laser Radial is on July 25. Australia’s Matthew Wearn is favored at +260, ahead of Germany’s Philipp Buhl at +400. France’s Jean-Baptiste Bernaz is +450, and New Zealand’s Sam Meech is +600. Meech is the only returning medalist among the favorites, having won bronze in 2016.
Sailing continues on July 26 with the first team event, the women’s 49er/FX. Brazil is the favorite at +265, with the Netherlands at +330 and Spain is +415. Brazil won the race on their home course at the 2016 Olympics, ahead of New Zealand and Denmark,
The men’s Finn is on July 27, with Great Britain’s Giles Scott as the favorite at +230. The Netherlands’ Nicholas Heiner is +250, Hungary’s Zsombor Berecz is +400, and New Zealand’s Josh Junior is +425. Scott won the race back at the 2016 Olympics and has four World Championship golds to go with three titles at the European Championships. Berecz won the 2019 World Championships.
The men’s 49er Gold is also on July 27, the first team competition. New Zealand is a large favorite at -290 ahead of Spain at +645 and Great Britain at +780. New Zealand is the defending champion, having edged out Australia and Germany back in 2016.
The last team events are on July 28, with the men’s and women’s 470 gold. In the men’s race, Australia is the favorite at -105, ahead of Spain at +375, and Sweden at +540. Croatia won this race in 2016 ahead of Australia and Greece, but the Croatians didn’t qualify this time around.
France is the favorite on the women’s side at +300 with Great Britain at +325, and the host nation Japan at +350. Great Britain won this race back in 2016 ahead of New Zealand and France.
I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?
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