The weather finally cooperated on Day 4 of the Australian Open and more top seeds went out, following Rafael Nadal out of the first Grand Slam of the season. On the men’s side, No. 2 Casper Ruud lost as did No. 23 Diego Schwartzman. The women’s draw lost No. 8 Daria Kasatkina, No. 9 Veronika Kudermetova, and four other players seeded between 14 and 18.
One storyline to keep an eye on is the early success of American players, especially in the men’s draw. No American male has won a slam since Andy Roddick at the 2001 U.S. Open but eight American men have already secured a 3rd round berth with four others still alive in round two. There are six American women also in the third round, a number that could grow to eight by the end of Day 4.
Let’s take a look at some of the Australian Open Betting Odds for matches currently scheduled for Day 5, including three of the top Americans in action.
2023 Australian Open Predictions & Betting Opportunities for the Week | ATP & WTA Odds & Picks
Frances Tiafoe -114
This is one of two all-seeded matchups in the top section of the draw for Day 5, the section now opened up by the loss from No. 1 Rafael Nadal. Frances Tiafoe is seeded 16 and Karen Khachanov is seeded 18th and both made the semifinals of the 2022 U.S. Open. Khachanov has won both of their previous matchups, on grass at Wimbledon.
Khachanov has never made the second week of the Australian Open, losing in the 3rd round each of the last four years. Tiafoe made a quarterfinals run in 2019 at Melbourne Park, his only time past the second round at this slam.
This match comes down to baseline rallies. Khachanov wants shorter points and Tiafoe, who is among the best-conditioned players on tour, will go for long rallies and a long match. Both will be aggressive but Tiafoe is unbeaten in 2023, including some big United Cup wins, and he’s primed for a big win here.
Danielle Collins +113
American Danielle Collins is the No. 13 seed, and she faces No. 22 Elena Rybakina in the 3rd round match. Collins had to dig deep in her last match to beat Karolina Muchova 7-6 in the third set. She’s had major success at Melbourne Park over her career, with two trips to the semifinals in the last four years and a loss in last year’s final.
Rybakina beat Collins earlier this month in a three-set match at the Adelaide International. They are tied 1-1 in their career head-to-head. Collins can win this match by having success in her return game, as Rybakina had just four aces in her last match and didn’t face a break point against a lesser opponent.
Madison Keys +114
This is a tough matchup for No. 10 Madison Keys, who is 0-3 in her career, against No. 24 Victoria Azarenka. They played a 3-set match in October in Guadalajara, with Azarenka taking the final set 6-1 in the round of 16. The winner of this match will likely face No. 6 Maria Sakkari with a round of 16 berth on the line.
Keys made the semifinals last year at the Australian Open, and she is 5-2 in the 3rd round in her career at Melbourne Park. Azarenka is a two-time Australian Open champion (2012 & 2013) and has won nine straight 3rd round matches at this slam. This match should go three sets on Rod Laver Arena, and Keys is worth a bet as the underdog (+114) to Azarenka’s -150.
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