Unlocking Value at UFC 300: Expert MMA Betting Picks & Odds

Previous Betting News

At the MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas Nevada, on Saturday March 5th, 2016 – Nate Diaz will take on Conor McGregor, as part of UFC 196. Both of these fighters have been performing well as of late, but in this matchup, only one can win. McGregor is a large UFC online betting favorite over at MyBookie.ag in this fight, but let’s take a look at the UFC 196  analysis before we get you a pick for the fight.

UFC 196 Diaz vs McGregor Odds Analysis

A Look at Conor McGregor

Conor McGregor has been doing a much better job of grappling as of late. In his previous fight McGregor made it difficult for opponent Chad Mendes to get him down and punished the wrestler on his way in. He used a variety of angles and stance switches to take good care of him. Diaz is not a fight that will fire for the double and single left takedowns too often.

When on back, McGregor is just average. When McGregor fought Mendes, he was able to do all his moves while he defending a front choke. This time, against Diaz, he will need to tuck his neck into fight off chokes. Nate Diaz is extremely confident and a great fighter on the ground. He is a real submission threat and can switch opponents necks from anywhere. He has jiu-jitsu skill that will help in this fight as well.

Diaz Fight Profile

When it comes to striking, Diaz has a good move with a hip toss, but that’s really it. He will need to connect early and often against McGregor to slow him down. Diaz is a plodder, which makes it tough for him to force a clinch. McGregor has shown that he is very hittable, but with a solid chin. McGregor may not be the traditional type of boxer with the head movements where he bobs and weaves, but his angles set him up nicely for his roundhouse kick.

UFC 196 Pick & Prediction

There are a ton of factors that go into a UFC 196 Prediction. McGregor should be able to use his foot spread and various striking attacks. Diaz has much better length, and is a better grappler. The size advantage goes to Diaz as well, but the fact he must cut weight just before this event has cause for concerns.

There is no doubt Diaz could win this fight, but when push comes to shove, the edge for this fight goes to Conor McGregor. Bet Conor McGregor -440 at MyBookie.ag in UFC 196 on Saturday!

Previous Betting News

UFC 196 has changed its headline bout three times, but that doesn’t matter. There are still a handful of opportunities to cash in on some value-packed UFC 196 bouts. Thanks to this expert UFC betting odds analysis, you’re going to get my top two picks to bring home the bacon when UFC 196 gets underway on Saturday, March 5, live from Las Vegas.

Best Betting Picks for UFC 196: Diaz vs McGregor

UFC 196 Welterweight Bout

Nate Diaz +325
Conor McGregor -450

Analysis: McGregor is 19-2 in 21 career bouts, including his stunning first round featherweight title KO win over Jose Aldo at UFC 194 on December 12. McGregor has won an 15 straight fights coming into his battle against Nate Diaz. 17 of McGregor’s career victories have come by way of knockout, with one win coming via submission and one via decision. McGregor has also been on the wrong end of two submission losses in his career, though his last defeat came way back in 2010.

Nate Diaz is 18-10 in 28 career bouts with 11 of those wins coming by way of submission and four via knockout. The California native specializes in boxing and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.

Fight analysis: Sure, Conor McGregor is the favorite and there’s a reason why he’s won 15 straight fights, but the fact of the matter is that Nate Diaz is one of the best conditioned MMA fighters around. I also don’t believe that Diaz will be suckered into an all-out brawl or emotional mistakes by the trash-talking McGregor. To be beaten, McGregor is going to actually have to beat Diaz. Diaz has won two of his last three bouts and is very experienced having fought veteran MMA stars like Ben Henderson, Rafael dos Anjos, Gray Maynard and Donald Cerrone.

Last but not least, I love Diaz’s height and weight edge. Conor McGregor has had to move up 25 pounds in weight classes for this bout and that could slow him down a bunch against a guy that has fought at welterweight for almost the entirety of his career.

At +325, I believe Nate Diaz is worth a wager, particularly for a veteran that could very well pull off the upset.

Holly Holm vs. Miesha Tate Bantamweight Title Fight

Holly Holm: If you’ve been living under a rock or something, Holly Holm (33-2-3) recently pulled off one of the biggest upsets in recent sporting history by completely annihilating former UFC bantamweight champion Rhonda Rousey in their UFC 193 title bout on November 15 in Melbourne, Australia.

Holm dominated Rousey from the outset before finishing off the former champ with a vicious straight left and kick to the head that shocked the world. Now, Holm will look to do likewise against a talented fighter in Miesha Tate.

Holm is the first person to win world championships in both, boxing and mixed martial arts and has won all 10 of her MMA fights since transitioning to the sport in 2010 with seven wins coming by way of KO and three via decision. Holm is a world class boxer with outstanding striking g skills and has increasingly employed a series of improving kicking techniques.

Miesha Tate: Tate has compiled a fine, 17-5 record in 22 career MMA fights and enters into her title but against Holly Holm riding a four-fight winning streak in which all four wins came via decision.

Prior to her recent winning streak, Tate suffered consecutive losses, the second of which was a third round submission loss (armbar) against Rhonda Rousey at UFC 168 in December of 2013. The attractive-looking Tate holds a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and has excellent wrestling skills that could come into play if she’s able to get Holly Holm on the ground.

Fight Prediction: If you don’t know, Miesha Tate is an excellent fighter with a stupendous set of skills that can challenge any female fighter on the planet, including Rhonda Rousey and Holly Holm.

Tate isn’t nearly as strong as Rousey and the former bantamweight champ was clearly no match for Holm’s smart game plan, superior boxing skills and vicious punching ability. Still, I’m expecting Tate to fight a smart bout and have a legitimate chance for the upset. If Tate can get inside of Holm’s reach and outstanding defense, then she could get in position for a submission. Ultimately however, I’m going with Holly Holm for the decision win, because she’s the champ and a loss here would completely ruin Dana White’s plans for Holm and Rousey to stage their rematch later this year.

The Pick: Holly Holm via Decision

Previous Betting News

It doesn’t matter if you love or loathe Conor McGregor or not, if you’re an MMA betting enthusiast that is looking forward to the quickly approaching UFC 196 card and its value-packed betting opportunities, then you’re in for a real treat! Thanks to this expert UFC lines analysis on the best matchups for UFC 196, you’re going to be well-armed with insightful knowledge that could help you cash in early and often over the course of what looks like an entertaining UFC 196 fight card. With that said, let’s get started.

How To Bet the UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz Odds

UFC 196 Welterweight Championship

Brandon Thatch -305
Siyar Bahadurzada +235

Analysis: Brandon Thatch (11-3) is a solid favorite at -305, but that’s a bit shocking seeing as how Thatch enters this bout riding a two-fight losing streak that both came on by rear naked chokes as he fell to veterans Ben Henderson and Gunnar Nelson.

Siyar Bahadurzada (21-6-1) has also lost his last two fights, though each loss came by way of unanimous decision. The Afghan-born star has the big edge in experience, not to mention the fact that he’s not allowed back into his own country if he loses this fight.

Okay, all jokes aside, I’m thinking Bahadurzada has a great shot for the upset, especially as a value-packed +235 pick.

UFC 196 Women’s Bantamweight Championship

Holly Holm -350
Miesha Tate +265

Analysis: Holly Holm (33-2-3) is coming off one of the biggest upsets in recent sporting memory by completely destroying former UFC bantamweight champion Rhonda Rousey in their UFC 193 title bout on November 15 in Melbourne, Australia. However, I’m going on record right now to say that Holm will have her hands completely full in trying to avoid the ‘upset’ against the experienced and super ‘hot’ Miesha Tate.

Tate (17-5) has won four straight bouts, all via decision, since losing to Rousey on a third round submission at UFC 168 back in December of 2013. More importantly, Tate has the experience and versatility to both void Holm’s fantastic boxing skills and potentially pull off the huge upset as a +265 underdog.

UFC 196 Welterweight Bout

Nate Diaz +325
Conor McGregor -450

Analysis: Last but not least, Conor McGregor looks like an overwhelming favorite to beat veteran Nate Diaz, having won 15 straight fights coming into this match up including his stunning first round TKO (punch) win over Jose Aldo at UFC 194 in December. Seventeen of McGregor’s career victories have come by way of knockout, with one win coming via submission and one via decision.

Veteran Nate Diaz has won two of his last three bouts and took out Michael Johnson via unanimous decision at UFC on Fox: dos Anjos vs. Cerrone in December. Diaz is very experienced having fought many of the best MMA fighters in the world in guys like Ben Henderson, dos Anjos, Gray Maynard and Cerrone.

Two more great reasons to back Diaz for the upset is the fact that he doesn’t like Conor McGregor one iota and he’s a natural welterweight while McGregor is moving up two weight classes for this bout. At +325, I think Diaz may be worth the wager. After seeing Rhonda Rousey get pummeled the last time out, MMA gamblers everywhere should know that, in the sport of mixed martial arts, almost anything is possible!