It doesn’t matter if you love or loathe Conor McGregor or not, if you’re an MMA betting enthusiast that is looking forward to the quickly approaching UFC 196 card and its value-packed betting opportunities, then you’re in for a real treat! Thanks to this expert UFC lines analysis on the best matchups for UFC 196, you’re going to be well-armed with insightful knowledge that could help you cash in early and often over the course of what looks like an entertaining UFC 196 fight card. With that said, let’s get started.
How To Bet the UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz Odds
UFC 196 Welterweight Championship
- Brandon Thatch -305
- Siyar Bahadurzada +235
Analysis: Brandon Thatch (11-3) is a solid favorite at -305, but that’s a bit shocking seeing as how Thatch enters this bout riding a two-fight losing streak that both came on by rear naked chokes as he fell to veterans Ben Henderson and Gunnar Nelson.
Siyar Bahadurzada (21-6-1) has also lost his last two fights, though each loss came by way of unanimous decision. The Afghan-born star has the big edge in experience, not to mention the fact that he’s not allowed back into his own country if he loses this fight.
Okay, all jokes aside, I’m thinking Bahadurzada has a great shot for the upset, especially as a value-packed +235 pick.
UFC 196 Women’s Bantamweight Championship
- Holly Holm -350
- Miesha Tate +265
Analysis: Holly Holm (33-2-3) is coming off one of the biggest upsets in recent sporting memory by completely destroying former UFC bantamweight champion Rhonda Rousey in their UFC 193 title bout on November 15 in Melbourne, Australia. However, I’m going on record right now to say that Holm will have her hands completely full in trying to avoid the ‘upset’ against the experienced and super ‘hot’ Miesha Tate.
Tate (17-5) has won four straight bouts, all via decision, since losing to Rousey on a third round submission at UFC 168 back in December of 2013. More importantly, Tate has the experience and versatility to both void Holm’s fantastic boxing skills and potentially pull off the huge upset as a +265 underdog.
UFC 196 Welterweight Bout
- Nate Diaz +325
- Conor McGregor -450
Analysis: Last but not least, Conor McGregor looks like an overwhelming favorite to beat veteran Nate Diaz, having won 15 straight fights coming into this match up including his stunning first round TKO (punch) win over Jose Aldo at UFC 194 in December. Seventeen of McGregor’s career victories have come by way of knockout, with one win coming via submission and one via decision.
Veteran Nate Diaz has won two of his last three bouts and took out Michael Johnson via unanimous decision at UFC on Fox: dos Anjos vs. Cerrone in December. Diaz is very experienced having fought many of the best MMA fighters in the world in guys like Ben Henderson, dos Anjos, Gray Maynard and Cerrone.
Two more great reasons to back Diaz for the upset is the fact that he doesn’t like Conor McGregor one iota and he’s a natural welterweight while McGregor is moving up two weight classes for this bout. At +325, I think Diaz may be worth the wager. After seeing Rhonda Rousey get pummeled the last time out, MMA gamblers everywhere should know that, in the sport of mixed martial arts, almost anything is possible!