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UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya Betting odds for all the bouts

UFC 305 Plessis vs Adesanya 2: Your Guide to Winning UFC Betting Lines

 

The highly anticipated rematch between Dricus du Plessis and Israel Adesanya is set to headline UFC 305. With both fighters looking to secure a decisive victory, bettors have a fantastic opportunity to cash in on some exciting online UFC betting lines.

 

UFC 305 Betting Odds for the Du Plessis vs Adesanya Bout
Can You Predict the Outcome? Break Down the Du Plessis vs. Adesanya Matchup with MyBookie

UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya
August 18th, 2024, 2024 | ABC/ESPN+
RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

 

Betting UFC on ESPN: Du Plessis vs Adesanya

UFC Middleweight Champion Dricus Du Plessis steps into the Octagon at RAC Arena in Perth, Australia on Saturday night to take on a living legend.

Israel Adesanya says he’s ready to end Du Plessis’ reign.

Top undercard bouts include Steve Erceg versus Kai Kara-France and Mateusz Gamrot versus Dan Hooker.

Check out UFC odds, analysis, and picks for the main card bouts at UFC 305.

 

Writer’s Picks for UFC 305 Bouts

Li Jingliang +280 vs Carlos Prates -380

Jingliang has lost 3 of his last 5 bouts.

1 of the losses was versus Khamzat Chimaev, the best mixed martial artist on the planet.

So we can’t hold that one against him.

Not only that, but Jingliang’s last loss, to Darien Rodriguez, came via split decision.

Carlos Prates hasn’t suffered a defeat since 2019.

The favorite is on a 9-match winning streak.

But Prates hasn’t come close to beating anybody as good as Jingliang.

Give the dog a shot.

UFC 305 Pick: Li Jingliang


 

Tai Tuivasa +180 vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik -220

Tuivasa versus Rozenstruik should be an action packed bout.

Tai is on a 4-match losing streak, the first two losses came via knockout and the last two happened via submission, which explains why he’s the +180 underdog.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik has won 2-of-3 but beating Tuivasa will be difficult.

Tai has zero ground game.

Rozenstruik’s isn’t great.

The one that lands the best stand up punches gets it done.

The chalk should be that fighter.

UFC 305 Pick: Jairzinho Rozenstruik  


 

Mateusz Gamrot -350 vs Dan Hooker +265

Dan Hooker, the +265 underdog in this is on a 2-match winning streak.

Also, Hooker is 11-3 via TKO/KO and 7-3 via submission victories.

Hooker will give it his all for sure.

However, even at his best, Hooker would find it difficult to beat Mateusz Gamrot.

The favorite boasts a 24-2 record and is undefeated via TKO/KO and submission wins.

There’s only so much Hooker can do.

This fight should end well before the final bell.

UFC 305 Pick: Mateusz Gamrot  


 

Kai Kara-France +135 vs Steve Erceg -160

The odds suggest a close fight.

The underdog, Kai Kara-France, is on a 2-match losing streak.

1 of the losses, his last, came via split decision and the other was against Brandon Moreno in a title match.

Steve Erceg lost his last via unanimous decision to champ Alexandre Pantoja.

Erceg has a terrific ground game and will be fighting in front of his country people in this.

Give Erceg the nod.

UFC 305 Pick: Steve Erceg  

 


 

Dricus Du Plessis -105 vs Israel Adesanya -115

UFC Middleweight Title

So far UFC betting fans are siding with Adesanya.

There isn’t a dramatic difference between the money landing on Du Plessis and the dollars landing on Adesanya but it’s enough to make Israel the favorite.

Based on recent form, Adesanya has a shot.

He knocked out Alex Pereira in a rematch after a loss and fell to Steve Strickland via unanimous decision.

Du Plessis beat Strickland via split decision.

Also, Israel is 3 inches taller and has a 4 inches reach advantage.

Follow the money in this bout.

Back Israel Adesanya to ascend to the middleweight mountain once again.

UFC 305 Pick: Israel Adesanya  


 

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UFC 205 Main Card Betting Predictions
 

Previous Betting News

We will have a new president elected by the time Saturday night rolls around, and there is also a chance that we may see a few Championship belts change hands by the time UFC 205 event at Madison Square Garden in New York ends. The Alvarez versus McGregor fight is the one that everyone is waiting for, but there are several great bouts on the undercard. Let’s look at what’s on tap for Saturday night, and make some online betting predictions as we go.

In Depth Analysis On The UFC 205 Main Card Betting Predictions

Tyron Woodley (c) vs. Stephen Thompson

Tyron Woodley is coming in as the current champion in the Welterweight division after a surprising win over Robbie Lawler earlier in the year. His first defense figures to be a tough one, as he will be going against Stephen Thompson who has earned his shot by winning 7-straight fights. Woodley relies heavily on a wrestling background, while Thompson is a brawler with the reach to keep opponents outside. That should give Thompson the edge, and I like him to win by KO in the 4th.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk (c) vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Jedrzejczyk has been dominant in the women’s strawweight division, and this will be her 4th defense of the title she currently holds. These two women met a few years back as amateurs, and it was Jedrzejczyk who came away with a decision victory in that one. Kowalkiewickz is a fighter who I constantly on the move in the octagon, and the champ is going to have to work hard to track her down. She will do that eventually, and should get the win in the later rounds.

Chris Weidman vs. Yoel Romero

These are two men who could well be looking at a Middleweight title shot with a win at UFC 205. Weidman us coming off the first defeat of his UFC career, and will be going against a fighter in Romero who is a perfect 7-0 in his first 7 UFC bouts. This is a bout that is likely to be decided on hitting power, and Romero could sneak it if he gets to Weidman early, but the problem there is that he is going against a man that can take the hits. I like Weidman to win by TKO in the 4th.

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Donald Cerrone

This is a fantastic welterweight match-up that could have title fight implications for the future. Cerrone has looked good since moving from lightweight to welterweight, and has reeled off 3-straight wins. Cerrone has been up and down in his last 4 bouts in this weight class, but is coming off a big win over Johny Hendricks. Another win here could put him in the title fight conversation. This has the potential to be the best fight of the night, and I am giving the edge to Cerrone given his versatility.

Eddie Alvarez (c) vs. Conor McGregor

This is the chance for the Irishman to make history as he aims to become the first UFC fighter to hold titles in two weight classes at the same time. For that to happen, he is going to get past defending lightweight champion Eddie Alvarez. The hype surrounding this fight has been huge, thanks in large part to McGregor mouthing off about how quickly he is going to end it. These bouts seldom live up to the hype, and both men are likely going to spend a lot of time grappling against the cage. If it goes that way, give the nod to McGregor by decision.

 
UFC 205 Eddie Alvarez vs Conor McGregor Odds & Expert Pick
 

Previous Betting News

It’s the first-ever mixed martial arts card at Madison Square Garden, the world’s most famous arena, on Saturday night with UFC 205 holding a star-studded event. MMA fighting just recently became legal in New York state. The headline bout is a lightweight title fight between champion Eddie Alvarez and Conor McGregor, the most popular fighter in the UFC who also happens to be the current featherweight champion. McGregor is attempting to become the first UFC fighter to hold belts in multiple divisions at the same time and he’s the betting favorite on MMA odds.

UFC 205 Eddie Alvarez vs Conor McGregor Odds & Expert Pick

The action begins in New York City at 8 p.m. ET with a four-fight prelim card. Then, at 10 p.m. ET begins the six-bout main card on pay-per- view. By the end of 2015, professional mixed martial arts was legal in every state but New York (banned starting in 1997). The UFC held multiple events in Newark, N.J., which is part of the New York metropolitan area, but competing in New Jersey simply wasn’t the same.

That’s why this card is such a big deal. It is, only four months after UFC 200 in Las Vegas, being dubbed by some as the greatest card in the sport’s history, with big names and excellent matches up and down the lineup. The card includes three championship fights for the first time ever, including women’s strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk against Karolina Kowalkiewicz and welterweight champ Tyron Woodley against Stephen Thompson.

McGregor (20-3) will attempt to join BJ Penn and Randy Couture as the only fighters in UFC history to win titles in multiple weight classes at any point. McGregor won the featherweight crown in December by knocking out longtime 145-pound kingpin Jose Aldo in 13 seconds. The victory remains the fastest finish in UFC title fight history. Since then McGregor moved up in weight to twice fight Nate Diaz, being stunned in the first one — McGregor was to fight for the lightweight belt against then-champion Rafael dos Anjos but dos Anjos had to pull out with a broken foot — and winning an epic five-round majority decision rematch in July. This is the sixth consecutive fight in which McGregor has opened as a betting favorite.

Alvarez (28-4) won the lightweight title in a first-round knockout over dos Anjos in July, a pretty big upset. The 32-year- old Philadelphia native also has held a 155-pound title in Bellator MMA. After taking the title from dos Anjos, Alvarez quipped at the post-fight press conference that he was ready for an “easier fight.” The foe opponent he wanted was McGregor. McGregor has said Alvarez’s wife and kids won’t recognize him afterwards.

Being as it’s McGregor’s promotional debut at 155 pounds, it comes with questions about how he’ll handle yet another weight adjustment. He hasn’t fought at that weight since 2012. McGregor’s head coach, John Kavanagh, believes Alvarez presents less resistance than dos Anjos in McGregor’s pursuit of history.

“I think Alvarez is a little bit more straightforward,” Kavanagh said. “Dos Anjos obviously has a world- class submission game on the ground. Alvarez is more basic on the ground. He’s just going to hold you there and throw some shots, whereas dos Anjos has very slick jiu-jitsu.” McGregor laid out specific plans about how he’s going to beat Alvarez.

“He’s been through a hell of a lot of wars. He’s been dropped continuously and I can see the effects of war on his face,” McGregor said. “I’m going to toy with this man.”

UFC 205 Eddie Alvarez vs Conor McGregor Expert Pick: Conor McGregor

Take the younger McGregor to win by TKO on MMA odds.

 
UFC 204 Main Card Expert Picks
 

Previous Betting News

It’s a very good mixed martial arts card from Manchester, England, this Saturday as UFC 204 is staged there. The card is led by a rematch between middleweight champion Michael Bisping and former non-UFC title-holder Dan Henderson. Fitting it’s their second fight as Manchester is considered England’s second city. This will be the fourth UFC event contested in Manchester. In order for the event to be broadcast live during prime-time hours on the East Coast of the USA, the main card is expected to begin at 3:00 am Manchester time. Bisping is -235 on MMA odds with Henderson at +190 and the over/under at 2.5 rounds.

Here’s a Look at the UFC 204 Main Card Expert Picks

Back in June, Bisping was a big underdog in a middleweight title fight against Luke Rockhold, but Bisping (29-7) knocked out Rockhold with a left hook and right hand at 3:36 of the first round of their 185-pound championship fight at UFC 199 in Los Angeles. Referee John McCarthy stepped in after Bisping knocked Rockhold to the floor and then put him to sleep with a clubbing right hand. Bisping only got his title shot because Rockhold’s original opponent, Chris Weidman, had to pull out injured. Entering the fight, Bisping was second in UFC history with 18 wins. He moved into a tie for first with former welterweight champion Georges St-Pierre.

Henderson, 45, came back from the brink of defeat to knock out Hector Lombard at 1:27 of the second round at UFC 199. The finish was one of Henderson’s best in his 19-year career. He landed a right head kick, and after Lombard caught his leg, Henderson threw a back elbow that landed flush and put away Lombard immediately. Henderson (31-14) followed Lombard to the floor with two hard elbows to make sure of the finish. Henderson had talked of retiring after that fight but he signed a new contract with UFC.

The championship fight will be a rematch of a bout at UFC 100 in July 2009. Henderson knocked Bisping, the first British UFC champion, out cold with a right hand in the second round. It was one of the more memorable UFC endings ever.

“UFC 100 was a long time ago,” said Bisping. “I just recently watched that fight and cringed. It was a terrible performance. Dan Henderson got the win on the night. God bless him, Dan Henderson got the job done on the night.”

“The Count” ripped Henderson for his previous use of the now-banned testosterone replacement therapy, claiming that the American is a “marvel of modern science.” Dazed after the fight, Bisping had no idea what happened to him.

That past history was behind the matchmaking more than rankings, as Henderson currently sits at No. 13 on the official UFC rankings at 185 pounds. A former Strikeforce and two-division Pride Fighting Championships titleholder, Henderson has yet to hold a UFC title.

The co-main event features Dutchman Gegard Mousasi against Vitor Belfort in another middleweight fight. Mousasi is a -330 favorite on MMA odds. Mousasi has won four of his last five in the Octagon, with an upset defeat to Uriah Hall his lone setback. The former Strikeforce champion scored a first-round technical knockout triumph over Thiago Santos in his last outing at UFC 200. Belfort, meanwhile, has lost two of his last three. Most recently, Belfort was stopped in the opening stanza by Ronaldo Souza at UFC 198.

Also, Jimi Manuwa will fight Ovince St. Preux in a featured bout at light heavyweight. Saint Preux is a -160 favorite. Saint Preux lost a unanimous decision to Jon Jones in April for the interim light heavyweight championship at UFC 197, going the distance despite breaking his arm in the third round. Manuwa will have the crowd behind him as he’s from England. He hasn’t competed since UFC 191 last September, when he lost to Anthony Johnson via second-round knockout.

My UFC Expert Picks

It might be boring, but it’s about winning money and I like the three favorites on UFC odds.

 
Sure MMA Betting Picks for UFC 202
 

Previous Betting News

Christmas will be coming early this August for MMA fans, as UFC 202 treats us to a spectacular showcase between two of the best fighters in the game in Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor. The fireworks will begin early on Saturday with a number of bright stars shining in the preliminaries, before the night is set ablaze with a host of entertaining Main Card matchups that will culminate with Diaz and McGregor pummeling each other out under the bright lights of Las Vegas. Join us below as we take you through some of our surefire MMA odds winning picks for the weekend.

Sure MMA Betting Picks for UFC 202

Elizabeth Phillips (4-2) vs. Raquel Pennington (4-4)

Pick: Pennington

Philips (1-2 in UFC) has not fought in over a year and it remains to be seen if she can bring the fight to Pennington this Saturday. Usually, I’d give a fighter like her the benefit of doubt, but last I saw her in the cage, Phillips struggled with nearly every aspect of her game. Conversely, Pennington (4-2 in UFC) has been actively involved in combat and holding her own quite well. More importantly, Pennington is balanced enough to go the distance and earn a decision or submission, or even finish a fight via knockout early. The same things that can’t be said of Phillips, who only has one UFC victory to her name. It’s therefore surprising that Phillips and not Pennington is favored in this fight’s betting lines. So, simply put, be on the lookout for a win by the versatile Pennington, who spots a very good price in the money lines.

Colby Covington (9-1) vs. Max Griffin (12-2)

Pick: Covington

Griffin is as good as they come when we are talking about punching and kicking hard, and the manner in which he has rebounded strongly since losing to Chidi Njokuani in a five-round split decision (which was actually his lone loss in his last nine fights) has been impressive. Making a strong UFC debut against Colby Covington should thus be very likely for him. That said, Covington won’t be easy to fight, as is illustrated by his strong one-loss record since entering the UFC. More than that, Griffin struggled with wrestling specialist Randall Wallace and that could easily play into Covington’s hands, considering the American Top Team (ATT) product boats of excellent wrestling skills. Should Griffin’s shaky takedown defense show its ugly head in this fight, as we expect it to do, then Covington should be able to have the upper hand, tapping his opponent by the second round.

Tim Means (25-7-1) vs. Sabah Homasi (11-5)

Pick: Means

It doesn’t get surer than this. Homasis is a late-replacement fighter with zero UFC experience and fighting skills that are far from fine-tuned for the octagon style. Means, meanwhile, is a hell of an experienced fighter with plenty of high-level experience, including three stoppage victories in his last three contests. So, yeah, give me Means and a quick stoppage within the first two rounds. 

Nate Diaz (20-10) vs. Conor McGregor (19-3)

Pick: McGregor

Even with McGregor owning a better win record and boasting of some of most lethal punches in game, picking him over jiu-jitsu master Diaz is a bit of a risk after the American outlasted him in UFC 196. Diaz has an above-average boxing game and excellent grappling skills that will keep him in this game, and the better conditioning he has now (as opposed to preparing for McGregor in a few days’ notice when they met earlier in the year) means an even tougher matchup for Connor. But then again, there is simply no way McGregor will be dropping two fights in a row and to the same opponent; the Irishman it too proud to do that. With everything on the line for McGregor, I expect him to swing better, go the distance better, and mix up everything—including some occasional-but-devastating kicks—to eventually score a win in not longer than Round Three.

 
UFC 202 Top Parlay Picks
 

Previous Betting News

You fancy winning big on a parlay ticket in the MMA lines this weekend? We’ve got you covered with three of our top selections on UFC 202, including two Main Card bouts. You can choose a two-fighter or the whole three-fighter parlay, depending on how you prefer the listed online MMA odds.

Here Are the UFC 202 Top Parlay Picks

Anthony Johnson (21-5) vs. Glover Teixiera (25-4)

Johnson and Teixiera are the No. 1 and No. 2 contenders in the lightweight division and the winner of this fight will be getting a shot to go against light heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier, so winning this contest will be key for both fighters. Both fighters are knockout artists with each one of them having 15 KO/TKOs victories to his name. The winner of this fight is thus likely to come via KO/TKO. The fact that Teixiera comes into this fight on a three-fight winning streak (one win more than Johnson’s two-fight streak) will be a big motivation for the Brazilian to get the victory. Even so, Johnson—who is four years younger than his counterpart—is faster and arguably stronger, and we believe that this edge will lead him to a victory in Saturday’s battle.

Pick: Johnson

Tim Means (25-7- 1, 7-4) vs. Sabah Homasi (11-5, 0-0)

Homasi is a strong and talented fighter, but he is making his UFC debut and doing so on short notice. It is therefore hard to trust him for the victory, especially against Tim Means who is an experienced fighter with 17 career knockouts to go a long with a solid 5-2 record in the UFC. More importantly, The Dirt Bird is more versatile in his style when compared to the punch- reliant Sabah. A victory should thus be due for Means in this fight, with the contest looking likely to end very early.

Pick: Means

Cody Garbrandt vs. Takeya Mizugaki

Cody Garbrandt is arguably the best undefeated prospect fighting in UFC 202, with a flawless 4-0 record in the UFC and a 9-0 career record. More than that, he is coming off his best-ever win over Thomas Almeida, a win that catapulted him up the bantamweight standings. Should he stick to his usual stuff, this undercard bout against Mizugaki should be very winnable. Yes, Mukazaki is veteran of 6-plus years in the UFC and his record of 6 wins in his last 8 fights speaks of a man who knows his way around the cage. But with his regressed aggressiveness and rather iffy defense, the fast and explosive Garbrandt should be able to smash him all over with jabs and kicks, leading to an almost certain victory for the youngster.

Pick: Garbrandt

 
UFC 202 Main Card Expert Betting Picks
 

Previous Betting News

In the grand scheme of things, Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor 2 will change the landscape of UFC forever. Either Diaz will go 2-0 over McGregor and go down in history as the man to beat the great “Mystic Mac,” or McGregor will even the scores at 1-1 and set a possible chance for one of the most-anticipated trilogies in the UFC. We will be delving into detail about all that at the end of the weekend. But first things first, let’s get the fireworks started with the following MMA odds preview for the Diaz vs. McGregor bout, along MMA betting picks for all the other UFC 202 Main Card fights.

Taking a Closer Look at the UFC 202 Main Card Expert Betting Picks

Nate Diaz (20-10) vs. Conor McGregor (19-3) Welterweight Bout

Throw away the statistics because they probably won’t matter that much here. This one is a straightforward as this; McGregor is superior on the feet with sterling KO/TKO skills, Diaz is on top when it comes to delivering big ground games and submissions. And knowing each other’s strengths and weaknesses, McGregor will avoid taking the fight to the ground just in the same way Diaz will avoid keeping things in the air, hence setting up a long cat-and- mouse game. So what will prove to be the difference? If you ask me, I believe the key difference here will be motivation, and that’s something McGregor has in abundance compared to Diaz, as is attested to by the money he’s spent for preparations and the fact that his UFC career could easily go down the drains if he loses this fight. And because of the latter reason, McGregor will give anything and everything to win this fight, making him the smart choice for the victory this weekend.

My Expert Pick: McGregor

Anthony Johnson (21-5) vs. Glover Teixiera (25-4) Light Heavyweight Bout

Johnson and Teixiera looked rather calm and composed in their press conference, unlike the bottle-throwing and abuse-hurling duo of McGregor and Diaz. But when the two lightweight contenders meet this weekend, don’t expect that sort of calmness. The stakes of meeting light heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier are too high for either of the fighters to play soft. The fact that both fighters are coming into this bout with respective winning streaks—Teixiera at 3 and Johnson at 2—means that the win won’t come easy for either of the two martial artists. That said, Anthony Johnson considerably looks better of the two fighters in terms of quality wins and a more all-rounded game. Combine that with his superior speed and quick reflex as the younger of the two fighters, the victory should be his come the end of this clash.

My Expert Pick: Johnson

Rick Story (19-8, 12-6) vs. Donald Cerrone (30-7, 17-4) Welterweight Bout

It’s hard to talk about Story and Cerrone without mentioning that both guys have good defensive styles. And on paper, Cerrone definitely has the edge in this fight, mainly because of his good cardio and the ability to switch seamlessly from defense to attack and vice versa. I would therefore not be surprised if the Cowboy gets the job done this weekend. My worry, however, is that Story is bigger and more athletic, so it won’t be easy for Cerrone to strike him effeciently. In addition, Story boasts of great sheer power plus the needed skill sets to out-grapple Cerrone. It’s all dicey, I know, but if I am to chose from the two of the, I’ll have to go with Story, banking on him to use his size to a winning advantage over Donald Cerrone.

My Expert Pick: Story

Hyun Gyu Lim (13-5- 1) vs. Mike Perry (6-0)

As is depicted by his record, Lim is the more experienced fighter of the two and his UFC experience will come in very handy in this fight. The problem, though, is that the 31-year- old South Korean is coming off a loss in his last fight and there are questions surrounding his health after he pulled out of the initially-scheduled fight against Sultan Aliev due to injury concerns. Against the energetic Perry, a 22-year- old from America who is making his UFC debut, an upset could be in the offing. Perry, whose six career victories have come via KO or TKO, is a tactful fighter and if he can keep this fight in the air, Lim’s experience will probably amount to nothing when all is said and done.

My Expert Pick: Perry

Tim Means (25-7- 1, 7-4) vs. Sabah Homasi (11-5, 0-0) Welterweight Bout

Homasi’s last win over Jorge Patino in a Titan FC 40 bout was about as good as any, but it was far from the kind of stuff that would trouble Means in this All-American fisticuffs. Besides owning an experience-advantage in the Octagon over UFC debutant Homasi, Means has been preparing for this fight since his knockout victory over John Howard in December 2015 (amidst serving a six-month suspension). When going against Homasi whose last bout came on 5th of this month, Means should have the edge from the extra rest and preparation, earning him a resounding win, most likely via an early submission.

My Expert Pick: Means

 
UFC 202 Diaz vs McGregor 2 Expert Betting Pick
 

Previous Betting News

The profanity-laced trash talks are coming in thick and fast, tempers are flaring all over the place, and the anticipation is building up to an all-time high as MMA betting fans gear up for the biggest fight of the year, the rematch between Conor McGregor and Nate Diaz at UFC 202. Dubbed Diaz vs. McGregor 2, the highly-awaited UFC Welterweight showdown is set to take place at the MGM Grand this coming weekend. So, without making the fight appear grandiose than it already really is, let’s jump into the MMA lines and see if we can catch some sweet UFC picks for this heaven-sent hellraiser of a face-off.

Here’s a Look at the UFC 202 Diaz vs McGregor 2 Expert Betting Pick

Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
When: Saturday, August 20, 10 p.m. ET/ 7 p.m. PT
TV: FOX Sports 1 / BT
Betting Lines: Diaz (+108), McGregor (-128)

Why Diaz Will Win?

When these two fighters fought at UFC 196 in March, Diaz cleverly strung out the contest by absorbing McGregor’s punches before eventually getting the rear naked choke to record a submission win, a victory that ended McGregor’s undefeated streak in the UFC. As was clearly showcased in his fight versus McGregor (and typical of nearly all his career fights), Diaz is a master grappler with great wrestling abilities and solid punch-and- box skills. Essentially, that’s the reason 12 of Diaz’s 20 victories– translating to 60%– have come via submission.

More than that, Diaz boasts of great experience in the UFC—with this fight being his 22nd in the UFC, against McGregor’s Ninth—and his ability to go the distance in fights is easily unparalleled by McGregor, who is used to short fights. In fact, it is because of this endurance that he was able to beat the Irishman in UFC 196. Even more notably, Diaz is bigger than McGregor, precisely three inches taller with a two-inch reach advantage over The Notorious; something could very easily trouble McGregor who has mostly been going against smaller opponents.

Why McGregor Will Win?

If there’s ever a fight McGregor would never like to lose, it is this one, considering he requested for it as a means of proving that he was actually better than he showed us in UFC 196. And to his credit, McGregor did put on a good show, especially in the first round and the opening half of the second, where he relentlessly came at Diaz with his power-punching skills and battered the American real good in the face. Unfortunately for him, he got tired as the fight went on and Diaz took advantage of that. To have a chance at avenging that loss, McGregor will need be calculative enough with his strikes in case the fight goes the distance into the late rounds.

Obviously, being a knockout artist—as is confirmed by the fact that 17 of the 19 victories by McGregor have come via knockouts—could help him score a TKO or KO over Diaz. But rather than just use his solid boxing skills that can be a hit or miss against the smart Diaz, Mystic Mac should balance it with leg kicks and power wrestling, as this is probably the only way he may get to outsmart the American by catching him off-guard. This should be particularly encouraged by the fact that has a two-inch advantage in the leg reach over Diaz.

My Expert MMA Predictions and Picks

After winning as a massive underdog against McGregor barely five months ago, Diaz has every right to be taken very seriously against McGregor in this match. Of course, McGregor’s intense training over the past five months and his superior KO skills make him a dangerous opponent. But this is a case of McGregor literally trying to punch above his weight against the bigger and very experienced Diaz, a guy with incredible cardio and great grappling skills to go along with solid ability to box. With that, I will have to go with Diaz getting the win over McGregor, most likely by the end of the third round, via submission.

My Pick: Diaz

 
Best Winning Favorites For UFC 201 Main Card
 

Previous Betting News

The UFC is hitting the road once again, and their next stop is in Atlanta on Saturday night, June 30, for UFC 201. It’s a solid line-up of fights that are on offer, including a great undercard that will be shown on Fox Sports. If you want to catch the main card, you are going to have to go the pay-per-view route, but with 5 fights lined up, it looks like a good investment. We are going to quickly break down all 5 of the bouts on the UFC 201 main card, whilst also taking a look at the current UFC betting odds. Without further ado, let’s take a look.

Here’s a Closer Look At The Best Winning Favorites For UFC 201 Main Card

Robbie Lawler (-210) Vs Tyron Woodley (+180)

The main event at UFC 201, and one that will present the winner with the welterweight title. These are two fighters with drastically different styles, which always makes for an interesting battle. Lawler has all the punching power, whereas the best chance for Tyron Woodley to win is if he can get his opponent into a wrestling bout on the mat, Lawler has proven to be effective in defending against the takedowns, which is why you have to like him to win this one.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+195) vs. Rose Namajunas (-235)

This is one bout where the upset might just be on the cards. Both women have a very similar style, but it has to be said that Kowalkiewicz has been very dangerous in her time in the UFC. Namajunas is going to be a tough opponent, but I think that she is beatable. This is one that has the potential to go the distance, and I like Kowalkiewicz to edge it out. If this thing doesn’t go all the way, then look for the end to come via a tap out.

Matt Brown (-280) Vs Jake Ellenberger (+230)

This is a fight that could well prove to be the end of the road for Ellenberger in the UFC. Once a legitimate title contender in the welterweight division, Ellenberger has taken a big step backwards in recent years, and you have to feel that this could end up being a total mismatch if Matt Brown is on his game. I don’t see this bout going the distance, and I believe Brown will win by KO early on.

Francisco Rivera (+100) Vs Erik Perez (-120)

This is likely to be the most entertaining fight on the card, as both of the guys are quite happy to brawl it out, toe to toe. Both have some real power in their strikes, but the slight edge there has to go to Rivera. Erik Perez has a wrestling background that he can fall back on, but the chances of him getting Rivera to the mat seem slim. This fight is likely going to be decided by KO, and the edge goes to Rivera.

Ian McCall (+195) Vs Justin Scoggins (-230)

It will be the flyweights who get the main card started on Saturday night, and this looks like a fight with only one possible outcome. McCall is coming off a lengthy layoff, and is running into a fighter who looks as though he is going to be a player in this weight division. I’m taking Scoggins to win by KO in the early stages of the bout.

 
UFC 201 Lawler Vs Woodley Winning Predictions
 

Previous Betting News

It’s incredibly hot in the south at this time of year, but the mercury is set to go a little higher on Saturday night when the UFC takes its show on the road to Atlanta. The main card has 5 fights on offer, with the main event being a welterweight bout that will see Robby Lawler defend his belt against Tyron Woodley. It promises to be a great fight, as both of these guys can flat out brawl. They each have a very distinct fighting style, and it’s always interesting to see which one will prevail. Both will be trying to set the tone from the opening bell, and the fighter who get the early jump will most likely be the one who leaves the octagon with the belt around his waist. Let’s now take a closer look at the two fighters and their betting odds for Saturday night.

Let’s Take a Look at the UFC 201 Robbie Lawler Vs Tyron Woodley Winning Predictions

When: Saturday, July 30 at 10
PM EST
Where: Phillips Arena, Atlanta
TV:  Pay per view
UFC Odds: Lawler (-210), Woodley (+180)

Why bet on Robbie Lawler?

Lawler comes into this fight with a 26-10 (1 NC) record, and as the winner of his last 5 fights. He has been victorious in 8 of his last 9, and is in a rich vein of form that makes him a truly formidable opponent. There is nothing particularly fancy about what Lawler brings to the octagon, as he usually just overpowers his opponents with sheer striking force. Oddly enough, even with all that power, 5 of his previous 6 fights have gone all the way to the 5th round. He got the TKO in one of those, and the judge’s decision in the others. He has more power than Woodley, and if he is successfully able to avoid the takedown attempts that are sure to come, Robbie Lawler should retain his welterweight title.

Why bet on Tyron Woodley?

Woodley will enter the octagon on Saturday night sporting a 15-3 record, with 10 of those wins coming via KO or submission. Rather than trying to beat his opponents with striking power. Woodley will instead try to get them to the mat with his wrestling moves. This I his best chance of success against Lawler, as I just don’t see any way in which he can go toe to toe the champion. Woodley bounced back nicely from a loss to Rory MacDonald at UFC 174 to win his next two fights. That is the winning streak that he is currently on, and if he can somehow find a way to extend it to 3, he will become the new welterweight champion.

My Expert Pick and Final Prediction

While this is indeed an intriguing match-up, it’s one that I just don’t see Robbie Lawler losing. He defends the takedown well, and has too much power if the fight does turn into a brawl. I like him to win by KO in the 3rd or 4th round, so I’ll be taking the OVER 2.5 at betting odds of -150.

 
 
 
 

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