2022 NFL Week 1 Betting Analysis: Buccaneers vs Cowboys Odds and Prediction

Two teams with Super Bowl aspirations step onto the field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington on Sunday night when the Dallas Cowboys host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs head into the new NFL season one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. Dallas believes it’s not getting the respect it deserves. When these two threw down in Tampa in NFL Week 1 last season, the game was a classic. Will the rematch also turn into a great game? Or will Tampa show why so many believe they win Super Bowl 57? See below for NFL Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Buccaneers at Cowboys. 

NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Analysis and Odds Preview for Week 1

SNF Week 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Dallas Cowboys 

• When: Sunday, Sep. 11 at 8:20 pm ET 
• Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX 
• TV / Streaming: NBC / Peacock
• ATS Odds: Tampa Bay -1.5 
• Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -121/ Dallas -101   
• Over/Under Odds: 50  

Why bet on Tampa Bay versus Dallas?

The Buccaneers look primed for another Super Bowl run. Tampa’s defense has the chance to be more effective this season than it was last season. Not only that, but Tom Brady returns and he’s got his full arsenal of weapons: Chris Godwin, Russell Gage, Mike Evans, and Cameron Brate will play. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offensive Averages

** Stats from 2021

• Total Yards: 405.9

• Passing Yards: 307.6

• Rushing Yards: 98.4

• Points Scored: 30.1

• Turnovers: 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defensive Averages

** Stats from 2021

• Total Yards: 331.5

• Passing Yards: 238.9

• Rushing Yards: 92.5

• Points Scored: 20.8

• Takeaways: 29

Why bet on Dallas versus Tampa Bay?

The Cowboys were the best team in the NFL last season at covering the spread. Dallas also fielded a good defense that this season will be great. Not only that, but Dak Prescott played 2021 after sitting out almost all of 2020. Expect a much more in tune Dak to show up on Sunday.

Dallas Cowboys Offensive Averages

** Stats from 2021

• Total Yards: 407.0

• Passing Yards: 282.4

• Rushing Yards: 124.6

• Points Scored: 31.2

• Turnovers: 20

Dallas Cowboys Defensive Averages

** Stats from 2021

• Total Yards: 351.0

• Passing Yards: 238.2

• Rushing Yards: 112.8

• Points Scored: 21.1

• Takeaways: 34

Buccaneers at Cowboys Relevant Trends

• Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
• Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in week 1
• Over is 7-1 in the Buccaneers’ last 8 games in September
• Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 versus an NFC opponent
• Dallas is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog
• Over is 4-1 in the Cowboys’ last 5 games in September  

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys Final Betting Prediction

In our early pick for this game, we went with the Dallas Cowboys on the money line. We aren’t changing our minds. 

It’s difficult to understand how a team that lost their head coach to a front office job and struggled to defend against the pass last season can beat one of the best teams in the NFL.

The Dallas Cowboys are loaded on both sides of the football. The Boys’ defense should be much tighter this season now that NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Micah Parsons has a season under his belt. 

The Dallas offense will be even more effective now that CeeDee Lamb, the Cowboys WR1, has played a full season with Prescott. Overall, Dallas is the better team, this happens on their field, and the Boys should be hungrier to get off to a great start than the veteran Buccaneers.  

NFL Week 1 Pick: Dallas Cowboys +1.5 

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