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When it comes to the group stage, Canada and Croatia are both playing well enough to move to the next round. Canada lost their first group stage match against favored Belgium but it was close to being a draw. Croatia drew 0-0 against Morocco. Which team will step it up in the head-to-head between the Canadians and the Croatians? See below for FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Croatia versus Canada.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Croatia vs Canada Group F Matchup

Croatia versus Canada Betting Lines and Match Info

When: Sunday, Nov. 27 at 11:00 am ET

Where: Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan, Qatar

TV/Streaming: FS1

Handicap Odds: Canada +0.5 -139 / Spain -0.5 +109

Moneyline Odds: Croatia +114 / Canada +250 / Draw +236

Total Odds: O 2.5 +110 / U 2.5 -140

Why Canada is a good play versus Croatia

Canada was too unlucky to lose. Thibaut Courtois, Real Madrid’s goalie, stopped an Alphonso Davies penalty kick in Canada’s 1-0 loss to heavily favored Belgium.

Not only that, but Belgium held just a 54% to 46% possession edge. Also, Canada took 22 shots to Belgium’s 9 and each team took 3 shots on goal.

Canada outplayed Belgium in the match. Also, in their final international friendly, the Canadians beat a solid Japanese side, one that upset Germany 2-1 in Japan’s first group match game, by a goal. In addition, the Canadians rolled through CONCACAF qualifying, blasting the United State’s 2-0 in a qualifier.

Canada Last 5

L – 1-0 vs. Belgium
W – 1-2 vs. Japan
D – 2-2 vs. Bahrain
L – 0-2 vs. Uruguay
W – 0-2 vs. Qatar

Canada Predicted Starting Lineup

Borjan
Miller
Vitoria
Laryea
Waterman
Kone
Kaye
Hoilett
Osorio
Cavallini
David

Why Croatia is a good play versus Canada

Before the 0-0 draw against Morocco in their first group stage match, the Croatians had dominated, winning four straight. Many of the victories impressed, including 2-1 wins against Denmark and a 1-0 victory over France.

In hindsight, even the 1-0 win against Albiceleste giant killer Saudi Arabia impresses. In many ways, Croatia headed into the match against Morocco one of the hottest teams at the 2022 Qatar World Cup.

Morocco had the perfect strategy to counter Luka Modric’s brilliance. But just because Morocco employed the perfect strategy, it doesn’t mean Canada will. Also, it’s important to note that Croatia controlled possession 65% of the time versus the Moroccans.

Croatia Last 5

D – 0-0 vs. Morocco
W – 0-1 vs. Saudi Arabia
W – 1-3 vs. Austria
W – 2-1 vs. Denmark
W – 0-1 vs. France

Croatia Predicted Starting Lineup

Livakovic
Gvardiol
Lovren
Barisic
Stanisic
Brozovic
Kovacic
Modric
Budimir
Perisic
Vlasic

Final Betting Analysis: Croatia vs Canada

2018 World Cup runner-up Croatia should have beaten Morocco. But the Croatians won’t get down on themselves because of the draw. Instead, Croatia will use their superior talent to grab the 1-0 or possible 2-0 victory against Canada.

Yes, the Canadians are a solid team, but before jumping all over the U.S.’s northern neighbor to upset Modric and his mates, it’s important to note a couple of things. Belgium beat Canada even though De Bruyne and Hazard didn’t play their best positions.

Modric will run things from midfield, Luka’s best position. Also, Canada could bounce. Sure, they didn’t win, but the effort against Belgium was so great, so physically draining, that the Canadians could play much worse in this.

After looking at all the angles, Croatia is the play. Modric and his buds should get at least 1 goal in this match. Don’t be surprised if the Croatians beat Canada by two.

World Cup Pick: Croatia +114

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