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There’s still a lot to be decided in Group A. Ecuador and the Netherlands are tied atop the group with 4 points. Senegal has 3 points. The Netherlands has a clear path to the Round of 16. But Senegal could knock Ecuador back to third. Which team will secure a knockout stage berth? Keep reading for FIFA World Cup Odds, an analysis of both teams as well as a free pick for Senegal versus Ecuador.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Ecuador vs Senegal Group A Matchup

Ecuador versus Senegal Betting Lines and Match Info

When: Tuesday, Nov. 29 at 10:00 am ET

Where: Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan, Qatar

TV/Streaming: FS1

Handicap Odds: Senegal +0.5 -176 / Ecuador -0.5 +137

Moneyline Odds: Senegal +210 / Ecuador +145 / Draw +214

Total Odds: O 3.5 +126 / U 3.5 -162

Why Ecuador is a good play versus Senegal

With one match remaining in the group stage, Ecuador has proven to be Group A’s top team. The Ecuadorians blasted Qatar 2-0. Then after ceding a goal to the Netherlands in minute 6, the Ecuadorians rallied to score an equalizer in the 49th minute.

Ecuador knows they they’re good enough to play to at least the quarterfinals. Lest we forget, the Ecuadorians knocked out strong CONMENBOL opponents during qualifying like Chile, Paraguay, Peru, and in a huge upset, Colombia. Ecuador feels like they have what it takes to push teams like France, England, and their South American counterparts, Brazil and Argentina. The Ecuadorians won’t allow a team like Senegal to end their World Cup run during the group stage.

Ecuador Last 5

D – 1-1 vs. Netherlands
W – 0-2 vs. Qatar
D – 0-0 vs. Iraq
D – 0-0 vs. Japan
D – 0-0 vs. Saudi Arabia

Ecuador Predicted Starting Lineup

Dominguez
Hincapie
Arboleda
Estupinan
Arreaga
Gruezo
Franco
Mendez
Caicedo
Sarmiento
Plata

Why Senegal is a good play versus Ecuador

The match versus the Netherlands got away from the second choice to win Group A. Senegal hung with the Netherlands early, but Cody Gakpo managed a goal at the 84th minute.

Then Senegal gave up a goal to Davy Klassen at the 99th minute in extra time. If Senegal could have hung on for a draw, the Senagalese would be entering this game tied with Ecuador instead of a point behind.

Still, although Senegal’s backs are up against the wall, Senegal, overall, has better players than Ecuador. Most of Senegal’s starters throw down for UEFA League teams.

Even without Sadio Mane, Senegal has more talent then the Ecuadorians. More talent should translate to a goal victory.

Senegal Last 5

W – 1-3 vs. Qatar
L – 0-2 vs. Netherlands
D – 1-1 vs. Iran
W – 0-2 vs. Bolivia
D – 1-1 vs. Guinea

Senegal Predicted Starting Lineup

Dieng
Cisse
Koulibaly
Jacobs
F. Mendy
Sarr
Gueye
N. Mendy
Kouyate
Ndiaye
Diatta

Final Betting Analysis: Ecuador vs. Senegal

This is a tough match to handicap because both teams have decent attacks and terrific defenses. The difference, though, is that Ecuador is as cohesive as any underdog squad at the World Cup.

The Ecuadorians never falter from their style of play. Ecuador is a defense first team that scores goals when their opponents make mistakes.

Senegal may not make a mistake, but here’s the thing, Ecuador mustn’t win. The Ecuadorians can coast into the Round of 16 with a draw. So the parameters of the match play right into defensive-minded Ecuador’s hands. Senegal must be aggressive, which also plays into Ecuador’s hands.

If you want to back a team on the moneyline, go with Ecuador to score a goal on the counter attack. If you want to play it safe the way Ecuador will, back the draw.

World Cup Pick: Draw

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