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Group H’s top two squads throw down on Monday in a match that could determine who ends up taking the top spot. Uruguay must step it up after drawing 0-0 versus South Korea in their first World Cup match. Portugal got past Ghana in their first match with a 3-2 victory. Will Portugal put a damper on Uruguay’s knockout stage hopes? Or will the Uruguayans step it up in their most important match during the group stage? Check out FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Uruguay versus Portugal.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Portugal vs Uruguay Group H Matchup

Portugal versus Uruguay Betting Lines and Match Info

When: Monday, Nov. 28 at 2:00 pm ET

Where: Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail, Qatar

TV/Streaming: FOX

Handicap Odds: Uruguay +0.5 -118 / Portugal -0.5 -107

Moneyline Odds: Portugal -102 / Uruguay +300 / Draw +240

Total Odds: O 2.5 +117 / U 2.5 -149

Why Uruguay is a good play versus Portugal

Uruguay didn’t score a goal, but Valverde, Nunez and their mates dominated play. Uruguay controlled possession 56% of the time against the South Koreans.

Not only that, but Uruguay took 10 shots to South Korea’s 7. Also, Uruguay held the Koreans to 0 shots on goal while taking 1 of their shots was on target.

For a first match performance, Uruguay played well. If the Uruguayans can take it to the next level versus Portugal, they should have a big chance to win the match in regulation.

Uruguay Last 5

D – 0-0 vs. South Korea
W – 0-2 vs. Canada
L – 1-0 vs. Iran
W – 5-0 vs. Panama
D – 0-0 vs. United States

Uruguay Predicted Starting Lineup

Rochet
Gimenez
Godin
Vina
Caceres
Bentancur
de la Cruz
Valverde
Cavani
Nunez
Valera

Why Portugal is a good play versus Uruguay

Portugal and Ghana were tied at halftime. In the second half, both teams stepped up their attacks. Ghana scored a late goal to cut the deficit to 3-2 but the game was pretty much in hand by then.

Portugal’s 3 goals came from Ronaldo, Jao Felix, and Rafael Leao. Portugal controlled possession 62% of the time versus Ghana.

Not only that, but Portugal was great at taking shots on goal. Ronaldo and his mates took 11 total shots. 5 of the 11 shots were on target.

Portugal Last 5

W – 3-2 vs. Ghana
W – 4-0 vs. Nigeria
L – 0-1 vs. Spain
W – 0-4 vs. Czech Republic
L – 1-0 vs. Portugal

Portugal Predicted Starting Lineup

Costa
Pereira
Dias
Guerreiro
Cancelo
Neves
Otavio
Silva
Ronaldo
Felix
Fernandes

Final Betting Analysis: Uruguay vs Portugal

On paper, Portugal should have no trouble beating Uruguay. But a deeper dive into the win against Ghana reveals the Portuguese might not be as good as advertised.

The offense rocked it versus a Ghanian squad that matched Portugal’s attack intensity. When the Portuguese decided to play a more aggressive attack, so did Ghana.

Uruguay won’t change their strategy. So if Portugal plays a frustrating first half that yields zero goals, we shouldn’t expect Uruguay to match Portugal’s attack in the second half.

Instead, the Uruguayans, like Ghana did to get their goals, will play a counter attack that could lead to at least 1-goal. Portugal yielded a pair of scoring kicks to Ghana from 9 total shots and 3 on goal. Uruaguay, because their defense is so solid, may require a single decent shot to grab the regulation win.

World Cup Pick: Uruguay +300

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