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On Sunday, European rivals Spain and Germany throw down in one of the group stage’s most anticipated matches. Germany must make amends for a 2-1 first match loss against Japan. Spain hopes to continue their brilliant play after dominating Costa Rica 7-0 in their first group stage game. Will the Spanish ascent to World Cup favorite status after winning? Or will the Germans bounce back with a much required group victory? Check out FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Spain versus Germany.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Spain vs Germany Group E Matchup

Spain versus Germany Betting Lines and Match Info

When: Sunday, Nov. 27 at 2:00 pm ET

Where: Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor, Qatar

TV/Streaming: FS1

Handicap Odds: Germany +0.5 -166 / Spain -0.5 +130

Moneyline Odds: Spain +136 / Germany +187 / Draw +260

Total Odds: O 2.5 -140/ U 2.5+110

Why Germany is a good play versus Spain

In the loss to Japan, it looked as if Germany was on their way to a first game World Cup win. The Germans were up 1-0 after Ilkay Gundogan’s penalty kick at the 33rd minute.

Germany was coasting in the second half and that is why they ended up losing. Ritsu Doan, a Freiburg forward, kicked in the equalizer at the 75th minute.

Then at the 83rd minute, Takuma Asano, a Bochum forward, got the go ahead goal. Germany knows they let a win slip from their grasps. The Germans have too much talent and are too deep to give up. Germany will step it up against the Spanish.

Germany Last 5

L – 1-2 vs. Japan
W – 0-1 vs. Oman
D – 3-3 vs. England
L – 0-1 vs. Hungary
W – 5-2 vs. Italy

Germany Predicted Starting Lineup

Neuer
Ginter
Ruediger
Kehrer
Trapp
Kimmich
Sane
Klostermann
Musiala
Mueller
Gnabry

Why Spain is a good play versus Germany

The Spanish absolutely blasted an overmatched Costa Rican side. Spain controlled possession 82% of the time, held Costa Rica to 0 shots, and took 8-of-17 shots on goal.

The Spanish dropped a 7-goal bomb onto Los Ticos. But if you want to know why El Rojo is a good bet against Germany, throw out the win over Costa Rica.

The 3-1 victory against Jordan in Spain’s final international friendly or the 1-0 victory over Portugal in a Nations League contest three games back is more like it.

That Spanish used defense and took brilliant shots to get the goal against Ronaldo and his mates. Versus Germany, Spain will play a match similar to the 1-0 win over Portugal than they did against Costa Rica.

Spain Last 5

W – 7-0 vs. Costa Rica
W – 1-3 vs. Jordan
W – 0-1 vs. Portugal
L – 1-2 vs. Switzerland
W – 2-0 vs. Czech Republic

Spain Predicted Starting Lineup

Simon
Torres
Busquets
Gaya
Carvajal
Rodri
Koke
Pedri
Morata
Pino
Williams

Final Betting Analysis: Spain vs Germany

It’s easy to look at the 7-0 win against Costa Rica and hand the Spanish the trophy. But before doing so, it’s important to note that Germany controlled possession over Japan 74% of the time.

Spain got to play a team that barely qualified for the World Cup while Germany took on a soccer squad with a lot of Bundesliga talent. The Germans lost focus late in they match, which is why Japan beat them.

We shouldn’t expect Germany to lose focus again. In fact, the Germans are a good play to get the win in regulation. There’s no way Spain doesn’t bounce off the 7-goal effort.

Germany knows what’s at stake in this match. Spain is likely to have already stamped their knockout stage ticket. Spain bounces while Germany picks it up. The underdog grabs the win.

World Cup Pick: Germany +187

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