Mexico vs Poland Odds, Pick & Analysis - FIFA World Cup Lines

Two teams with Group C aspirations throw down on Tuesday when Robert Lewandowski and Poland knock heads with Luis Chavez and Mexico. Argentina is the huge favorite to win Group C. But second choice odds imply both Poland and Mexico have a shot to move to the knockout stage, which means the Mexican’s versus the Polish on Nov. 22 is massive. Which team will get a leg up on the other in the group D? Keep reading for FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Mexico versus Poland.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Mexico vs Poland Group C Matchup

Denmark versus Tunisia Betting Lines and Match Info

When: Tuesday, Nov. 22 at 11:00 am ET

Where: Stadium 974, Doha, Qatar

TV/Streaming: FOX

Handicap Odds: Poland +0.5 -217 / Mexico -0.5 +166

Moneyline Odds: Poland +183 / Mexico +177 / Draw +198

Total Odds: O 2.5 +144 / U 2.5 -184

Why Mexico is a good play versus Poland

El Tri hasn’t dominated every one of their last 5 opponents, but that’s probably by design. Manager and head coach Gerardo “Tata” Martino knows that to upset Poland or Argentina and make it to the Round of 16, Mexico must play diverse strategies.

The Mexicans can’t stick to a single strategy and hope it works. Martino managed Argentina to a 2014 World Cup runner-up finish to Germany. He managed Barcelona in 2013-2014. The man knows what he’s doing.

Mexico Last 5

L – 1-2 vs. Sweden
W – 4-0 vs. Iraq
L – 2-3 vs. Colombia
W – 1-0 vs. Peru
L – 0-1 vs. Paraguay

Mexico Predicted Starting Lineup

Ochoa
Moreno
Montes
Gallardo
Sanchez
Herrera
Chavez
Rodriguez
Martin
Vega
Antuna

Why Poland is a good play versus Mexico

Poland may not have as high of a profile manager as El Tri, but what Poland does have is a veteran side led by one of the best strikers in the world.

Robert Lewandowski has scored 13 goals and has 4 assists in 49 shots for Barcelona. Lewa is ready to roll. Not only that, but Poland has won their last two international friendly matches.

Poland Last 5

W – 1-0 vs. Chile
W – 0-1 vs. Wales
L – 0-2 vs. Netherlands
L – 0-1 vs. Belgium
D – 2-2 vs. Netherlands

Poland Predicted Starting Lineup

Szczesny
Glik
Kiwior
Bednarek
Zielinski
Zurkowski
Krychowiak
Zalewski
Gumny
Swiderski
Lewandowski

Final Betting Analysis: Poland vs Mexico

Mexico has the talent to win this, but Poland is battle-tested. The issue El Tri will have is, like every team in La Liga, stopping Barcelona superstar Robert Lewandowski.

Lewa plays lights out no matter where he calls home. In this case, Lewandowski, Swiderski, Bednarek, and Szczesny have excellent chemistry.

The 2-2 draw versus the Netherlands in a road match is a sign the Polish can hang with excellent teams. Tata is a solid manager. But he failed to make necessary adjustments in Argentina’s 2014 WC loss to the Germans. So Tata could make a mistake in this.

Poland will have the best player on the pitch. The odds imply a close match. Taking a stab on the team with the better payout makes sense. Poland gets the nod.

World Cup Pick: Poland

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