We are now just a little over a month away from the start of the new college basketball season, so we are in a time when hope is still alive for every team.
Of course, there can only be one winner, but there are several teams who can feel as though they have a legitimate shot at ending the season as the National Champion.
My Analysis for the NCAAB National Championship
I’m sure that anyone who has even the most fleeting interest in college basketball will already have their opinion on who they believe will win, and the same can be said for the bookies.
The odds to win the National Championship have been released, and there are some familiar names at the top of the board.
Let’s take a look at the current odds as they stand now.
^The Favorites
I don’t think it will come as a surprise to anyone that the UConn Huskies (+840) are in as the favorite right now. They are coming into the new season looking to deliver the three-peat after winning it all in back-to-back seasons.
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This is a massive ask for any team, as we have not seen a school win more than 2 in a row since the 1970s, when UCLA was the dominant team in the sport.
The Coach K era is now in the rearview mirror for the Duke Blue Devils (+970), with third year head coach Jon Scheyer now the man in charge.
He has had time now to build the team he wants, and there are many who believe that this could be the year when Duke climbs all the wat back to the top.
The Kansas Jayhawks (+1025) last won the National Championship in 2022, but they are a team that always seems to be there or thereabout and are one of the iconic teams in college basketball.
They should be in the mix again this season, so these are some very good odds right now.
While the Alabama Crimson Tide (+1150) is better known for their exploits on the football field than the hard court, this is a team that is now knocking on the door in college basketball.
They went to the Sweet Sixteen in 2022 and followed that up with a run to the Final Four last year. Is a National Championship the next logical step?
^Dark Horses and Underdogs
The UNC Tar Heels (+1550) are always worth taking a shot on, as they always seem to be in the hunt for a title.
They have been to the Championship Game in 3 of the last 8 seasons, winning once and losing the other two.
Another team that always seems to be in consideration for a championship is the Gonzaga Bulldogs (+1700), so they are always worth taking a shot on, especially at these odds, which might be the best you are going to get at any given time.
Two more teams that I think might be worth a look are the Baylor Bears (+2100) and the Arizona Wildcats (+2300).
We are definitely drifting into long shot territory with these two teams, but I think both are very talented and could make an impact on the run for a National Championship this season.
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2022 National Championship Favorites, Smart Choice & Longshot
As the college basketball regular season is nearing its end, we’re looking forward to the conference tournaments and then the “Big Dance”, the NCAA Tournament. In years past, we’ve seen one or two dominant teams. This season, there are numerous teams that could win the whole thing. Let’s take a look at the NCAAB National Championship Betting favorites, along with a smart pick, and a dark horse to win this year’s NCAA Tournament.
Updated College Basketball Title Odds (Favorite, Smart, Longshot)
The Favorites
- Gonzaga Bulldogs +475
Mark Few’s squad is the favorite to win it all this season. Drew Timme, Andrew Nembhard, and freshman sensation Chet Holmgren form a dynamic scoring trio. Gonzaga only has two losses this season, and those are to two teams that should be in the NCAA Tournament.
- Kentucky Wildcats +825
John Calipari’s squad seems to be getting better and better as the season progresses. He has one of the most talented and athletic squads in the nation. If TyTy Washington can take care of the ball, Kentucky has a great shot at cutting down the nets.
- Arizona Wildcats +850
The Arizona Wildcats are 22-2 and look like the best team in the Pac 12. They have some quality wins, and they can match up with anyone in the country.
- Auburn Tigers +900
Bruce Pearl’s team is one of the best teams in the country. They’re dominating the SEC, and have only lost twice this season. Freshman sensation Jabari Smith will more than likely be one of the top selections in the upcoming NBA Draft if he chooses to leave Auburn early.
- Purdue Boilermakers +1200
Matt Painter may be the best X’s and O’s coach in the country. With Zach Edey and Jaden Ivey leading the way, Purdue has the most efficient offense in the country. Unfortunately, they struggle to defend, so until they get that end of the floor fixed, it could be tough for the Boilermakers to win it all.
The Smart Choice
- Houston Cougars +2500
Even though Kelvin Sampson lost his top scorer earlier this season, the Houston Cougars are still playing well. They’re in the top 15 in offensive, defensive, and total efficiency. After coming off of last year’s Final Four, the Cougars know what it takes to get to the top.
Although their schedule is particularly strong, they proved last year that the strength of the schedule isn’t everything. We’ll see if they can repeat last year’s performance and make another long tournament run.
The Dark Horse
- Connecticut Huskies +8000
When looking at a surprise team to ride out far in the bracket, let’s take a look at the Connecticut Huskies. Danny Hurley’s squad is currently sitting at 17-7. They play in a very tough Big East Conference. In looking at the Pomeroy rankings, UConn is ranked 27th in offensive efficiency, and 29th in defensive efficiency.
These sorts of balanced squads tend to do well in the NCAA Tournament. The Big East is very competitive, and if UConn can play well in this conference, they can hang with any NCAA Tournament team. They’ve flown under the radar this season, and at a +8000, a small wager could earn you a lot of money down the road.
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