With two weeks left in the NBA regular season, there are still a lot of things that could change before we figure out who will be in the playoffs. There are two distinct battles going on at the moment, the first of which is teams trying to ensure that they land in the top 6 in their respective conferences. Then we have the race for the play-in tournament, which will involve the teams ranked 7th through 10th. It’s an extra step than we are used to in getting to the final 8, but it’s also one that is likely here to stay. Let’s talk a little bit about what you should be considering ahead of the playoffs so you can continue planning your bets against their NBA Playoffs odds.
Early Betting Tips for the 2021 NBA Playoffs
We need to start by looking at the play-in and the impact it might have on the playoffs seedings. The advantage of being the #7 or #8 seed is that you get two chances to punch your playoff ticket, while the #9 and #10 seeds will need to win 2 games to make it in. This does not guarantee that the teams who finish in 7 and 8 will be the ones to move on, but at least one of them is guaranteed a spot. When playing these games, take into account how these teams are playing in the closing weeks of the season. For example, in the Eastern Conference, the Washington Wizards are the #10 seed, but they have won 8 of their last 10. If the play-in tournament started today, they might well be a good pick to win at least 1 of the 2 games they need to get in.
There is no such thing as a guaranteed win in any sport when it comes to betting, but the #1 seed versus the #8 is as big a lock as you are going to get. Since the playoffs expanded to 16 teams back in the 80’s, we have seen the #1 seed win 67 out of 72 series. If you are looking to build your bankroll for the later rounds, a good way to get started is to take the #1 seed in the opening round. While you are not necessarily going to get great odds, you are probably going to add to your bankroll with little difficulty.
Be careful on who you wager on this postseason, as some teams are probably not as good a bet as they may appear. There are going to be a lot of bettors willing to take a shot on the LA Lakers, who have been heading in the wrong direction for a couple of months. Even if they are healthy when the playoffs start, can they get back into a groove quickly enough to take a deep run, especially since their current seeding is going to have them playing the better teams in the league? Similarly, the Milwaukee Bucks are going to tempt a lot of bettors, but let’s not forget that they have not been great in the postseason despite being the best team in the league over the past few seasons.
Really pay attention to how the final couple of weeks of the regular season play out, as this may give you a clearer idea on how to wager your money once the playoffs begin.
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