The playoff-bound Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons will battle for the fourth and final matchup this regular season and both ballclubs have plenty to play for with the Heat looking to wrap up one of the top four seeds and home-court advantage in the first round while Detroit looks to potentially nab the seventh seed over Indiana while hitting the postseason on a positive note as they make their first postseason appearance since 2007. With Detroit holding a 2-1 series lead, let’s find out if the Heat can even up the regular season series and if they can fulfill the odds and lines for NBA.
An Indepth Analysis of the Miami at Detroit NBA Betting Prediction and Score Pick & TV Info
Why Bet the Miami Heat
The Heat (47-33 SU, 42-37 ATS) are a good bet because they’ve been the better team all season and have a ton to play for, no to mention they probably want some revenge.
Miami bounced back from their 112-109 loss against Orlando on Friday to beat the Magic 118-96 on Sunday and cash in as a 9.5-point home favorite. Miami has won three of its last four games and is currently in fifth place in the Eastern Conference playoff race despite being tied with Boston.
Miami head coach Erik Spoelstra re-inserted gifted young center Hassan Whiteside back into the starting lineup for the first time since Jan. 20 after playing Whiteside as a backup in 29 straight games.
Whiteside responded with 18 points and 15 rebounds.
“We need a higher level from Hassan,” Spoelstra said. “This team needs him to play at his best level, his most aggressive level, his most consistent level, his most reliable level, his most dominant, physical level — all of those things.
“I felt the time was now, and he responded in the right way.”
Miami also got double-figure scoring from Luol Deng (20 points), Goran Dragic (19), Dwyane Wade (17) and Gerald Green (15).
The good news for Miami is that they’ve gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams from the Central Division while going 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games against their Eastern Conference counterparts.
The bad news is that the Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record.
Why Bet the Detroit Pistons
The Pistons (43-37 SU, 41-37 ATS) are a good bet because they’re playing at home and have already beaten the Heat twice this season.
With their spot in the playoffs no longer in doubt, likeable head coach Stan Van Gundy gave his ballclub the entire weekend off. The Pistons have won two straight including their 112-99 win over Washington on Friday night.
Detroit closes out the regular season at Cleveland on Wednesday following this intriguing affair against Miami. The Heat, along with Boston, Atlanta and Charlotte are one of four teams fighting for the third and fourth seeds and home-court advantage in the first round.
The Pistons have won three of its last four games overall while limiting two of their last four opponents to 99 points or less.
While Van Gundy will be mindful of his starters’ minutes against Miami, he sys he won’t hold his team back too much.
“Never really coached a game that I didn’t care if we won or lost,” he said after Friday’s win over Washington clinched a postseason berth. “I’ve just never been in that situation.
That doesn’t mean that somewhere we might have to take a look, if we’ve got some guys banged up, at minutes. But we’ll play and try to win.”
The Pistons have posted a robust 18-7-1 ATS mark in their last 26 home games against a team with a losing road record.
Expert Betting Prediction and Pick
The Detroit Pistons have won two of three against Miami this season and they’re playing at home, but it is the ‘semi-desperate’ Miami Heat that are my pick to get the ‘W’ in this contest ad cover the spread as a likely slight road dog.
I know the Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against their Eastern Conference rivals while the home team in this rivalry has gone 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, but the Pistons are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win while Miami needs this win in the worst way.
My final score prediction is Miami 101 Detroit 96