Bet Arkansas vs. Texas Tech! The only double-digit seed in the Sweet 16 round of the 2025 March Madness is No. 10 Arkansas, as the Razorbacks of the SEC take on No. 3 seed Texas Tech of the Big 12 on Thursday night in West Region action from San Francisco.
The winner faces either No. 4 Maryland or No. 1 Florida on Saturday for a trip to the Final Four. See Maryland vs Florida.
| Opening Spread/Totals Subject to Change: Texas Tech -5.5 (total 148) Expert Prediction: Texas Tech 77, Arkansas 73 |
How to Bet Arkansas vs. Texas Tech: MyBookie March Madness Bets in the Sweet 16 & TV Info
Madness Lines subject to change: Texas Tech -250 / Arkansas +198
When: Thursday, 10:10 PM ET
Where: Chase Center, San Francisco
TV: TBS/truTV
Stream: https://www.ncaa.com/march-madness-live
Arkansas and former Southwest Conference rival Texas Tech have met on 80 previous occasions, and both teams have won 40 games in the series.
The Red Raiders lead 6-5 in games played on neutral courts. However, Arkansas is 1-0 versus Texas Tech in NCAA Tourney games and has won 10 of the past 13 meetings overall.
They last met in the second round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament in Indianapolis, and the Hogs won 68-66.
John Calipari
Hall of Fame coach Calipari is 1-0 vs. Texas Tech in his career, coming with Kentucky. He has become just the second coach to take four schools to the Sweet 16, joining Lon Kruger (Florida, Kansas State, Oklahoma, UNLV). Calipari previously took UMass, Memphis and Kentucky.
Calipari’s team has reached this stage for the first time since 2019, when Kentucky lost to Auburn in the Elite Eight. Since the canceled 2020 tournament, they faced missed opportunities and early exits, including a shocking loss to St. Peter’s.
To win the West Region, Arkansas is a +850 longshot with Texas Tech at +320. Florida is the -130 favorite and the team I fully expect to reach the Final Four.
^Razorbacks Ousted Lone No. 2 Seed Thus Far
The only No. 2 seed not in the NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16 is Big East regular-season and tournament champion St. John’s, which was upset by No. 10 Arkansas 75-66 in the Round of 32 on Saturday to advance to the program’s 15th Sweet 16.
Game Review
The Razorbacks and Red Storm battled fiercely, amassing 44 fouls, 25 in the second half. Arkansas led for over 34 minutes, fending off St. John’s late rally to cut the deficit to two points. A crucial 7-0 first-half run and an 11-2 start to the second half helped Arkansas secure the win, aided by a Billy Richmond III jumper.
Richmond led Arkansas and tied his career highs with nine rebounds and 16 points as one of three players in double digits, fellow freshman Karter Knox added 15 points with a career-high four blocked shots and Johnell Davis added 13 points. Knox went 9-for-11 from the free throw line to go with six boards.
The Hogs recorded seven blocked shots, equaling the second-most by a Razorback squad in NCAA Tournament history. Knox added four rejections. Arkansas improved to 52-35 overall in Tourney play. John Calipari became the fourth coach to defeat Hall of Fame coaches consecutively in NCAA Tournament history.
Arkansas is just the second team in the shot clock era to reach the Sweet 16 after starting 0-5 in conference play. It is 8-6 in NCAA Sweet 16 games.
^Bet Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Odds provided by MyBookie
Red Raiders Haven’t Been Tested
No. 3 Texas Tech secured its spot in the Sweet 16 by defeating No. 14 UNC Wilmington 10 points in Round 1 and No. 11 Drake, 77-64, on Saturday. Darrion Williams scored a season-high 28 points, while JT Toppin achieved his 17th double-double with 25 points and 12 rebounds.
Elijah Hawkins
Hawkins scored 16 points, had seven assists, and zero turnovers, breaking the program’s single-season assist record with 214 assists, surpassing John Roberson’s 212 from 2008-09. He shot 10-for-11 from the free-throw line as the Red Raiders went 19-for-22. Hawkins has 802 career assists, averaging 6.5 per game this season.
JT Toppin
Toppin scored 18 points to reach 1,000 career points, hitting the milestone just before halftime, giving the Red Raiders a 37-30 lead. He now has 1,007 points. Despite shooting poorly from 3-point range, Tech dominated in the paint with a 50-20 scoring advantage. Toppin and Williams tied the program record with 11 field goals each.
The Red Raiders are now 21-21 all-time in the Dance. Texas Tech has now advanced to the Sweet 16 in four of the last seven national tournaments, including reaching the 2018 Elite Eight and NCAA Final Four.
^Arkansas vs. Texas Tech NCAAB Game Trends
- Razorbacks are 11-2-2 ATS in their last 15 games.
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a Big 12 opponent.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas’ last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arkansas’ last 7 games played on a Thursday.
- Red Raiders are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Red Raiders are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Thursday.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech’s last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech’s last 5 games against Arkansas.
Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Expert Prediction
The Razorbacks got star freshman guard Boogie Fland back from a long injury absence to start this tournament – he has come off the bench with six points in each game, but was on the floor in crucial moments during both wins. – and big man Adou Thiero is expected to return from his own injury issue on Thursday.
Adou Thiero
Thiero, sidelined for eight games with a knee injury since Feb. 22, averages 15.6 points and 6 rebounds per game. His return would bolster Arkansas’ rotation and provide a strong driving option, and defensively, he ranks highly in blocks and steals.
Texas Tech leads Big 12 with 1.70 assist-to-turnover ratio (6th nationally) and is second among Big 12 schools by scoring 80.9 ppg, shooting 37.4% on 3s and making 10.3 3-pointers per game. Tech has made 10 or more 3-pointers in a program-record 21 games this season.
Big 12 Player of the Year JT Toppin leads Tech with 18.1 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 17 double-doubles. Guard Elijah Hawkins boasts a 3.40 assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking fifth nationally with 214 assists and 9.4 points per game.
Grant McCasland has led the Red Raiders to the NCAA Tournament in each of his first two seasons, and is in the national tournament for the third time in his career as a head coach. His 50-19 record at Tech is the best start for a head coach in program history. Texas Tech 77, Arkansas 73.
^$25K SWEET 16 BRACKET
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