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At the NCAA Men’s College Basketball Tournament, the most competitive games in the first round often involve 10 seeds versus 7 seeds. When 10-Boise State takes on 7-Northwestern on Thursday, college hoops handicappers should expect a crazy tight game. Will Boise State get the win? Or will the favorite score the victory?

We will now preview this game plus get our betting predictions and analysis for this Round of 64 of the March Madness contest. Keep reading for college basketball betting lines, analysis, and a free pick for Boise State vs. Northwestern.

2023 March Madness Round of 64 Game
No. 10 Boise State Broncos vs. No. 7 Northwestern Wildcats Betting Preview

Boise State of Mountain West meets Northwestern of Big Ten in NCAA Tourney First Round
ATS Odds: Northwestern -1.5
Moneyline Odds: Boise State +102 / Northwestern -128
Over/Under Odds: 127.5 -110
When: Thursday, March 16 at 7:35 pm ET
Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
TV / Streaming: truTV/Paramount+

Why Bet on Boise State against Northwestern?

This season, the Mountain West is one of the most underrated in college hoops. Not only did the Boise State Broncos make the NCAA Tournament, but so did the Mountain West tourney champions, the Utah State Aggies.

Utah State has attracted so much respect that the Aggies are a -1.5 favorite over SEC team Missouri. Boise State isn’t the chalk in this, but at -1.5, oddsmakers believe this is a toss up.

Northwestern had to battle in the Big Ten. So the Wildcats should be more tired than Boise.

Boise State Broncos Offensive Averages

Points/G: 72.1
FG %: 45.5
3PT%: 36.2
FT %: 74.0
Rebounds/G: 33.4

Boise State Broncos Defensive Averages

Points/G: 63.7
FG %: 41.2
3PT%: 30.2
FT %: 69.4
Rebounds/G: 29.1

Why Bet on Northwestern against Boise State?

The Northwestern Wildcats fell to Penn State 67-65 in overtime in the Big Ten Tournament. The Nittany Lions made it all the way to the Big Ten Tournament Final.

So nobody should knock Northwestern for the loss. During the regular season, Northwestern showed they can beat quality teams.

The Wildcats bested Wisconsin, Ohio State, Purdue, Indiana and Iowa, in 5 straight games from Feb. 5 to Feb. 19. Purdue, Indiana, and Iowa, all made it to the NCAA Tournament. Purdue is a 1-seed. So the fact Northwestern beat them is big.

Northwestern Wildcats Offensive Averages

Points/G: 67.7
FG %: 40.9
3PT%: 32.3
FT %: 74.9
Rebounds/G: 32.0

Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Averages

Points/G: 62.3
FG %: 41.2
3PT%: 33.9
FT %: 68.0
Rebounds/G: 31.6

Northwestern vs. Boise State Betting Trends

Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
Boise State is 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games
Over is 14-6 in the Broncos’ last 20 overall
Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10
Northwestern is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games
Under is 8-2-1 in the Wildcats’ last 11

Northwestern vs. Boise State Betting Odds and Prediction

Boise State is a good team, but Northwestern is better. The Wildcats are proven and because they lost in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament, the favored team in this should be well-rested and ready to go.

Also, Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 while playing in one of the toughest and deepest conference in the nation.

Boise State is a solid team. But the Broncos failed by 10 against rival Utah State in the Mountain West Tournament Championship. Northwestern wins this by at least 2.

March Madness Round of 64 Pick: Northwestern -1.5 | Bet Boise State vs. Northwestern Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game