March Madness Possible Title Matches: The 2024 NCAA Tournament is on a break ahead of the start of the Sweet 16 on Thursday.
MyBookie March Madness Expert Analysis | NCAA March Madness Vegas Odds | NCAA Tournament Championship: April 8th at the University of Phoenix Stadium
It has been a very chalk Big Dance through two rounds with just a single double-digit seed left in No. 11 NC State of the ACC but all four No. 1 seeds and No. 2 seeds still standing. Here’s a look at some likely national title matchups.
No. 1 UConn vs. No. 1 Houston
The Huskies remain +210 favorites to repeat as national champions and Houston is a +600 second favorite to win it all for the first time. UConn has easily beaten its first two opponents in this Dance. Center Donovan Clingan (16.5 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 8 blocks total, 78% clip from the field in the NCAA tournament) He has been a two-way force for Dan Hurley’s squad in this tournament so far. Purdue star center Zach Edey is the only player in America more impactful than Clingan when he’s on the court. The Huskies have won eight straight NCAA Tournament games dating to last season by at least 13 points. That’s a record.
Houston, like UConn, spent quite a bit of time at No. 1 in the polls this season. The Cougars were pushed to the limit in the Round of 32 by No. 9 seed Texas A&M with UH escaping in OT. The Aggies forced overtime with a furious rally, outscoring Houston 17-5 in the final two minutes of regulation. Andersson Garcia beat the buzzer with his ninth 3-pointer of the season, and then was mobbed by his teammates but UH dominated in the OT. The Cougars improved to 8-2 as a No. 1 seed. They now have won at least 32 games for the fifth time. This will be Houston’s fifth straight Sweet 16 and 16th all-time.
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No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 4. Duke
Illinois has a very tough game against No. 2 Iowa State in the Sweet 16 with the winner then almost surely getting defending national champion UConn. The Illini are +3200 to win the national title. No. 3 seed Illinois dominated from start to finish in its 89-63 second-round win over 11th-seeded Duquesne, securing the Fighting Illini’s first trip to the Sweet 16 since 2005. Illinois led by as many as 32 in the second half en route to the fourth-largest NCAA Tournament win in program history. Terrence Shannon Jr. (30.5 PPG during his team’s current six-game winning streak) has recorded 56 points in two tournament games, the second-best two-game tally in Illinois history.
Duke has blown out its two opponents in this Dance so far and is +2300 to win the national title. In the past 25 NCAA Tournaments, Duke has advanced to the Sweet 16 in 19 of them. Duke ended James Madison’s national-best 14-game winning streak with a 93-55 rout of James Madison in the Round of 32. Duke’s 93 points matched the most by the Blue Devils in the NCAA Tournament since a 93-85 first-round win over UNC Wilmington on March 17, 2016. Duke’s defense held JMU to 55 points, matching a season-low by the Dukes and 29.0 below its season average of 84.0. The Blue Devils have held 29 of their 34 opponents to below their respective scoring average.
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No. 1 North Carolina vs. No. 1 Purdue
Carolina (+1300 to win it all) is a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament for a record 18th time and is 65-12 as a top seed. The Heels spanked No. 9 Michigan State in the Round of 32 to improve to 133-49 all-time in NCAA Tournament play. The 133 wins are the most by any school in event history. Including Saturday’s win, UNC has won 17 of its last 18 games when leading at halftime and is 57-6 under head coach Hubert Davis when leading at the break. UNC has advanced to a regional final for the 38th time, the round of 16 for the 36th time and to what the NCAA calls the Sweet 16 for a record 31st time. RJ Davis is an All-American point guard. Armando Bacot is one of the top big men in America. And now, Harrison Ingram has found a rhythm again (50% from beyond the arc in the NCAA tournament) after a lengthy slump.
Purdue (+600) has the nation’s most dominant player in two-time Big Ten Player of the Year Zach Edey, who also will win National Player of the Year for a second straight season. Purdue has reached the Sweet 16 for the fifth time in the last seven years, the second-most appearances in the country during that span (Gonzaga – 7). It marks the seventh trip of the Matt Painter era. Purdue won its first two games in the NCAA Tournament by a combined 67 points (78-50 vs. Grambling; 106-67 vs. Utah State). The 106 points were the most for a Big Ten team in an NCAA Tournament game since 1999. The Boilers are now 8-0 this season against nationally-ranked teams, winning by an average of 10.1 points per game. Purdue is 11-2 against the top 25 since the start of last season. Edey became the first player since Lew Alcindor (1968) to have at least 50 points, 35 rebounds and shoot 65 percent from the field in the first two NCAA Tournament games.
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NCAA Basketball Championship Odds | Top 10
- UConn Huskies +220
- Houston Cougars +550
- Purdue Boilermakers +600
- Arizona Wildcats +850
- North Carolina Tar Heels +1200
- Tennessee Volunteers +1200
- Marquette Golden Eagles +1600
- Iowa State Cyclones +1900
- Gonzaga Bulldogs +2500
- Duke Blue Devils +2500
2024 March Madness Schedule
Round | City | Venue | Dates | Host |
---|---|---|---|---|
East Regional | Boston | TD Garden | March 28 – 30 | Boston College |
South Regional | Dallas | American Airlines Center | March 29 -31 | Big 12 Conference |
Midwest Regional | Detroit | Little Caesars Arena | March 29 – 31 | University of Detroit Mercy / Oakland University |
West Regional | Los Angeles | Crypto.com Arena | March 28 – 30 | Pepperdine University |
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2023 NCAA National Championship Odds
The Connecticut Huskies take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Monday night with a shot to win yet another National Championship. UConn has rolled past their first five opponents at this year’s NCAA Men’s Mach Madness Tournament. On Monday, only the Aztecs stand in the way of UConn’s run to the title. Will SDSU step it up? Or will the Huskies win and cover? Check out odds, analysis, and free picks for the 2023 NCAA Mach Madness title game.
We will now preview the National Championship game plus our betting prediction for this contest. Keep reading for college basketball betting lines, analysis, and a free pick for San Diego State vs. UConn.
2023 NCAA National Championship Betting Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs vs. UConn Huskies
Odds: UConn -7.5 | San Diego State +265 / UConn -344 | O/U 150
When: Monday, April 3 at 9:20 pm ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
TV / Streaming: CBS/Paramount+
Why bet on San Diego State versus UConn?
Connecticut has rolled through their first five opponents at this year’s Big Dance, but the Huskies have yet to face a team that plays the type of defense SDSU plays.
San Diego State gave up 33 points to Creighton in the first half of their Elite Eight matchup. The Aztecs allowed the Blue Jays to score 23 in the second half. SDSU beat Creighton 57-56.
In their Final Four semifinal game, SDSU allowed Florida Atlantic to score 40 in the first half. Then in the second half, the Aztecs held FAU to 31 points in the 72-71 victory.
San Diego State Offensive Averages
- Points/G: 72.9
- FG %: 45.2
- 3PT%: 36.3
- FT %: 78.0
- Rebounds/G: 32.4
San Diego State Defensive Averages
- Points/G: 64.4
- FG %: 42.1
- 3PT%: 29.8
- FT %: 74.3
- Rebounds/G: 27.4
Why bet on UConn versus San Diego State?
SDSU plays great defense, no doubt, but so do the Huskies. In their Elite Eight victory over Gonzaga, the Huskies held one of the highest scoring teams in college hoops to 54 points.
Then against Miami in the Final Four, UConn dominated the Hurricanes, holding Miami to 24 first half points and 59 points all together. If SDSU wants to play a slow down, defensive game, UConn will oblige because the Huskies’ are just as good as the Aztecs’ at forcing their opponent to take bad shots.
Connecticut Huskies Offensive Averages
- Points/G: 79.0
- FG %: 45.9
- 3PT%: 35.6
- FT %: 75.8
- Rebounds/G: 36.1
Connecticut Huskies Defensive Averages
- Points/G: 64.8
- FG %: 40.8
- 3PT%: 29.7
- FT %: 73.6
- Rebounds/G: 26.5
San Diego State Aztecs vs. UConn Huskies Betting Trends
- Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games
- San Diego State is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss
- Under is 13-3 in the Aztecs’ last 16 games following a straight up win
- Huskies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games
- UConn is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at a neutral site
- Under is 7-1 in the Huskies’ last 8 games following an ATS win
UConn vs. San Diego State Betting Odds and Prediction
We must applaud San Diego State for making it this far. The Aztecs upset 1-Alabama and 6-Creighton to make it to the Final Four.
Then versus Florida Atlantic, San Diego State Aztecs required a last second shot to get past the Owls. One look at how San Diego State has performed and it feels like they’re a team of destiny.
But on Monday night, SDSU faces one of the hottest teams in the history of the NCAA Touranment. Connecticut hasn’t beaten an opponent in their last five by less than 15 points.
In their last two games, the UConn Huskies have dusted Miami and Gonzaga by a combined average of more than 20 points. The Huskies not only have a great defense.
UConn can also score. So the Huskies have a significant edge against the Aztecs. The line feels high for a National Championship game. It’s not. UConn rolls past the spread.
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