The Davidson Wildcats will be looking to pull off the huge upset over the third-ranked Dayton Flyers when the two rivals square off in their A-10 conference clash on Friday night. With Dayton riding the wave of a phenomenal winning streak and Dayton looking to challenge for the conference crown, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NCAAB Odds in this Davidson vs Dayton.
Davidson vs Dayton 2020 College Basketball Game Preview & Betting Odds
- When: Friday, February 28, 2020 at 7:00 PM ET
- Where: University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH
- Radio: TuneIn.com
- TV: ESPN2
- NCAAB Odds: Dayton -11.5 / Total: 140.5
https://t.co/FfzqGTq8hP📊: https://t.co/S8a6qTAy7a#TCC #CatsAreWild pic.twitter.com/nTfyFGFySq— Davidson Basketball (@DavidsonMBB) February 28, 2020
Why Bet On Davidson
The Wildcats have won two straight and four of five including a 74-49 blowout win over LaSalle on Tuesday. Junior guard Kellan Grady put up a team-high 22 points in the win and has scored at least 20 points in three straight. Senior guard Jon Axel Gudmundsson is the reigning Atlantic 10 Player of the Year. The 6-foot-5 senior averages 14.0 points per game to go along with a team-high 4.6 assists and 7.3 rebounds per game. Davidson is averaging 73.2 points per game (116th) on 45.3 percent shooting (99th) while allowing 66.6 points per game (101st) on 42.1 percent shooting (134th). The Wildcats have gone an uninspiring 4-7 on the road this season.
- Total Score: 73.22
- Field Goal %: 45.22
- Three Point %: 36.78
- Free Throw %: 76.07
- Total Rebounds: 34.33
- Total Score: 66.59
- Field Goal %: 42
- Three Point %: 32.43
- Free Throw %: 70.97
- Total Rebounds: 32.93
Davidson Wildcats Betting Trends
- Wildcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Wildcats are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Why Bet On Dayton
The third-ranked Flyers have won 17 straight games and can clinch the A-10 title with a win in this contest. Dayton comes into this contest off a hard-fought 62-55 road win over George Mason on Tuesday and own a three-game lead on Rhode Island with three games remaining. Sophomore forward and national player of the year candidate Obi Toppin posted a team-high 19 points and seven rebounds in the win.
“I think anytime you can say you’ve got a chance to win the league, it’s a blessing, especially in a league like the A-10,” junior guard Ibi Watson told reporters. “We’re happy and excited about that, and we’ll keep working.”
The Flyers, who have lost only to No. 1 Kansas and No. 20 Colorado – both in overtime on a neutral court – look like they’re going to get at least a No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
“We’re excited,” Dayton coach Anthony Grant told reporters. “We’re always grateful. … We know we have more opportunities that are available to us. We want to make sure we take advantage of those opportunities.”
Dayton is averaging 79.9 points per game (16th) on 52.0 percent shooting, which ranks first nationally. The Flyers allow 65.2 points per game (64th) on 41.4 percent shooting (90th). Dayton has gone an unblemished 15-0 at home this season.
- Total Score: 79.93
- Field Goal %: 52.01
- Three Point %: 36.38
- Free Throw %: 72.2
- Total Rebounds: 34.82
- Total Score: 65.18
- Field Goal %: 41.39
- Three Point %: 32.76
- Free Throw %: 65.31
- Total Rebounds: 32.07
Dayton Flyers Betting Trends
- Flyers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Flyers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
- Flyers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Flyers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
Davidson vs Dayton Expert Analysis and Prediction
Dayton is playing at home and it’s a near guarantee that they will avoid losing this contest outright against a clearly inferior Davidson squad. However, when it comes to cover the chalk in this matchup, I do like the Wildcats to get it done, mostly because I believe the double-digit spread is a few points too high.
Not only have the Wildcats gone a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game, but the road team in this A-10 rivalry has gone 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings while the underdog has gone 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. While I genuinely believe Dayton could reach the Final Four once March Madness gets underway, the Flyers aren’t the pick to cover on Friday night.
Pick: Dayton 75 Davidson 69