New Mexico vs San Diego State NCAAB Odds, Preview & Pick

New Mexico vs San Diego State NCAAB Odds, Preview & Pick

Written by on February 11, 2020

Undefeated San Diego State hosts rival New Mexico on Tuesday. Every game means something for the SDSU Aztecs. Because most consider the Mountain West a “B” conference, San Diego State must win every game to ensure a 1 or 2 seed. Will SDSU punish New Mexico and cover as a massive favorite? Or, will the Lobos keep this game close enough to make Aztec fans worry? Check out college basketball odds, a preview, and a free pick for New Mexico versus San Diego State!

New Mexico vs San Diego State NCAAB Odds, Preview & Pick

  • When: Tuesday, Feb. 11 at 11:00 pm ET
  • Where: Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
  • TV: ESPN 2
  • ATS Odds: San Diego State -15 ½
  • Over/Under Odds: 144 ½

Why New Mexico Lobos are a good bet +15 ½

The Lobos’ 17-8 SU record puts them in the upper half of the conference. One of the reasons for New Mexico’s competitiveness is that their best player can dominate. JaQuan Lyle leads the team in points per game with 16.5. Lyle, a 6’ 5” guard, averages 4.1 boards and 4.8 assists. When Lyle is on his game, the Lobos can hang with the best teams in the conference. New Mexico has over 15 points to work with here. That’s a ton of points.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 79.6
  • Field Goal %: 48.5
  • 3-Point %: 33.9
  • Free Throw %: 71.9
  • Rebounds/G: 32.6
Defense:
  • Points/G: 75.8
  • Field Goal %: 44.8
  • 3-Point %: 34.8
  • Free Throw %: 69
  • Rebounds/G: 31.6

Why San Diego State Aztecs are a good bet -15 ½

Not only is San Diego State 24-0 SU but they’re also 15-8 ATS. The Aztecs play that perfect blend of offense and defense. They average close to 76 points per while holding their opponents to 58.3 per. Malachi Flynn leads the team in points, 16.5 each game, and assists, a 5.1 average. But SDSU gets great balance from their starting 5. Yanni Wetzel, Matt Mitchell, and Jordan Schakel all score in double-figures. San Diego State is for real.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 75.8
  • Field Goal %: 47.4
  • 3-Point %: 38.8
  • Free Throw %: 75.3
  • Rebounds/G: 32.4
Defense:
  • Points/G: 58.3
  • Field Goal %: 37.7
  • 3-Point %: 28.2
  • Free Throw %: 71.7
  • Rebounds/G: 28.9

NCAAB Betting Trends for New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs

  • Lobos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games
  • New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
  • Favorite is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings
  • Over is 5-0 in Lobos last 5 games as a road underdog
  • San Diego State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win
  • SDSU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a losing road record
  • Aztecs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400
  • Over is 5-0 in Aztecs last 5 games

New Mexico vs San Diego State Final NCAAB Betting Analysis:

Overall trends imply New Mexico has a shot to cover. They might. Recent trends point to the Aztecs winning by at least 16. Although SDSU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 versus a team with a losing road record, they’ve gone 3-0 ATS in their last 3.

San Diego State is peaking. SDSU beat Utah State 80-68 on Feb. 1. They beat Air Force 89-74 on Feb. 8. The game that started the streak happened versus New Mexico. The Lobos should have left the arena at halftime after the Aztecs built a 48-25 lead. SDSU beat New Mexico 85-57.

There’s a caveat to that one. JaQuan Lyles didn’t play. New Mexico State’s best player will be on the court on Tuesday night. That should make the difference against the spread. San Diego State wins straight up. The Lobos cover.

NCAAB Free Pick: New Mexico +15 ½   

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