Bills vs Ravens Odds Analysis for Week 4 of the 2022 NFL Season

The Bills head to Baltimore on Sunday to take on the Ravens. Buffalo lost their first game of the season in week 3 when the division rival Miami Dolphins upset the Bills. Buffalo will step onto M&T Bank Stadium’s field a favorite to beat the Ravens. Will Baltimore step it up on their grass? See below for NFL Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Ravens versus Bills. 

NFL Week 4 Betting Preview for Buffalo Bills at Baltimore

Buffalo versus Baltimore Odds and Game Info

• When: Sunday, Oct. 2 at 1:00 pm ET 
• Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
• TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount +
• ATS Odds: Buffalo -3    
• Over/Under Odds: 51   

Why bet on Buffalo versus Baltimore?

Although Buffalo lost to the Dolphins in their last, the Bills had a chance to win the game. Buffalo failed to get into field goal range on their last possession. No doubt, the loss will serve as motivation versus Lamar Jackson and Baltimore. Almost as important? Buffalo’s defense holds opponents to 12.7 points per game. 

Buffalo Bills Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 441.3

• Passing Yards: 329.0

• Rushing Yards: 112.3

• Points Scored: 30.3

• Turnovers: 5

Buffalo Bills Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 214.0

• Passing Yards: 156.3

• Rushing Yards: 57.7

• Points Scored: 12.7

• Takeaways: 6

Why bet on Baltimore versus Buffalo?

The Ravens’ offense can’t be stopped. Baltimore averages 33 points per from 380.3 total yards. Quarterback Lamar Jackson is making a case for a second NFL MVP trophy. Lamar has thrown 10 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions. Jackson is averaging over 9 yards per carry. He’s scored 2 rushing touchdowns in 3 games and has rushed for 243 yards. 

Baltimore Ravens Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 380.3

• Passing Yards: 245.0

• Rushing Yards: 135.3

• Points Scored: 33.0

• Turnovers: 3

Baltimore Ravens Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 458.0

• Passing Yards: 353.3

• Rushing Yards: 104.7

• Points Scored: 25.7

• Takeaways: 8

Bills at Ravens Relevant Trends

• Bills are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss
• Buffalo is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss
• Over is 4-1 in the Bills’ last 5 versus a team with a winning record
• Ravens are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win
• Baltimore is 9-4 ATS versus a team with a winning record
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings 

Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens Final Betting Prediction

On paper, Buffalo wins. But the Ravens have something the Bills don’t, Lamar Jackson. Lamar is the difficult players in the league to defend against.

Jackson might be the NFL’s quickest player, which means he can scoot through a hole before the D knows what has hit them. On Sunday, Jackson’s ability to get through Buffalo’s initial front four will be the key to the Ravens’ success. 

The Bills can’t come up with the same strategy against Jackson that they have versus other quarterbacks. To make things more difficult for Buffalo in this game, safety Micah Hyde is out for the season, defensive tackle Jordan Phillips is listed as doubtful, and DE Ed Oliver is listed as questionable.

So once Lamar gets through the initial front four, he could take the rock to the house. If the Bills can’t contain Jackson, it won’t matter how well Josh Allen plays on the other side. Lamar and the Ravens offense will keep this close. 

Also, Baltimore gets the Bills in their stadium. Take the 3 points to cash.  

NFL Week 4 Pick: Baltimore Ravens +3 

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