Week 6 of the National Football League will kick off on Thursday Night Football. A pair of AFC West teams will mix it up as the Denver Broncos take on the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Broncos come into this game fresh off a loss to the New York Jets. The loss dropped them to 1-4 on the season, and that’s last place in the division.
Kansas City won four straight games after losing their season opener to the Detroit Lions. The Chiefs are 4-1 and lead the division.
The Kansas City Chiefs are favorites in this game. Kansas City is at -10.5, and the total is listed at 50 points.
MyBookie offers the game prediction plus NFL betting lines, analysis, along with a free pick for Thursday Night Football: Denver Broncos versus the Kansas City Chiefs which are playing on Week 6 of the NFL season.
TNF Broncos vs Chiefs Odds and Betting Prediction for this Week 6 Matchup | MyBookie NFL Week 6 Regular Season Preview
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs | NFL Week 6 Thursday Night Football
ATS: Chiefs -10.5
Money line: Broncos +410 / Chiefs -574
Over/Under: 45.5
Thursday, October 12th, 2023 at 8:15 pm ET | PRIME VIDEO
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Chiefs Seeking Fifth Straight Win
The Kansas City Chiefs come into Week 6 as the 9th highest-scoring team in the National Football League. They are throwing for 258 yards a game and rushing for an additional 123 per game.
The Chiefs’ most significant success has come on third down, where they rank the best in all of the league, at converting 51.5% of their chances.
Patrick Mahomes is again coming through with a solid start to the season. Mahomes has over 1,000 passing yards thrown and eight touchdowns on the season, with four interceptions.
His top target, of course, has been Travis Kelce, with 17 receptions, 155 yards, and two touchdowns. The run game for the Chiefs has been up and down through five games, but Isiah Pacheco leads the charge with 55 carries, 270 yards, and two touchdowns.
The Chiefs have wins over the Jaguars, Bears, Jets, and Vikings and will take on the Chargers and Broncos again to end October.
Slow Start in Denver
For the Denver Broncos, the Sean Payton experience is not off to a great start. The Broncos have dropped four of their first five games. The lone win was a come-from-behind win at the Bears. This Broncos team gave up 70 points earlier in a loss to the Dolphins. That explains their 36.2 points per game allowed, which is the worst in all of the National Football League.
On the offensive side, Russell Wilson has completed 89 of 132 passes for 1,014 yards, nine touchdowns, and just two interceptions. Those numbers certainly cannot be the reason for the early season struggles.
Courtland Sutton and Brandon Johnson both lead the team with three touchdown receptions in the early going. Denver’s run game has been one of the worst in the league. Last week, Javonte Williams did not play, and he is questionable for this affair. Denver has just one rushing touchdown all season.
The Broncos will go home and host the Packers in Week 7 and then the Chiefs in Week 8 before their Week 9 bye. After the bye, Denver sees the Bills, Vikings, and Browns in November.
Broncos vs Chiefs Betting Prediction | Chiefs Win; Broncos Cover on Thursday Night Football
This should be an exciting game. These two teams know each other pretty well, as they are, of course, divisional rivals. They will play twice this month, and it will be interesting to see how the Broncos adjust to them. Both teams have a short week to prepare.
Look for Kansas City to start a little sluggish, as they still struggle to keep the offense going like they used to effectively.
For Denver, they are not doing many things well. But, in this one, they keep it close and cover the spread. While the Kansas City Chiefs win this game, the Denver Broncos cover the spread.
We will take the Denver Broncos +10.5, and the Chiefs win 31-24 on Thursday Night Football.
NFL Week 6 TNF Pick: ATS Broncos +10.5 | Bet Broncos vs Chiefs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
Denver Broncos Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 10/8/23 | vs NYJ | L31-21 |
| 10/1/23 | @ CHI | W31-28 |
| 9/24/23 | @ MIA | L70-20 |
| 9/17/23 | vs WSH | L35-33 |
| 9/10/23 | vs LV | L17-16 |
Denver Broncos Injury Report
| Name | Position | Status | DATE |
|---|---|---|
| Baron Browning LB | PUP-R | Oct 6 |
| Javonte Williams RB | Questionable | Oct 8 |
| D.J. Jones DT | Questionable | Oct 8 |
AFC West Standings
| Team | W | L | T | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 0 | W4 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 2 | 0 | W2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 3 | 0 | L3 |
| Denver Broncos | 1 | 4 | 0 | L1 |
Kansas City Chiefs Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 10/8/23 | @ MIN | W27-20 |
| 10/1/23 | @ NYJ | W23-20 |
| 9/24/23 | vs CHI | W41-10 |
| 9/17/23 | @ JAX | W17-9 |
| 9/7/23 | vs DET | L21-20 |
Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report
| Name | Position | Status | DATE |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Dickerson DT | Questionable | Oct 8 |
| Travis Kelce TE | Questionable | Oct 8 |
| Nick Bolton LB | Questionable | Oct 8 |
NFL Odds
Kansas City Chiefs
Super Bowl Odds to Win: +530
AFC West Odds to Win:
+260
Denver Broncos
Super Bowl Odds to Win: +19000
AFC West Odds to Win: +9500
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
- On the road last season, Denver was 1-8 overall and 4-5 against the spread.
- The Broncos have yet to win a game against the spread this season (0-4-1).
- Away from home, Denver was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 10.5-point underdogs or more.
- In nine road games last season, Denver went over the total three times.
- This season, Broncos games have hit the over four times.
- Last time around, the Broncos fell to the New York Jets, with 31-21 being the final score.
- Broncos QB Russell Wilson was 20-for-31 for 196 yards, with two TDs and no INTs, against the Jets.
- Against the Minnesota Vikings in their most recent game, the Chiefs won 27-20.
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs’ 2 last games at home
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Broncos’ 3 last games at home
The following NFL betting odds are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Super Bowl Odds to Win this 2025 NFL Season
The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.
| Teams | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +480 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +520 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +930 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +960 |
| Detroit Lions | +990 |
| Buffalo Bills | +1175 |
| Houston Texans | +1300 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1475 |
| New York Jets | +1475 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1625 |
| Miami Dolphins | +2300 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +2900 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +3000 |
| Chicago Bears | +3100 |
| Green Bay Packers | +3100 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +3200 |
| Cleveland Browns | +3900 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +4100 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +4500 |
| New Orleans Saints | +4900 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +5400 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +5800 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6200 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +8000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +9000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +11000 |
| Washington Commanders | +13000 |
| Denver Broncos | +14000 |
| New England Patriots | +14000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +16000 |
| New York Giants | +17000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +40000 |
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