The goal of every NFL team is to get through training camp and the 4 preseason games without losing any key personnel to injury. When a major player does go down with a season-ending injury, it sends a ripple effect through the entire league, causing everyone to re-think their wagers for the coming season.
This is because the odds tend to shift very quickly, and if you don’t believe that to be true, just look at what happened over the weekend. On Friday, the bookies had the Indianapolis Colts in as slight favorites to win their division this season, but mere minutes after QB Andrew Luck announced that he was retiring from football, the Cols slid all the way down to the biggest longshot in the division.
That retirement announcement will have put a spanner in the works in Indianapolis, especially with it coming this late in the season. Whether the Colts can rebound from the news is going to be interesting to watch, starting with how they play against the Cincinnati Bengals in the final game of their preseason schedule this coming Thursday. Let’s take a look at the latest NFL Odds while making some predictions.
Colts vs Bengals 2019 NFL Preseason Week 4 Odds & Prediction
- When: Thursday, August 29 at 7 PM EST
- Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati
- TV: NFL Network
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
- NFL Preseason Week 4 Odds: Cincinnati Bengals -4 (Total 33.5)
- Sunny: 27°C/80°F
- Humidity: 58%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Cloud Cover: 3%
- Wind: 6 mph W
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Indianapolis Colts?
The Colts players and coaching staff are sure to still be reeling after the Luck announcement, but they all need to focus on who is there to play and how they can keep this season on track. The Colts have not had the best preseason, going 0-3 through the opening 3 weeks, and now they have to decide who will be under center when their season begins next week.
Chad Kelly made a case for himself to be in that position, going 16-21 for 209 yards and a TD, as well as an INT. He has cut the controversial figure during his time in college and the early days of his NFL career, but perhaps being handed the reins as the starting QB might center him a little. As for this one, the Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday night games.
Team Stats (Offense)
- Points per Game: 28.10
- Passing Yards: 282.70
- Rushing Yards: 96.90
- Turnovers: 1.20
Why bet on the Cincinnati Bengals?
There are some who believe that the Cincinnati Bengals might be a bit of a surprise package in the AFC North this season. The Bengals are 1-2 through the opening 3 weeks of preseason, and while that is certainly nothing to be concerned about, one thing that is worrisome is the healthy of star WR A.J. Green. He hurt his ankle in the early going in training camp, and the Bengals are still unsure exactly when he will return to the fold.
If that injury carries over into the start of the regular season, Cincinnati could potentially be looking at a slow start. If you are looking for a betting angle with the Bengals in this one, consider that 4 of their last 5 Thursday games have gone OVER.
Team Stats (Offense)
- Points per Game: 21.00
- Passing Yards: 214.50
- Rushing Yards: 100.10
- Turnovers: 1.60
Colts vs Bengals NFL Preseason Week 4 Betting Trends
- Indianapolis are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC conference
- Indianapolis are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Thursday
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis’ last 6 games on the road
- Cincinnati are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games
- Cincinnati are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Colts vs Bengals
The expectation here is that Chad Kelly is going to see a lot of game time in Week 4, just in case he will be the one making the start for the Colts on opening week. I think the opportunity to win the job might see him put in a performance that takes the Colts to the win.
Score: Indianapolis Colts 27 – Cincinnati Bengals 24