Jacksonville vs Kansas City Betting Trends & Picks - NFL Divisional Round Lines

To suggest that a team goes into the playoffs without any pressure on their shoulders is simply wrong. That said, there are varying degrees of pressure to be found, with most of it sitting squarely on the team heading into the postseason as the #1 seed. Not only do they get a week off and play a game less, they also have home field advantage all the way to the Super Bowl. The expectations are high, and so is the pressure level. That is where the Chiefs are at heading into the AFC Divisional Round this weekend as they get set to host the upstart Jacksonville Jaguars. On paper, this has all the makings of a lopsided affair, with the Chiefs in as a 9-point favorite, but don’t tell that to the Jaguars. The point total for this one is set at 52 ½. Let’s have a closer look at both teams for this Jaguars vs Chiefs matchup, so you can bet against their NFL Playoffs Odds.

2023 NFL Divisional Round Betting Preview for Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas

Jaguars versus Chiefs Match Info

When: Saturday, January 21 at 4:30 PM EST
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
TV: NBC

Why bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars

A few minutes before half time in their Wild Card game against the LA Chargers, we all had the Jaguars dead in the water. They were down 27-0 at that point, but they did give themselves some life with a late TD. What happened in the second half of that game was nothing short of miraculous, with the Jaguars continuing to score and come away with the 31-30 win. As great as that victory was, they cannot afford to get behind like that to the Chiefs, as this team is a good deal more ruthless and unlikely to let a lead of that magnitude slip away. For the fans with no dog in the fight, the hope is that the Jaguars can keep it close, which may be possible when you consider that they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, although just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 versus the Chiefs. Jacksonville has seen 9 of their last 12 games played in the month of January go UNDER.

Why bet on the Kansas City Chiefs

You can call it luck if you want, but the Kansas City Chiefs were able to take advantage of the suspended Bills/Bengals game to land the #1 seed in the AFC. Yes, that means a bit of an easier path to the Super Bowl, but keep in mind, this might be the only home game they get, as there is the possibility of a neutral site Conference Championship Game next weekend, depending on how things play out this week. That aside, the Chiefs finished the season strong, going on a run that saw them win 5 in a row to close things out and cling 1^st in the conference. They are 7-3 SU in their last 10 meetings with the Jaguars, but they have not been a great spread bet, going just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games. The UNDER has hit in 4 of their last 5 versus the AFC South.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Do I think that the Jacksonville Jaguars can pull another upset this weekend? Not really, but I do think they have an opportunity to stay in this game for a while, assuming they get off to a better start. I am taking the Jags to cover and the UNDER,

NFL Playoffs Betting Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars 20 Kansas City Chiefs 28