Saints vs Cowboys NFL Week 13 Odds & Pick for Thursday Night.

Saints vs Cowboys NFL Week 13 Odds & Pick for Thursday Night

Written by on November 27, 2018

It’s another terrific Thursday night matchup this week in the NFL and a potential playoff preview as the New Orleans Saints put their 10-game winning streak on the line when they visit the NFC East co-leading Dallas Cowboys. The red-hot Saints are just over a TD favorite at Mybookie Sportsbook.

How to Bet Saints vs Cowboys NFL Week 13 Odds & Game Info

NFL Week 13 ATS Betting Picks

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 15°C/59°F
  • Humidity: 72%
  • Precipitation: 4%
  • Cloud Cover: 3%
  • Wind: 5 mph SW
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

Last Meeting

In Week 4 of the 2015 season, the Saints beat the Cowboys 26-20 in overtime. Drew Brees hit C.J. Spiller (now out of NFL) with a short pass that the running back turned into an 80-yard touchdown on the second play of overtime. Brees completed 33 of 41 throws for 359 yards and two TDs. Mark Ingram gained 128 yards from scrimmage. The Cowboys QB back then was the forgettable Brandon Weeden. Dallas’ two best offensive players now, QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliott, were both still in college.

Why Bet on New Orleans?

What more can you say about the Saints? They have won 10 straight games and covered the past nine. They were 31-17 winners on Thanksgiving over Atlanta and would clinch the NFC South with a win here and a Carolina loss at Tampa Bay on Sunday.Drew Brees completed 15-of-22 passes for 171 yards, four touchdowns and one pick in the win over Atlanta. Brees hit four different undrafted free agents — Tommylee Lewis, Dan Arnold, Austin Carr and Keith Kirkwood for touchdowns Thursday.

New Orleans forced five fumbles and coasted behind stellar defense and explosiveness up the middle from Alvin Kamara (14/89) and Mark Ingram (11/52). Brees tied an NFL record by hitting 13 different receivers for TDs this year. Michael Thomas caught 4-of-6 targets for 38 yards. His 38 yards were a season-low mark.

The Saints allowed 26 rushing yards to the Falcons, their fewest in a game since 2000. They are allowing an NFL-low 73.2 rushing yards per game this season. No running back has run for 70 against them. Falcons running backs Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith combined for just 6 yards on 12 carries. The Saints haven’t finished a season higher than 10th in the NFL in run defense since 1992.

“When you can hold a team to 1.6 [yards] a carry, they may as well not even try to run the ball anymore,” Saints defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins said of Atlanta’s average yards per rush, which was boosted by quarterback Matt Ryan’s two scrambles for 16 yards.

Saints kicker Wil Lutz is quietly having an All-Pro caliber season. He’s leading the NFL with 109 points this season after making 22-of-23 field goal attempts and 43-of-44 extra points. Gone are the days where the Saints burned through 11 kickers in 11 years under coach Sean Payton.

Why Bet on Dallas?

The Cowboys won their third straight last Thursday, 31-23 over Washington. Dak Prescott completed 22-of-31 passes for 289 yards and two touchdowns. Prescott added 18 yards and a third touchdown on the ground. His two passing scores were 40- and 90-yard strikes to Amari Cooper, who went for 180 yards. The 289 pass yards is a new season-high for Prescott, and he’s topped 200 yards passing in all four games with Cooper after failing to reach that mark several times before the deal. Cooper has seen at least eight targets in 3-of-4 games with the Cowboys and has put together a 22-349-3 line for Dallas.

Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 121 yards and one touchdown on 26 carries. He added five catches for 22 yards on six targets. Elliott waltzed through a gaping hole untouched into the end zone for his 16-yard rushing score. Elliott has 643 yards and four touchdowns over his last four games since the bye, three resulting in Cowboys wins. Elliott had a season-high 31 touches during the Cowboys’ 3rd straight win. Since drafting him in 2016, Dallas is 6-1 when Elliott has at least 30 touches in a game.

Saints vs Cowboys opens the NFL Week 13 action.

Jason Garrett said Elliott is dealing with some hip soreness, which is why the running back did not practice on Sunday but Elliott did on Monday. Elliott said he was given a day of rest after so much work in three games over a 12-day span with 68 carries for 394 yards and three touchdowns and 18 catches for 137 yards and a touchdown. “We’re just making sure we are taking care of my body, so I’m fresh going into this game on Thursday,” Elliott said.

Elliott has three straight 100-yard rushing games and leads the NFL in rushing. Prescott has completed 70.7 percent of his passes in the three-game winning streak and has not been intercepted in three straight games, his longest streak since the middle of last season.

Cowboys owner Jerry Jones expects Pro Bowl left tackle Tyron Smith (neck, elbow) to play in Week 13. Smith was active but didn’t play any snaps on Thanksgiving. Smith’s play hasn’t dropped off despite dealing with multiple injuries this year, grading as a top-10 tackle at PFF.

NFL Week 13 Over/Under Picks

Saints vs Cowboys NFL Week 13 Betting Trends

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Dallas
  • Underdog is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
  • Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings
  • New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
  • Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’s last 6 games

Expert Prediction for Saints vs Cowboys

We like Dallas for an upset but of course will take those points.
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