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In Week 11, the Houston Texans (1-7-1) host the Washington Commanders (5-5) at NRG Stadium in Houston.

The Commanders enter this matchup playing some strong football; Washington went into Philadelphia on Monday Night and defeated the previously unbeaten Eagles 32-21. Meanwhile, the Texans have dropped four straight contests, including a 24-16 defeat last week to the New York Giants.

Will Houston pull off the upset? Can the Commanders continue their strong push? Let’s dive into this matchup a little more and check out the best Commanders vs. Texans NFL Betting picks.

NFL Week 11 Lines & Analysis for Washington Commanders at Houston

Commanders Upset Eagles, Continue Strong Play

On Monday Night Football, the Washington Commanders defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 32-21 to dislodge them from the unbeaten club. Washington has developed a strong run identity and took advantage of that against the Eagles as they dominated the time of possession and refused to give up the lead.

The offense pounded the football, and the strategy was successful as the Commanders ran wild against Philly, gaining 152 yards on the ground while adding two rushing touchdowns. The Commanders have completely turned around their season and have now won four of their last five contests while also going 4-0-1 ATS during that time period.

It will be interesting to see how Ron Rivera and the Commanders play out their quarterback situation with Carson Wentz potentially back in the mix from his early injury. Now that there is a short week, however, Washington’s focus is now on the Houston Texans and getting a win on the road.

Texans Look to Break Losing Streak at Home

In Week Ten’s game against the New York Giants, the Houston Texans gave it their all but came up just short, falling on the road 24-16. With only eight games remaining, the squad is currently in free fall with a record of 1-7-1, and it doesn’t appear that it will soon stop.

Turnovers were one of the problems the Texans had on Sunday, and they were a major factor in the Giants’ victory over them. Dameon Pierce coughed up a fumble in the red zone on which the Giants capitalized on, while quarterback Davis Mills threw another interception making that nine on the season, the second-most in the NFL.

While the offense has just averaged just 16.6 points per game, it has been head coach Lovie Smith’s defense that has been their biggest strength. Houston’s pass rush has made some noise this year and is a key component to keep them in games. On Sunday, the Texans managed to penetrate the New York Giants‘ backfield three times, making it their third straight game with multiple sacks and their sixth overall.

Betting Lines & Odds

When it comes to Commanders vs. Texans betting odds, the spread for this game opened at 2.5 points and quickly moved to 3.0 points after the Commanders win over the Eagles.

Oddsmakers like the Commanders to win this matchup favoring them by -3 points on the spread (-110). In terms of the moneyline, the Commanders are -165 road favorites, while the Texans are +140 underdogs to win at home. The Over/Under total for his matchup is 40.5 points (-110).

Betting Pick

The Houston Texans are in complete freefall mode, with even rumors swirling about a potential quarterback change. The Texans have some nice young stars on both sides of the ball, but the team is far from complete, and they are missing some key pieces.

The Commanders, on the other hand, have played strong football on both sides of the ball. After starting the season 1-4, the Commanders have rattled off four wins in their last five games and find themselves competing for a playoff spot in the NFC.

Houston has dropped their last four contests and has lost to NFC East opponents in back-to-back games. Washington will make it a third on Sunday night as they are 4-1 straight up and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. Back the Commanders on the road.

Prediction: Commanders -3 (-110)