NFL Week 11 Odds: Detroit Lions at Cleveland Betting Analysis

The struggling Cleveland Browns host the Detroit Lions on Sunday in a game Baker Mayfield and his mates must win. The Browns bombed big time versus the New England Patriots in Week 10. If Cleveland falls to Detroit on Sunday, the season could be over. Will the winless Lions keep this close? Or will the Browns get back on track with a win and cover? Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Lions at Browns.

NFL Betting Preview for Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

NFL Week 11 Betting | Detroit at Cleveland Game Odds & Info

When: Sunday, Nov. 21 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
TV / Streaming: FOX / Fox Sports
ATS Odds: Cleveland -11
Over/Under Odds: 43 ½

Why bet on Detroit versus Cleveland?

The Lions head to NFL Week 11 after their best performance of the season. Detroit faced a tough Pittsburgh Steelers squad on the road in Week 10. All the Lions did was force overtime in a 16-16 game. On Sunday, Detroit faces a Cleveland team with a banged up Baker Mayfield. The Lions have a real shot to cover the spread.

Detroit Lions Offensive Averages

Total Yards: 319.4

Passing Yards: 211.2

Rushing Yards: 108.2

Points Scored: 16.7

Turnovers: 11

Detroit Lions Defensive Averages

Total Yards: 379.8

Passing Yards: 244.1

Rushing Yards: 135.7

Points Scored: 28.9

Takeaways: 10

Why bet on Cleveland versus Detroit?

Baker Mayfield is banged up, but he should play. So should Jarvis Landry. Not only that, but although Detroit played great in the tie against Pittsburgh, the Lions face a much better offense on Sunday than they faced in Week 10. The Browns average 154.1 rushing yards per game. Nick Chubb won’t play. But even in the loss to the Patriots last Sunday, D’Ernest Johnson averaged 5.0 yards per carry. On their field and versus an inferior opponent, the Cleveland Browns should roll.

Cleveland Browns Offensive Averages

Total Yards: 363.8

Passing Yards: 209.7

Rushing Yards: 154.1

Points Scored: 23.1

Turnovers: 9

Cleveland Browns Defensive Averages

Total Yards: 323.9

Passing Yards: 229.2

Rushing Yards: 94.7

Points Scored: 24.1

Takeaways: 7

Lions at Browns Relevant Trends

Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
Detroit is 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games in November
Under is 6-1 in the Lions last 7 games overall
Browns are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games in November
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games
Under is 5-0 in the Browns last 5 games in Week 11

Detroit Lions at Cleveland Browns Final Betting Prediction

The Cleveland Browns are a tough team to figure. The team has no problem going to Cincinnati and drubbing Joe Burrow and the Bengals.

But then the defense folds versus rookie quarterback Mac Jones and the New England Patriots. It could be that the Pats are just a better team.

The thing to worry about, though, is how Cleveland seemed to give up on both sides of the football after the Patriots jumped out to a 14-0 lead. It’s almost as if the Browns expect to lose.

With that being written, Cleveland should win this game straight up. But the Browns figure to have a tough time covering.

Detroit is a bad football team. The Lions play hard in every game, though. Eventually, the Lions will win a game this season.

An injured Baker Mayfield and a defense that appeared to throw in the towel after things got dicey in New England could be the team Detroit beats. To be safe, take the points.

NFL Week 11 Pick: Detroit Lions

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