When it comes to placing bets on the Super Bowl, you have to wonder, what is the best Super Bowl bet? The three most popular options are against the spread (ATS), moneyline (ML), and total (Over/Under), and understanding the nuances of each can help you make an informed decision and MyBookie wants you to know what is the best option to win big in your next SB bet.
What is the Best Super Bowl Bet: ATS, ML, or Total According to MyBookie
Super Bowl Betting: The SECRET to Picking the RIGHT Bet!
2025 NFL season | 106th season of National Football League in the United States
Super Bowl 59: Sunday, February 9th, 2025
Betting on the Biggest Sports Event of the Year
The Super Bowl is the biggest betting event of the year.
Bettors have many options when placing their wagers, but the three most popular bets are against the spread (ATS), moneyline (ML), and total (Over/Under).
Each of these bets offers a different approach to predicting the outcome of the game.
Super Bowl 59 Odds for the Game
Super Bowl LIX Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)
Sunday, February 9, 2025 th, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST FOX | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
ATS Odds: Kansas City -1
Money line Odds: Chiefs -116 / Eagles -105
Over/Under Odds: 49
Betting Super Bowl LIX Odds for the Game
This year, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles meet in Super Bowl 59.
The Chiefs are 1.5-point favorites, with a total set at 49.
Kansas City is aiming for its third straight Super Bowl win, while Philadelphia returns to the big game after a dominant NFC Championship performance.
With so many betting angles, choosing the best option requires a closer look at each bet type.
Understanding how ATS, moneyline, and total bets work can help bettors make informed decisions.
Trends and expert analysis provide insight into which wager offers the best value.
Let’s break down each option and see which might be the best bet for Super Bowl 59.
ATS Bet a Winner on Next the Big Game
Understanding ATS Betting: Is It the Best Option for the Super Bowl?
Betting against the spread (ATS) means wagering on whether a team will cover the point spread.
The Chiefs are currently favored by 1.5 points, meaning they must win by at least two points for an ATS bet on them to win.
If the Eagles lose by one point or win outright, a bet on them ATS would win.
Does History Plays in ATS Betting?
History shows that Super Bowl winners almost always cover the spread.
Teams that win the Super Bowl are 49-7-2 ATS, covering at an 87.5% rate.
Since 2009, the winning team has gone 14-1 ATS, meaning if you bet on the team you think will win, taking them ATS has been a strong strategy.
When Coaches Affect Your ATS Bets?
Coaching trends also impact ATS bets.
Andy Reid has covered in four of his five Super Bowl appearances.
Nick Sirianni, however, is just 4-4 ATS in the playoffs.
With such a close spread, an ATS bet on the Chiefs may hold value, given their history of covering when winning.
Can a Rushing Team Win Your ATS Bets?
Rushing yards can also predict ATS success.
The team that rushes for more yards has covered 74.5% of the time.
The Eagles ran for seven touchdowns in the NFC Championship, showing their ability to control the ground game.
If they dominate in this area, an ATS bet on Philadelphia could be the way to go.
Will the Team with the Ball Win Your ATS Bets?
Another key factor is time of possession.
Teams that control the ball tend to cover the spread, with a 70.9% ATS success rate in Super Bowls.
The Eagles ranked third in time of possession this season, while the Chiefs ranked sixth.
If Philadelphia can extend drives and keep Mahomes off the field, their ATS chances improve.
Straight Up Bet a Winner on Next the Big Game
Moneyline Betting on the Super Bowl: The Simplicity and Appeal of Picking the Winner
Moneyline betting is the simplest option.
You pick which team will win, with no concern about the spread.
The Chiefs are -123 favorites, meaning you must risk $123 to win $100.
The Eagles are +104 underdogs, meaning a $100 bet on them wins $104 if they win outright.
Are Winners a Profitable Moneyline Bet for the Super Bowl
Super Bowl winners are almost always profitable on the moneyline.
The Chiefs have won three of the last four Super Bowls, and Patrick Mahomes has an 85% career win rate as a favorite in the playoffs.
Betting on Kansas City ML may feel safer if you believe they will win but don’t want to worry about the spread.
The Eagles have a strong rushing attack and lead the league in defensive EPA since Week 10.
If they can control possession and keep Mahomes off the field, they have a chance to win outright.
With the moneyline offering plus odds on Philadelphia, betting the Eagles ML could be a valuable play for those who think they will pull off the upset.
History Backs First to Score Wins Straigh Up Bets
One key trend is how teams that score first perform.
Historically, teams that score first have won 64% of Super Bowls.
If you are leaning toward an ML bet, watching the first quarter for a live bet opportunity could be a strong move.
Turnovers Win Straigh Up Bets
Turnovers also play a big role in moneyline bets.
Teams that win the turnover battle have won 80% of Super Bowls.
The Chiefs have taken care of the ball well in the playoffs, while the Eagles have forced multiple turnovers in recent games.
If either team forces an early mistake, it could shift the value of a live moneyline bet.
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Over/Under Bet a Winner on Next the Big Game
Total (Over/Under) Bets in the Super Bowl: How to Predict Game Scoring and Set Your Strategy
The total for Super Bowl 59 is set at 49 points.
Betting the Over means predicting at least 49 total points, while the Under means betting on 48 or fewer.
This bet depends on offensive and defensive performances rather than picking a winner.
History Makes Your Stay Away from Total Bets
Trends show the Super Bowl total has been unpredictable.
In the last 10 years, the Over has hit six times and the Under four times.
High-powered offenses often push the total Over, while strong defenses and slow starts favor the Under.
Philadelphia’s offense scored 55 points in the NFC Championship, showing they can put up points.
However, the Chiefs’ defense ranked fourth in points allowed this season, making an Under bet appealing.
Kansas City games have leaned Under recently, with six of their last nine playoff games going below the total.
You can Make Total Bets in the 1st and 2nd Half of the Super Bowl
Betting on the total can also be split into halves.
First-half totals have been much lower in recent Super Bowls.
Bettors expecting a slow start but a higher-scoring second half could consider a first-half Under and a full-game Over.
That Weather will Freeze Your Total Super Bowl Bets
Weather and playing conditions also impact totals.
If the game is played in ideal conditions, passing offenses may have more success, increasing the chance of an Over.
If conditions are colder or windier than expected, the Under could become a better bet as teams rely more on the run game and defensive stops.
Writer’s Pick on the Best Super Bowl Bet
Which Bet is the Best for Super Bowl 59?
Each bet type has advantages, but trends and matchups provide insight into the best play.
Betting ATS offers value, as winners almost always cover.
The Chiefs’ success in covering as Super Bowl winners makes them an appealing ATS bet.
Avoid Dealing with Super Bowl Spreads with Moneyline Bets
Moneyline betting is the simplest and removes concerns about the spread.
If you believe the Eagles can pull off an upset, the plus odds on their moneyline could offer better value than the spread.
The Chiefs’ strong history as favorites also makes their moneyline a safer pick.
The total bet depends on game flow.
The Chiefs’ defense and slow-scoring first halves in recent Super Bowls make the Under an appealing play.
If Philadelphia’s offense stays hot, the Over could be the better option.
What is the Best Super Bowl Bet: Super Bowl 59 Lines
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ATS Pick: Chiefs -1
-
Moneyline Pick: Chiefs -123
-
Total Pick: Under 49
Betting against the spread seems to offer the best value based on Super Bowl trends.
However, if you believe in the Eagles’ rushing attack, taking them on the moneyline at plus odds could be a strong underdog play.
The total remains a close call, but with two strong defenses, the Under looks like a solid bet.
Super Bowl Links:
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Betting Pick for the Super Bowl: Eagles vs Chiefs
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What is the Super Bowl? Let’s Find Out
The Super Bowl is the championship game of the National Football League (NFL), held annually to determine the league’s champion. It takes place on the first Sunday of February and is the culmination of the NFL season, where the champions of the AFC (American Football Conference) and NFC (National Football Conference) face off for the coveted Lombardi Trophy.
The game is widely regarded as one of the biggest sports events in the United States and attracts millions of viewers from around the world. Besides the football action, the Super Bowl is also known for its entertaining halftime shows, celebrity appearances, and high-budget commercials.
In addition to the thrilling football action, the Super Bowl is known for its iconic halftime shows, high-budget commercials, and festive atmosphere. It has become a major cultural event in the United States, drawing large crowds for Super Bowl parties, betting activities, and celebrations.
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