Forget the Odds...Who Can Really Win Super Bowl?

When it comes to the Super Bowl, it’s easy to get lost in the numbers, but forget the odds…Who can really win Super Bowl? The Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles are set to clash for the Lombardi Trophy once again, with Kansas City aiming for an unprecedented three-peat and the Eagles looking to dominate with a revamped roster featuring Saquon Barkley and a powerful defense.

Forget the Odds…Who Can Really Win Super Bowl?
Who Will Lift the Lombardi Trophy? A Deeper Look Beyond the Super Bowl Odds

2025 NFL season | 106th season of National Football League in the United States
Super Bowl 59: Sunday, February 9th, 2025

Betting on Who Can Really Win Super Bowl?

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles are set to face off once again in the Super Bowl.

This marks their second meeting in three years, with Kansas City taking the last matchup in a 38-35 victory.

The Chiefs are now looking to secure a historic three-peat, something no team has done in the modern NFL era.

The Eagles, however, have reloaded with a strong roster.

Saquon Barkley, their new running back, has dominated the playoffs and will be a major factor in this game.

Jalen Hurts has continued to improve as a passer, and Philadelphia’s defense has been one of the toughest in the league all season.

With all the hype around the game, the odds tell only part of the story.

The real question is: Who has the best chance of walking away with the Lombardi Trophy? Let’s take a deep dive into each team’s strengths and weaknesses and see who is really built to win.

Super Bowl Odds for the Game

Super Bowl LIX Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (14-3)
Sunday, February 9, 2025 th, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST FOX | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

ATS Odds: Kansas City -1.5
Money line Odds: Chiefs -129 / Eagles +101
Over/Under Odds: 49.5

Writer’s Pick Without Thinking of the Odds…Who Can Really Win Super Bowl?

Breaking Down the Contenders: Chiefs vs. Eagles – Who Has the Best Shot at Super Bowl Glory?

Both teams have proven they belong on this stage.

The Chiefs are the reigning champions with the best quarterback in the game.

The Eagles have built a dominant roster with a physical identity.

This game will be decided by the matchups on the field and which team executes their game plan better.

Let’s break down how each team stacks up.

Table of Contents on the Breaking Down

Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid Factor
Jalen Hurts and the Eagles’ Offense
Chiefs’ Defense – Underrated but Effective
Eagles’ Defense – Can They Stop Mahomes?
The Battle in the Trenches
Which Team Has the Better Coaching Staff?
Turnover Battle and Mistakes
Could the Eagles or Chiefs Surprise Us in the Super Bowl?

Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid Factor

Mahomes is arguably the best quarterback in the NFL.

His ability to make plays under pressure, extend drives, and deliver in the biggest moments is unmatched.

Head coach Andy Reid, a mastermind of offensive schemes, gives Mahomes the perfect platform to thrive.

The Chiefs’ playoff experience, led by this duo, is a major advantage.

In previous playoff runs, Mahomes has shown he can adjust to any defense.

His quick decision-making and ability to create plays outside the pocket make him a nightmare for any opponent.

Reid’s offensive creativity ensures the Chiefs always have an answer, no matter how tough the defense.

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles’ Offense

Hurts has developed into a strong passer, but his dual-threat ability is what sets him apart.

The Eagles’ offensive system allows him to use his legs while also being efficient in the passing game.

Having weapons like A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith makes the Eagles’ offense explosive.

The biggest addition this season is Saquon Barkley.

His presence in the backfield adds a new dimension to Philadelphia’s attack.

With a strong offensive line leading the way, the Eagles can dominate time of possession and keep Mahomes on the sideline.

Chiefs’ Defense – Underrated but Effective

Kansas City’s defense has been one of the most overlooked units in the league.

They finished the season in the top 10 in both points and yards allowed.

Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo has done a great job making adjustments throughout the season.

Key players like Chris Jones and Trent McDuffie have been playmakers, causing disruption in crucial moments.

While the Chiefs’ offense gets most of the attention, their defense has been the foundation of their success this season.

Eagles’ Defense – Can They Stop Mahomes?

Philadelphia’s defense is ranked at the top of the league, largely due to its ability to force turnovers and pressure the quarterback.

Their front seven, led by Haason Reddick and Jalen Carter, has been dominant all year.

The biggest challenge will be containing Mahomes.

If the Eagles can generate pressure without blitzing and keep him in the pocket, they have a chance to slow down Kansas City’s attack.

However, if Mahomes has time to throw, Philadelphia’s secondary could struggle.

The Battle in the Trenches

One of the biggest factors in this game will be the offensive and defensive line play.

The Eagles have one of the best offensive lines in football, giving them an edge in both the passing and running game.

Lane Johnson and Jason Kelce provide veteran leadership that helps Philadelphia control the line of scrimmage.

On the other side, the Chiefs’ defensive front will be looking to disrupt the Eagles’ rhythm.

Chris Jones is a force in the middle, and his ability to generate pressure could be key.

If Kansas City can control the trenches, they can throw the Eagles off their game plan.

Which Team Has the Better Coaching Staff?

Coaching will play a big role in this game.

Andy Reid has been here before and knows how to prepare his team for the biggest stage.

His offensive schemes are some of the most creative in football, which makes Kansas City dangerous in any situation.

Nick Sirianni has done a great job with the Eagles, but this will be his toughest challenge yet.

Philadelphia has relied on their physical style of play all season, but will he be able to make the right adjustments if the Chiefs take an early lead?

Turnover Battle and Mistakes

In a game as close as this one, turnovers will be a deciding factor.

The Eagles have forced turnovers all season, but they must be careful not to give Mahomes extra possessions.

If Philadelphia makes mistakes, Kansas City will capitalize.

The Chiefs, on the other hand, have been one of the best teams in the league at protecting the football.

If they continue to take care of the ball, they will be in a great position to win.

Whichever team wins the turnover battle will likely walk away with the Lombardi Trophy.

Could the Eagles or Chiefs Surprise Us in the Super Bowl?

Both teams have been dominant throughout the season, but there is always room for surprises in a game of this magnitude.

Unexpected performances from role players, key injuries, or game-changing special teams plays could swing the outcome.

Let’s look at some factors that could catch fans off guard.

Who Will Really Win the Super Bowl?

This game is as close as it gets.

Both teams have strengths that make them legitimate contenders.

The Eagles have a balanced roster, an elite defense, and a dominant running game.

The Chiefs have Mahomes, a great coach, and a defense that has stepped up in big moments.

Philadelphia’s best shot at winning is playing a perfect game.

They must control the clock, win the turnover battle, and capitalize on scoring chances.

If they execute their game plan, they can pull off the win.

Kansas City, however, has been here before.

Mahomes has never lost a Super Bowl where his team was healthy.

His ability to make plays under pressure gives the Chiefs the edge.

If the game is close late, Mahomes and Reid are tough to bet against.

Another key factor is experience.

The Chiefs have been in this position multiple times, while the Eagles are still a young team learning how to handle the biggest moments.

That edge in experience could be the difference when the pressure mounts.

The final piece of the puzzle is execution.

Both teams have the talent to win, but the one that makes the fewest mistakes will come out on top.

If Kansas City plays smart, disciplined football, they should be able to secure the victory.

Betting Conclusion When Thinking About: Forget the Odds…Who Can Really Win Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl will be another battle between two powerhouse teams.

Both the Eagles and Chiefs have the talent to win, and it should be a thrilling game.

Philadelphia’s defense and running game make them a real threat, but Mahomes’ experience and playmaking ability give Kansas City an edge.

In the end, it’s hard to bet against Mahomes in the biggest moments.

If the Chiefs execute their game plan, they will make history as the first team to win three straight Super Bowls.

But if the Eagles control the pace and dominate the trenches, they could pull off the upset.

Either way, fans are in for a great game.

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Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs definitely have a strong shot at winning their third Super Bowl, especially given their playoff experience, Mahomes' leadership, and their ability to step up in big games.

However, it depends on factors like their opponent, injuries, and how well…
— Benzo (@SMiguel_63) January 31, 2025

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Is It Time to Forget the Odds…Who Can Really Win Super Bowl with MyBookie

As we break down the strengths and weaknesses of each team, it becomes clear that Who can really win Super Bowl goes far beyond just the odds.

Dive into the action and start betting Super Bowl teams with the latest sportsbook odds—sign up now to place your bets before the big game!

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What is Better When Betting on the Super Bowl: Bet Thinking About the Odds or by Gut Feeling? Let’s Find Out

When betting on the Super Bowl, it’s generally better to combine both the odds and your gut feeling, rather than relying solely on one or the other.

Here’s why before betting on the game:

1. Betting on the Odds:

Data-Driven Decisions:
The odds are set by oddsmakers who consider a huge range of factors, such as team performance, injuries, historical trends, and statistical analysis.
Betting based on these odds can help you make more informed decisions, particularly for traditional bets like point spreads, totals, or moneylines.
Understanding Value:
By studying the odds, you can spot value bets—those that may have better chances of winning than the odds suggest.
This requires understanding how the odds fluctuate and when to capitalize on potential mispricings.
Risk Management:
Betting according to odds helps manage your bankroll effectively.
Since the odds are derived from a deep analysis, they often reflect more balanced perspectives, reducing emotional decision-making.

2. Betting by Gut Feeling:

Instinctive Insight:
Sometimes, your gut feeling can reflect hidden factors that aren’t immediately apparent in the data, like team dynamics, locker room energy, or small changes in strategy that might not show up in statistical analysis.
If you’ve followed the teams closely all season, you might have a deeper understanding of the psychological and motivational factors that could influence the game.
Intuition in High-Pressure Situations:
In big games like the Super Bowl, emotions run high, and players may perform differently under pressure.
Your gut feeling can sometimes pick up on trends or shifts in momentum that data alone might not reveal.

3. Balancing Both:

Data and Emotion:
While the odds offer valuable insight into the likely outcomes, your intuition can guide you toward betting on specific outcomes, props, or underdogs that feel right based on your experience and the vibe of the game.
It’s often about using the odds to inform your bets but trusting your instincts for specific situations (like player performances, prop bets, or predicting upsets).
Don’t Rely Exclusively on Gut Feeling:
Gut feelings can be tempting, especially in the emotional hype of the Super Bowl, but betting solely on instinct without considering the data and odds can lead to biased decisions and unnecessary risks.

The best approach is a combination of both—use the odds as a solid foundation to understand the bigger picture and evaluate risk, while also allowing your gut feeling to guide you on certain bet types or game scenarios.

Whether you’re betting on traditional lines or props, blending these two strategies can provide a balanced, thoughtful approach that gives you a better chance of success when betting on the Super Bowl.

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Forget the Odds…Who Can Really Win Super Bowl LVIII?

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All this talk about the Super Bowl Betting Odds, Prop Bets, and who is going to be Super Bowl MVP Odds. But, in the end, the game matters, and it matters a ton.

The players on the field are playing to be champions of Super Bowl LVIII. Forget the odds, who really is going to win Super Bowl LVIII? Let’s take a look:

Forget the Odds… Who will Really Win Super Bowl LVIII? | MyBookie NFL Playoff Preview for the Big Game

Super Bowl LVIII | 58th edition of the annual league championship game of the National Football League
Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers
ATS Odds: 49ers -1
Money line Odds: Kansas City Chiefs Line: +100 / San Francisco 49ers Line: -120
Over/Under Odds: 47.5

Sunday, February 11th, 2024 at 6:30 pm ET | CBS
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Mahomes and the Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs have been there and done that. They beat the 49ers and then recently took down the Eagles. Kansas City had a loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl during this dynasty. The signal caller is tough to slow down. He and the Chiefs got off to a slow start, which is part of the reason why they started the postseason with an 11-6 record.

Kansas City took care of the Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens in the postseason. In those three games, the Chiefs scored 70 points, and allowed just 41. The key to the postseason success has been great defense, and Mahomes and his ability to move the chains and get into the end zone.

Travis Kelce and Isiah Pacheco are doing most of their offensive activity. Kelce has three touchdown receptions, while Pacheco has three rushing touchdowns. Rashee Rice is taking up the rest of the chunk of offense for the Chiefs. Kansas City finished the regular season scoring 21.8 points per game.

49ers Run on McCaffrey

Just like America runs on Dunkin Donuts, the San Francisco 49ers run on Christian McCaffrey. In turn, the former Stanford running back runs on opposing defenses. McCaffrey has scored touchdowns in four of his last five games, and during that time has six touchdowns. He went the first five weeks of the season, and scored in each of them.

George Kittle is another big time threat for the 49ers. When Brock Purdy need a reliable target in the middle of the field, or someone to move the chains, he looks to the former Iowa star. Kittle is mixed in with Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel, as all three are deadly in the passing game.

The difference in this game is going to be the 49ers defense. They have been very good, allowing 26 points per game to the Packers and Lions in postseason play. Late in the season, the 49ers allowed 33 to Baltimore, so there are definitely issues to be worked out.

Super Bowl LVIII: The Verdict is In

There you have it. In the end, the Kansas City Chiefs are going to win Super Bowl LVIII. The Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl for back to back seasons, and for the third time in five seasons.

We expect a fun game, but the Chiefs are too much for the 49ers here. Enjoy the game and best of luck if you are interested in betting on the game. Our pick, without odds – the Kansas City Chiefs over the San Francisco 49ers.

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Who Can Really Win a Super Bowl in 2019?

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Super Bowl odds provide great clues as to how teams might perform in the upcoming season. But, odds don’t tell the whole story. For example, the odds on the Jacksonville Jaguars to win Super Bowl 52 were around +15000 in most sportsbooks before Week 1.

Jacksonville was a game away from punching their ticket to the Super Bowl. That means the Jags could have scored at 150 to 1 odds to win Super Bowl 52. Philadelphia was a +4000 shot to win Super Bowl 52 before the season started. They won it.

If odds aren’t as predictive as they’ve got a reputation of being, how can Super Bowl 53 future bettors decide on which team to wager?

Who Can Really Win a Super Bowl in 2019?

The place to start is to throw out odds. Work your way backwards by throwing out odds, handicapping NFL teams, and deciding which teams can win the Super Bowl…no matter their odds.

Below, are a list of teams that can win the Super Bowl in 2019.

AFC Teams

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville projects to have the best defense in the AFC. They should handle the Patriots this season because New England will be without Nate Solder, their left tackle the past few seasons. Jacksonville probably should have beaten the Patriots in the 2018 AFC Championship.

They didn’t. This season, with an improved offense, and a lock down defense, Jacksonville should easily march to the playoffs. The Jags are as solid as it gets.

Houston Texans

The key for the Texans will be the health of QB DeShaun Watson. Watson is expected to be ready to go for training camp. With a healthy Watson, Houston’s offense is as dynamic as any in the NFL.

The defense remains one of the best in the league. There’s no reason to feel that the Texans can’t pull off a Super Bowl victory in Watson’s second season. The Eagles did in Wentz’s second season.

Denver Broncos

Denver’s defense should be a Top 5 unit. The schedule isn’t nearly as formidable as many believe it to be while the offense improved a ton after John Elway signed QB Case Keenum. If RB Royce Freeman can become a rookie rock star and the offensive line stays healthy, the Broncos could win the Super Bowl.

New England Patriots

The Patriots can win the Super Bowl because they’re the New England Patriots. As long as QB Tom Brady is there, coach Bill Belichick will find a way. Also, the AFC East remains one of the worst divisions in the NFL. That means New England is a lock to make the playoffs.

NFC Teams

Philadelphia Eagles

The schedule is brutal, but a team with a Super Bowl MVP as a backup quarterback should make the playoffs. Once the Eagles make the playoffs, they’ll have a good shot to repeat as Super Bowl Champions.

L.A. Rams

The Rams improved the wide receiver position by trading for WR Brandin Cooks. Cooks will spread the field. That should leave ample opportunities for both Pharoh Cooper and Robert Woods. RB Todd Gurley is the best in the NFL.

The defense should be better this season than it was last season. The reason? Ndamukong Suh at nose tackle, and Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters at the cornerback positions.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints boast one of the top defenses in the NFL. New Orleans’ rushing attack is the best in the NFL while future hall of fame QB Drew Brees continues to play at a high-level.

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota’s defense was the best in the NFL last season. The D could be just as good this season if not better. The Vikes signed QB Kirk Cousins. He’s got a couple of nice targets in Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Also, RB Dalvin Cook should be ready to roll after an injury marred rookie season.

Based on my handicapping, the Super Bowl 53 winner will come from this list: Jacksonville, Houston, Denver, New England, Philadelphia, L.A. Rams, New Orleans, and Minnesota.

Now, do your own handicapping and check out the odds before making your choice.