Forget the Odds...Who Can Really Win a Super Bowl in 2019?

Forget the Odds…Who Can Really Win Super Bowl LIII in 2019?

Written by on July 24, 2018

Super Bowl LIII odds provide great clues as to how teams might perform in the upcoming season. But, odds don’t tell the whole story. For example, the odds on the Jacksonville Jaguars to win Super Bowl 52 were around +15000 in most sportsbooks before Week 1. Jacksonville was a game away from punching their ticket to the Super Bowl. That means the Jags could have scored at 150 to 1 odds to win Super Bowl 52. Philadelphia was a +4000 shot to win Super Bowl 52 before the season started. They won it. If odds aren’t as predictive as they’ve got a reputation of being, how can Super Bowl 53 future bettors decide on which team to wager?

Who Can Really Win a Super Bowl in 2019?

The place to start is to throw out odds. Work your way backwards by throwing out odds, handicapping NFL teams, and deciding which teams can win the Super Bowl…no matter their odds. Below, are a list of teams that can win the Super Bowl in 2019.

AFC Teams

Jacksonville Jaguars

 Jacksonville projects to have the best defense in the AFC. They should handle the Patriots this season because New England will be without Nate Solder, their left tackle the past few seasons. Jacksonville probably should have beaten the Patriots in the 2018 AFC Championship. They didn’t. This season, with an improved offense, and a lock down defense, Jacksonville should easily march to the playoffs. The Jags are as solid as it gets.

Houston Texans

The key for the Texans will be the health of QB DeShaun Watson. Watson is expected to be ready to go for training camp. With a healthy Watson, Houston’s offense is as dynamic as any in the NFL. The defense remains one of the best in the league. There’s no reason to feel that the Texans can’t pull off a Super Bowl victory in Watson’s second season. The Eagles did in Wentz’s second season.

Denver Broncos

Denver’s defense should be a Top 5 unit. The schedule isn’t nearly as formidable as many believe it to be while the offense improved a ton after John Elway signed QB Case Keenum. If RB Royce Freeman can become a rookie rock star and the offensive line stays healthy, the Broncos could win the Super Bowl.

New England Patriots

The Patriots can win the Super Bowl because they’re the New England Patriots. As long as QB Tom Brady is there, coach Bill Belichick will find a way. Also, the AFC East remains one of the worst divisions in the NFL. That means New England is a lock to make the playoffs.

NFC Teams

Philadelphia Eagles

The schedule is brutal, but a team with a Super Bowl MVP as a backup quarterback should make the playoffs. Once the Eagles make the playoffs, they’ll have a good shot to repeat as Super Bowl Champions.

L.A. Rams

Are the Rams a safe bet to win Super Bowl LIII? The Rams improved the wide receiver position by trading for WR Brandin Cooks. Cooks will spread the field. That should leave ample opportunities for both Pharoh Cooper and Robert Woods. RB Todd Gurley is the best in the NFL. The defense should be better this season than it was last season. The reason? Ndamukong Suh at nose tackle, and Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters at the cornerback positions.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints boast one of the top defenses in the NFL. New Orleans’ rushing attack is the best in the NFL while future hall of fame QB Drew Brees continues to play at a high-level.

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota’s defense was the best in the NFL last season. The D could be just as good this season if not better. The Vikes signed QB Kirk Cousins. He’s got a couple of nice targets in Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Also, RB Dalvin Cook should be ready to roll after an injury marred rookie season. Based on my handicapping, the Super Bowl 53 winner will come from this list:  Jacksonville, Houston, Denver, New England, Philadelphia, L.A. Rams, New Orleans, and Minnesota. Now, do your own handicapping and check out the odds before making your choice.