Odds for the 2024 SAG Awards are out. Below, check out SAG Awards odds for the three most competitive categories along with analysis and picks. Then keep reading for thoughts regarding the non-competitive categories.
Which actors will leave the 2024 SAG Awards Ceremony with statues in their hands? Check out SAG Awards odds, analysis, and picks for the top four categories.
Early Odds & Predictions for the 2024 SAG Awards | MyBookie Entertainment Betting Preview
2024 SAG Awards | 30th edition of the Screen Actors Guild Awards | Outstanding motion picture and primetime television performances
Sunday, February 24th, 2024 | SAG-AFTRA
Shrine Auditorium and Expo Hall, Los Angeles, California
Early Odds & Predictions for the 2024 SAG Awards
Outstanding Cast in a Motion Picture
- Oppenheimer -275
- Barbie +275
- American Fiction +500
- Killers of the Flower Moon +700
Barbie lit up the world because of it’s exceptional take on a tired toy. So, for sure, Barbie has a chance at taking the top prize. In fact, if you are trying to beat Oppenheimer, Barbie is the pick.
However, Barbie is a comedy and comedies don’t often win awards even if the awards are just for thespians. American Fiction and Killers of the Flower Moon both have chances, but both have a steep hill to climb to beat Oppenheimer.
The most celebrated movie of the year also has a fantastic cast. Cillian Murphy plays the main character, but Florence Pugh, Robert Downey Jr., Emily Blunt, Matt Damon, Jack Quaid, and many more are part of the cast.
Oppenheimer wins the Outstanding Cast in a Motion Picture SAG.
Outstanding Cast in a Motion Picture Pick: Oppenheimer | Bet Screen Actors Guild to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Awards
Outstanding Actor in a Leader Role
- Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer -188
- Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers +200
- Bradley Cooper – Maestro +500
- Jefferey Wright – American Fiction +600
- Colman Domingo – Rustin +1000
This is a much tougher category than many realize. The odds imply a close race between Cillian Murphy and Paul Giamatti. For sure, SAG voters will want to hand the award to Giamatti, but going against Murphy isn’t easy.
Murphy was amazing in Oppenheimer. Still, Giamatti has been good in so many things for so many years. Also, people love him.
Although Murphy and Giamatti can win, the pick is Bradley Cooper in Maestro. Cooper plays famed composer Leonard Bernstein. His transformation into Bernstein is one of the greatest performances of all time. At 5-to-1, Cooper for sure is the play.
Outstanding Actor in a Leader Role Pick: Bradley Cooper | Bet Screen Actors Guild to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Awards
Outstanding Actress in a Leader Role
- Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon -333
- Emma Stone – Poor Things +200
- Margot Robbie – Barbie +600
- Carey Mulligan – Maestro +1400
Backing the underdog in this category makes sense. For sure, Lily Gladstone can take the award. But backing Gladstone means SAG voters aren’t handing the award to Emma Stone, Carey Mulligan, or Margo Robbie.
All four have a chance. So when faced with this situation, it makes sense to go for the money. In this case, going for the money means backing Mulligan at the overlay 14-to-1 odds.
Mulligan was exceptional in Maestro. She’s as talented of an actress as you are going to find, and Maestro is an underrated movie.
Outstanding Actress in a Leader Role Pick: Carey Mulligan | Bet Screen Actors Guild to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Awards
Expect chalk to win the the SAG Television Awards
The problem with betting on the SAG Television Categories is that it’s impossible to beat chalk. The SAG Awards come out after the Emmys. It’s rare that SAG goes the different direction than the Emmys.
So an actor Kieran Culkin, who won the Best Actor Emmy for his role in Succession, is at -900 to win the Best Actor SAG Award. Often, SAG voters are also Emmy voters. So there’s no money to be made betting on the SAG Television Categories.
Bet Screen Actors Guild to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Awards
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