Most of the major European domestic leagues have already started, but the opening weekend in Germany is coming our way this weekend.
Bayer Leverkusen are coming into the new season as the defending champions, which is sure to be a surprise to some, given that it is usually Bayern Munich who come in with that label.
My Analysis
Yes, last season was a surprise in the Bundesliga, but was that a one-off situation, or will we see someone other than the Munich giants win it again this season?
The bookies certainly have an idea as to how they think things will go, so let’s take a closer look at the odds for the 2024-25 Bundesliga season.
^Bayern Munich Bundesliga Pick -202
Heading into last season, Bayern Munich were looking to win their 12th straight Bundesliga title, and with Harry Kane in as their new striker for the season, there looked to be no reason why they wouldn’t win it.
Kane definitely held up his end of the bargain, scoring a staggering number of goals in his first year with Bayen, but the rest of it was a total disaster.
Munich ended up down in 3rd, which resulted in a manager change this off season. They have made some other changes this season and should come back stronger.
I would be surprised if they are not back on top this season.
^Bundesliga Time⏰ 🇩🇪
— Opta Analyst (@OptaAnalyst) August 22, 2024
Ahead of the Bundesliga's return, we're asking four key questions:
— Can Bayer Leverkusen run it back?
— Will Harry Kane ever win a trophy?
— Can the chasing pack challenge?
— Who are the new boys?@DavidSegar_ has those covered:https://t.co/37tLPbUn6u
Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga Pick +255
It was a monumental year for Leverkusen last season, as they went on to win their first Bundesliga title in what was one of the most surprising outcomes in Europe.
They also won the DFB Pokal, which is the German Cup, and almost did the treble before losing to Atalanta in the Europa League Final.
They have seen their season get off to a winning start, picking up the German Super Cup last weekend, so are they ready to challenge again this year?
Only time will tell.
^Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga Pick +1025
Domestically, it was not a particularly great season for Dortmund, who had to settle for 5th in the Bundesliga.
When you consider that they had finished 2nd in 4 of the previous 5 seasons, their final finish in the league was almost as surprising as what happened to Bayern Munich.
On the plus side, Dortmund did make it to the Champions League Final, which they ultimately lost 2-0 to Real Madrid.
I think they will bounce back this season and get into the top 3 again.
^RB Leipzig Bundesliga Pick +1250
Realistically speaking, I don’t think that anyone believes that Leipzig will be challenging for the Bundesliga title this season.
In reality, they will be looking for a top 4 finish and a spot in the Champions League next season. The money made by getting into that competition is usually more than enough to help teams bring in new players in the off season.
Over the last 9 years, Leipzig has finished in the top 3 no less than 5 times. They were 4th last season and may well need to settle for that type of finish again.
As long as they get Champions League football, the season will likely be seen as a success.
^Odds to Win for the Rest of the Bundesliga Teams
- Stuttgart +3900
- Frankfurt +10000
- M’Gladbach +18000
- Freiburg +20000
- Hoffenheim +20000
- Wolfsburg +22000
- Werder Bremen +24000
- Heidenheim +26000
- Mainz +44000
- Union Berlin +44000
- Bochum +50000
- St. Pauli +50000
- Augsburg +50000
- Holtein Kiel +50000
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2022/23 Bundesliga Odds
Bundesliga leader Bayern Munich is -4000 to win an eleventh straight German League title. Because Bayern is such a heavy favorite, and because it’s going to be tough to beat Munich, this blog will concentrate on picking winners without Bayern. Check out Bundesliga Odds without Bayern as well as picks.
Bundesliga Updated Betting Odds and Prediction Without Bayern
2022-2023 Bundesliga Season
- When: Aug. 5, 2022 – May 27, 2022
Updated Bundesliga Odds
- RB Leipzig +187
- SC Freiburg +250
- Borussia Dortmund +300
- Eintracht Frankfurt +700
- Union Berlin +900
- Borussia Monchengladbach +6600
- Bayer Leverkusen +6600
- VfL Wolfsburg +8000
- Werder Bremen +10000
- TSG Hoffenheim +12000
- FSV Mainz +20000
2021-2022 Bundesliga Recap
The 2021-2022 Bundesliga Season ended the way many believed it might before the first kick. Bayern Munich dusted Dortmund by 8 points, 77 to 69.
Third place went to Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig finished fourth. Fifth went to Union Berlin. Freiburg finished sixth.
Bundesliga Picks Without Bayern
- Top Pick: RB Leipzig +187
Heading into the Bundesliga restart, Leipzig is in third place overall and second-place without Bayern, 2 points behind Freiburg.
The reason to like RBL over Freiburg is because Leipzig headed to the break on a 6-match winning streak. One of the victories was a fantastic 3-0 Champions League match against Real Madrid.
Any team that can beat the defending CL titlists is good enough to win the Bundesliga. If Bayern doesn’t scare you, consider backing Leipzig at +2700, which are their odds if we include Munich.
- Second Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt +700
The 2021 Europa League winners had a slow start to the season. But since the slow beginning, Frankfurt has really picked it up.
Before the break, Eintracht had won seven with a draw and a couple of losses, to Tottenham and Dortmund, in their last ten. Frankfurt has beaten Sporting CP in a Champions League match and Gladbach in a Bundesliga contest before the hiatus.
For sure, Frankfurt can step it up enough to win the Bundesliga. This is especially true if you back Frankfurt without Bayern.
- Third Pick: SC Freiburg +250
Freiburg has a shot but the second choice based on odds offers too low of a number to put on top. +250 makes Freiburg difficult to back. The roster isn’t as good as Leipzig’s and Freiburg isn’t a Champions League knockout stage participant like Frankfurt.
Going back to the roster, Freiburg’s top player is likely Japanese start Ritsu Doan. Leipzig boasts Spain’s Dani Olmo, Senegal’s Abdou Diallo, Germany star Timo Werner, and Portugal’s Andre Silva.
Diallo, Olmo, Werner, and Silva are the reasons Leipzig is the play to win the Bundesliga without Bayern.
- Top Underdog Play: Bayer Leverkusen +6600
Leverkusen shows 18 points. So the top underdog’s march to the Bundesliga title, even without Bayern, will be long and difficult to accomplish.
But Kusen headed into the break on a 5-match winning streak. One of the victories, 5-0 over Union Berlin, impressed big time.
Bayer has no shot if we include Munich. But without Bayern, who knows? Freiburg, Frankfurt, and Leipzig have had long losing streaks in past seasons. If it happens at the right time, maybe, just maybe, Leverkusen makes up the difference on RBL, Freiburg, and Frankfurt.
I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?
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