Manchester City's Champions League Chances: Expert Analysis of Odds & Path to Glory

Manchester City’s Champions League Chances: Expert Analysis of Odds & Path to Glory

While we are still waiting for the start of the domestic leagues across Europe, most of which will begin in August, we are already in the preliminary rounds of the Champions League.

These games are for the teams that found their way into the tournament by finishing in the top 4 of their respective leagues, or for winners of the smaller leagues in Europe.

 

My Analysis

They are all battling it out for one of the spots available in the new Champions League format, which is one large league as opposed to separate divisions.

The top teams are already in and waiting to see who they will play, which includes the tournament favorite, Manchester City.

Let’s talk about their chances of winning the Champions League this season.

It should be noted that it is always tough to make a serious prediction when there are so many details that we do not yet know.

The transfer window is still wide open in Europe, with Real Madrid still expected to do a lot of business before it closes.

We also don’t know which teams will be playing in the new Champions League format, and perhaps more importantly, which teams will be going head-to-head.

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Man City Last Season

Before we look ahead to the upcoming season, it’s never a bad idea to look back at what went down last season, as well as in the off season.

Manchester City once again won the Premier League, but their bid for a domestic double, a year after winning the treble, came up short after losing to bitter rivals, Manchester United, in the FA Cup Final.

By the standards that City have set for themselves, the 2023/24 season was something of a disappointment.

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Citizens Transfers

In terms of off season moves, Manchester City has been quiet to this point, but that is pretty much the case across the board in the Premier League right now, with many teams sitting back and waiting to see who is available in the latter stages of the transfer window.

One rumor that seems to be picking up steam is that Kevin de Bruyne may be on the way out, which could have an impact on how City plays this season.

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The Missing Trophy

While Manchester City had made a habit of winning domestic trophies in the Pep Guardiola era, the knock on them was that they could not win the Champions League.

They finally put that to bed a couple of seasons ago, when they won this tournament as part of their treble winning season.

Their hopes of a repeat came to an end at the quarter-finals stage last season when they lost to the eventual champions, Real Madrid.

That was their worst showing over the last 5 seasons, so once again expect this team to go far.

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Champions League Betting Prediction

It is almost impossible to make a serious prediction for the Champions League before we know who will play one another.

That said, the new format seems pretty forgiving to the bigger teams, so expect Manchester City to move into the knockout phase without breaking too much of a sweat.

The bookies have City in as the favorite to win at odds of +225 but keep an eye on the changes they might make before the end of the transfer window, as that might have an impact on their final odds.

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UEFA Champions League Schedule

  • July 22 – Third Qualifying Round Draw
  • July 23-24 – First Leg, Second Qualifying Draw
  • July 30-31 – Second Leg, Second Qualifying Draw
  • August 5 – Playoff Round Draw
  • August 6-7 – First Leg, Third Qualifying Round
  • August 13 – Second Leg, Third Qualifying Round
  • August 20-21 – First Leg, Playoff Round
  • August 27-28 – Second Leg, Playoff Round
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2022 Manchester City Odds
 

Before the Champions League Round of 16, Manchester City, along with Bayern Munich, was one of two favorites to win the Champions League. After the Round of 16, City became the outright chalk, and after the Round of 8, City became a co-favorite with Premier League rival Liverpool. Now at +125 odds in a four-team shake, Manchester City has become a value play. Keep reading for an Champions League odds analysis of why the Sky Blues will win the Champions League, why they won’t, and if Manchester City makes it to this year’s Champions League Final.

Manchester City’s Odds to Win the 2022 UEFA Champions League | Soccer Betting

2022 UEFA Champions League Title Match

  • When: Saturday, May 28, 2022
  • Where: Stade de France, Saint Denis, France

Champions League Man City Odds to Win & Odds Analysis

  • Manchester City +125

The odds make Man City more than playable to lift this year’s Champions League trophy. City offered slightly better odds before the Round of 16. 

But City must win just one more aggregate, this time against Real Madrid, to ensure a spot in the CL Finals. So at anything over even money, Manchester City, who lost in last year’s Champions League Finals to rival Chelsea, offers fair odds. 

Why Manchester City will win the 2022 UEFA Champions League title

The Sky Blues boast the best starting eleven in all of soccer. Ederson in goal, Sterling at the top, and a ridiculous midfield that includes Kevin De Bruyne, Gabriel Jesus, and Phil Foden gives City the edge to control possession no matter who they play.

When Jesus isn’t in his best form, the Sky Blues can sub Jack Grealish, who wears the 10. Riyad Mahrez can sub for Jesus or Sterling.

We also can’t forget about Bernardo Silva, Kyle Walker, Jao Cancelo, and John Stones. So, yes, Man City is formidable. 

Why Manchester City won’t win the 2022 UEFA Champions League title

City had almost the same squad in last year’s Champions League Final and they couldn’t get by a Premier rival in Chelsea. So if Manchester City couldn’t beat Chelsea, why do we believe they can beat their likely finals opponent, Liverpool?

If it comes down to Pool and the Sky Blues, we must give the Reds the edge. They beat Man City in the last head-to-head, an FA Cup Semifinal match, 3-2. 

Pool drew 2-2 versus Manchester City in the head-to-head before. The Reds are loaded. There’s also the fact the Sky Blues must get by Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid squad in a 2-match aggregate to even make it to the Champions League Final match. 

Final Betting Analysis: Manchester City +125 to win the Champions League

At first glance, it looks as if Real Madrid has a shot to take down the Sky Blues. Karim Benzema dominated Chelsea and Real has a massive 15-point lead over Barcelona in LaLiga.

But this season, the Premier’s quality is much better than the Primera Division’s quality. Chelsea, City, and Liverpool might be the three best club teams in the world. 

The Sky Blues could be the best team among the three. If Ederson starts in goal and De Bruyne plays at his top form, Real won’t win the aggregate, which means if you like the Sky Blues to take the Champions League, grab the +125 odds before City knocks out Real.

Manchester City Prediction: Make it to the CL Finals

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