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PSG's Road to Champions League Glory: Odds, Analysis, and Key Factors

PSG’s Road to Champions League Glory: Odds, Analysis, and Key Factors

Written by on July 30, 2024

Featured Sports Betting Odds, Soccer Betting News

If you pay any attention to the offseason in Europe’s domestic soccer leagues, you will be well aware that teams do not tend to stand pat.

As soon as the transfer window opens, teams start to move out the deadwood and bring in new players that they hope will take them to the next level.

 

My Analysis

While winning the league is the goal for every team, for those good enough to be in the Champions League, it’s all about building a squad that can compete for the biggest trophy in the European club game.

While some teams have a storied history in the Champions League, there are plenty more who have either come close or who are in the mix every single season.

I would suggest that Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) fall into that category, but can they take the next step and win it all?

Before we get into looking at PSG and how they might perform this season, please be aware that we are still in the middle of the transfer window.

PSG has made some moves and have some big rumors swirling about players they might be bringing in.

That, as well as the fact that there is a new format in the CL this season, means that their current odds of winning might change by the time the tournament starts.

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MyBookie PSG Odds to Win Champions League

 

Kings of the French Soccer

Last season followed a very familiar pattern for PSG, as they once again rolled to an easy win in Ligue 1.

This was their 10th title win in the last 12 seasons, and I’m almost certain we will see them win it again.

We also saw PSG win the domestic double, as they also picked up the French Cup.

They made it to the semi-final in the Champions League before bowing out in a loss to Borussia Dortmund.

Every manager that has had control of this team has been judged on their performance in the Champions League, which is sure to be the case with Luis Enrique when his contract comes to an end after this season.

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Kylian Mbappe & Transfers

The one thing that PSG is dealing with this season is the loss of Mbappe, who moved to Real Madrid on a free transfer.

While they have not replaced him yet, the rumor is that Victor Osimhen might fill that gap, although Chelsea is also trying to lure the striker to London to play in the Premier League.

The other rumor is that Joao Neves will be moving to Paris in the next couple of weeks.

While he is just 19 years old, the future looks very bright for Neves, and I think he would be fantastic in Ligue 1.

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PSG Current Odds for the Champions League

The biggest knock on PSG is that they have spent a lot of money to bring in players to help them win the Champions League.

Every attempt has failed, though, and while racking up league titles is nice, it is not their ultimate goal.

Their lack of success in this tournament makes them a very risky bet indeed, with their current odds set at +1575.

I would keep an eye on the moves they make in the next month or so, but as of now, I am not convinced that PSG can win the Champions League.

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UEFA Champions League Schedule

  • July 30-31 – Second Leg, Second Qualifying Draw
  • August 5 – Playoff Round Draw
  • August 6-7 – First Leg, Third Qualifying Round
  • August 13 – Second Leg, Third Qualifying Round
  • August 20-21 – First Leg, Playoff Round
  • August 27-28 – Second Leg, Playoff Round
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Previous Betting News | MyBookie News Archive

2022 Champions League to Win
 

Paris Saint-Germain made one of the boldest moves in the history of club soccer. By signing whom many believe is the greatest player of all time, PSG leapt to the top of the UEFA Champions League odds heap. As we head into the second week of the new Euro Club League season, check out the latest Champions League odds on the teams destined to battle it out next May for the right to call themselves UEFA Champions League title holders. 

Updated Betting Odds to Win the 2022 Champions League

UEFA Champions League Odds Update Aug. 13th Edition

  • When: May 28, 2022
  • Where: Krestovsky Stadium, St. Petersburg, Russia

2022 UEFA Champions League To Win Odds

  • Man City +350
  • Bayern Munich +650
  • Chelsea +850
  • Liverpool +900
  • Man United +1500
  • Paris Saint-Germain +270
  • Barcelona +2000
  • Real Madrid +1600
  • Juventus +2000
  • Atletico Madrid +2500

After signing Messi, Paris’ odds dive

Paris Saint-Germain wants a Champions League title. Hours, minutes maybe, after Barcelona President Joan LaPorte declared that Messi wouldn’t play for the only club team he’s known during his career, PSG started working the phones.

Both Lionel Messi and PSG head coach and manager Mauricio Pochettino are Argentinians. Pochettino let the world know that Paris wanted Messi. 

The move gave PSG a big leg up on signing the greatest player of all time. The only other team with funds, and the perceived desire, to land Messi appeared to be owner Sheikh Mansour and Manchester City.

But City has said they’re angling to acquire Tottenham star striker Harry Kane. Pep Guardioloa, the Sky Blues’ coach and the man who helped Messi climb to legendary status at Camp Nou, declared Manchester City wouldn’t pursue the superstar.

Paris struck quickly. The day after LaPorte’s announcement, a deal was on the table for Lionel’s services. A couple of days after that, Messi was in Paris ready to sign.

Do the new odds on Paris Saint-Germain make them an underlay or overlay?

Two things about PSG to keep in mind. First, Messi heads to a team that already boasts Brazilian Neymar. Paris offered Neymar a contract, and he signed, for the next four years, which makes PSG Neymar’s team.

Neymar and Messi play well together. Neither had an issue with each other while they both were at Barcelona.

Second, signing Messi isn’t the only big deal Paris made this summer. PSG also landed Sergio Ramos, whom some soccer fans believe is the greatest player to ever put on a Real Madrid uniform. Yes, greater than Ronaldo.

Ramos may have a bigger impact regarding what happens on the pitch. Messi will sell more jerseys for sure, but Kylian Mbappe and Neymar, when healthy, are already the top striking pair in club soccer.

Pochettino will count on Ramos to protect the back, something Paris struggled with during the Champions League and in losses to Ligue 1 squads like Lille. If Ramos remains in excellent form throughout the UCL Season, and Mbappe and Neymar stay healthy, the current odds on Paris Saint-Germain will look like a gift.

What are the two teams that could possibly beat PSG for the Champions League title?

Bayern Munich is obvious, but Munich may not be nearly as strong this season as they have been the past couple of seasons. BM is working towards signing Erling Haaland. 

They appear set on taking their Champions League punches in the 2021-2022 season in order to assess and ready themselves for a Haaland play. 

Manchester City will be tough. So will Chelsea. If Thomas Tuchel can acquire Romelu Lukaku from Inter Milan, the Blues will be strong. 

It’s true that Lukaku struggled in his first stint at Stamford Bridge. But he’s better than that and he’s had a big time resurgence in Serie A, leading Inter to the title last season.

City will make the deal for Harry Kane before the Aug. 31 transfer window closes. Kane wants out and he wants to play with the Sky Blues. The Hotspur must acquire as much cash as they can to ready for next year’s transfer window.

Even without Kane, Pep’s squad is loaded. So give the Sky Blues a real shot to upset Paris. 

What soccer club at +1500 odds or higher offers overlay odds to win the UCL?

Three teams could surprise. Manchester United acquired Jadon Sancho. Sancho set up Haaland while at Dortmund. In a Red Devil kit, Sancho could blossom into one of the best passing strikers in the world.

Both Real Madrid and Juventus hired ex-mangers to help return them to glory. Massimiliano Allegri will coach Ronaldo at Juvy while Real Madrid rehired Carlo Ancelloti.

Allegri and Ancelloti were at the head of Juventus and Real Madrid during both teams’ best Champions League runs. History should repeat itself, especially, at Juventus because Allegri will force the Serie A squad to return to their defensive first style.

If you’re looking for a squad other than Paris Saint-Germain, Chelsea, and Manchester City to back, consider going with Man United, Juventus, or Real Madrid. 

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