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Inter Milano not only beat Champions League Quarterfinals opponent Benfica in the first round, they did so on Benfica’s pitch and they did so by 2 scores. On Wednesday, Inter hopes to keep the good times rolling when they take on Benfica in the second leg of the aggregate. The match happens at the Giuseppe Meazza in Italy, which is why Inter is the favorite. Will the home squad get it done or will Benfica mount a comeback? Check out Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Benfica at Internazionale.

UEFA Champions League Quarterfinals 2nd Internazionale vs. Benfica | Champions League Lines

Champions League Quarterfinals Leg 2 – Benfica at Internazionale

When: Wednesday, April 18 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Italy
Handicap Odds: Internazionale -0.5 +111 / Benfica +0.5 -142
Moneyline Odds: Benfica +232 / Internazionale +117/ Draw +248
Total Odds: O 2.5 -112 / U 2.5 -112

Why Benfica is a good bet versus Inter Milano

Although Benfica lost the first leg, they played well enough to win. The Portuguese Liga squad controlled possession 58% to Inter’s 42%. Benfica took 12 shots on goal. Inter took 7. Based on stats, and the fact they played at home, Benfica should have won the match.

The road team in this knows they have the ability to catch Inter. Earlier this season Benfica blasted Guimaraes 5-1. So Benfica’s attack can be effective.

Benfica Last 5

L – 1-0 vs. GD Chaves
L – 0-2 vs. Inter Milano
L – 1-2 vs. FC Porto
W – 0-1 vs. Rio Ave
W – 5-1 vs. Guimaraes

Benfica Expected Starting Lineup

Vlachodimos
Otamendi
Silva
Grimaldo
Bah
Neres
Chiquinho
Luis
Guedes
Aursnes
Mario

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Why Inter Milano is a good bet versus Benfica

Inter’s form doesn’t suggest they will win this. The home squad shows a single victory in their last five, against Benfica in the first leg.

But although Inter isn’t playing great soccer, their defense is on fire. Inter has allowed a single goal or less in their last 5. Milano knows that all they must do to win on the aggregate is to stop Benfica from scoring more than a goal.

Inter plays conservatively, anyhow. We should expect Milano to force Benfica into bad shots, like they did throughout the first leg contest, and leave the pitch with either a draw or a straight up win.

Inter Milano Last 5

L – 0-1 vs. Monza
W – 0-2 vs Benfica
D – 1-1 vs. Salernitana
D – 1-1 vs. Juventus
L – 0-1 vs. Fiorentina

Inter Milano Predicted Starting Lineup

Handanovic
Acerbi
Bastoni
Darmian
Mkhitaryan
Barella
Brozovic
Dimarco
Demfries
Lukaku

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Final Betting Analysis: Benfica at Internazionale

Napoli has a massive lead over their rivals in Serie A, which is why Inter didn’t go all out to beat Monza over the weekend.

When it comes to the aggregate, Inter plays in the better overall league. So we must consider that before stating that Milano isn’t in great form. In addition, compared to Benfica, Internazionale is downright dominating. The Portuguese Liga squad has lost 3 straight matches.

The losses to Inter and Porto make some sense. But dropping a match to GD Chaves doesn’t make any sense. Porto isn’t playing well. Inter should have no trouble knocking the Portuguese Liga squad from the CL and marching to the semifinals.

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