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One of the top teams in the Mexican Liga and one of the top squads in Major League Soccer begin the quest for a Champions League title on Wednesday when the Los Angeles Football Club travels to Mexico to take on Leon. LAFC is the underdog in the first leg of a 2-leg aggregate.

Will the MLS squad grab the advantage? Or will Leon get the win on their pitch?

Check out CONCACAF Champions League betting lines, analysis, and a free pick for Leon versus LAFC.

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2023 CONCACAF Champions League
Semifinals: April 25 – May 4, 2023
Final: May 31 – June 4, 2023

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Leon vs. LAFC | First Leg of the Concachampions Final

When: Wednesday, May 31 at 10:00 pm ET
Where: Estadio Leon, Leon de los Aldamas, Mexico
Handicap Odds: LAFC +0.5 -147 / Leon -0.5 +116
Moneyline Odds: Leon +122 / LAFC +208/ Draw +265
Goals Total Odds: O 2.5 -106 / U 2.5 -120

Why Leon is a Good Bet versus LAFC

Although the 1-3 loss to Atletico San Luis disappointed, we shouldn’t be too hard on home squad Leon. First, this match does happen on Leon’s pitch where they usually play much better than they do on the road.

Second, in 3-matches in their last 5 versus Tigres UANL, Leon played great, beating Tigers UANL twice and losing by a single goal in one of the other matches. Tigres UANL is one of the Mexican Liga’s best teams.

Leon Last 5

L – 1-3 vs. Atletico San Luis
W – 3-1 vs. Tigres UANL
W – 3-0 vs. Tigres UANL
L – 2-1 vs. Tigres UANL
D – 0-0 vs. Tijuana

Leon Predicted Starting Lineup

McCarthy
Maldonado
Palencia
Palacios
Hollingshead
Cifuentes

Sanchez
Duenas
Bogusz
Buik
Opoku

Why LAFC is a Good Bet versus Leon

The Los Angeles Football Club is in very good form. Before the 0-2 loss versus the rival L.A. Galaxy, LAFC had won 3-of-4 with a draw. One of the victories was a 2-2 matchup versus Monterey Bay in the U.S. Open Cup.

The loss to the Galaxy was also a U.S. Open Cup match, meaning LAFC may not be as focused in those matches as they usually are. Expect LAFC to give their best, which could be good enough to pull off the road upset win.

LAFC Last 5

L – 0-2 vs. L.A. Galaxy
W – 2-1 vs. San Jose Earthquakes
D – 1-1 vs. Sporting Kansas City
W – 0-3 vs. Real Salt Lake
W – 2-2 vs. Monterey Bay

LAFC Predicted Starting Lineup

McCarthy
Maldonado
Palencia
Palacios
Hollingshead
Cifuentes

Sanchez
Duenas
Bogusz
Buik
Opoku

Final Betting Analysis: LAFC at Leon

Leon should be the favorite, but choosing the winner comes down to odds. LAFC is much better than the +208 odds.

Even though this happens on Leon’s pitch, LAFC shouldn’t be more than a +188 underdog. The team from Los Angeles is on fire in MLS with a 7 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss record.

Teams in MLS have caught up with Mexican Liga squads. Also, a deep dive into both Los Angeles Football Club’s losses in their last 5 and it’s apparent the team is taking MLS contests and Champions League games more seriously than they take U.S. Open Cup matches.

Leon should be the favorite, but they shouldn’t be this much of a favorite. LAFC gets the nod.

CONCACAF Champions League Fianls Leg-1 Pick: LAFC +208 | Bet LAFC at Leon Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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