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2026 FIFA World Cup CONMENBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 1 Betting Analysis - Final Games

2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 1 Betting Analysis – Final Games

Two huge CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup Qualifying matches happen on Friday. The earlier match pits rivals Chile against Uruguay. Because the match takes place at Montevideo, the Uruguayans are favored. Then in the second match, home team Brazil is a massive favorite against Bolivia.

See below for info, FIFA World Cup Qualifying odds, analysis, and free picks for Uruguay versus Chile and Brazil versus Bolivia.

 

2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 1 Betting Analysis – Final Games| MyBookie World Cup Preview

2026 FIFA World Cup | 23rd edition of the FIFA World Cup | FIFA World Cup 26
Host Countries: Canada, Mexico, United States
CONMEBOL Qualifiers First Round: Friday, September 8th, 2023

 

Uruguay vs Chile

Handicap Line: Chile +0.5 +118 / Uruguay -0.5 -149
Money Line: Chile +420 / Uruguay -144 / Draw +275
Match Total: O 2.5 +119 / U 2.5 -151

Friday, Sep 8 at 7:00 pm ET
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo, Uruguay

Why Chile is a Good Bet Versus Uruguay
The Chileans are in great form. In five friendly matches, Chile shows 3 wins and 2 draws.

The win came against Paraguay 3-2, Cuba 3-0, and the Dominican Republic 5-0. The draws were against Slovakia way back on Nov. 20 last year and Bolivia in June.

Chile didn’t qualify for the last World Cup. So the team is not only in great form but will be ultra-motivated versus their South American rivals.

Why Uruguay is a Good Bet Versus Chile
Uruguay brings a 3-match winning streak into this. The Uruguayans followed up a 2-1 victory over South Korea with a 4-1 win against Nicaragua.

Then in their last, an international friendly on June 20, Uruguay dusted Cuba 2-0.

Final Betting Analysis: Uruguay vs Chile
Uruguay beat Chile 2-0 in the last head-to-head. The game happened on March 29, 2022, in a qualifier for the 2022 World Cup. Luis Suarez and Federico Valverde got the goals.

What’s important to understand about the win is that even though Suarez played a huge role, he no longer plays for Uruguay’s national team. Valverde does, though.

And so does Darwin Nunez and Maxi Gomez. So although Surez is no longer on the squad, Uruguay is deep enough to beat Chile. Uruguay’s money line is the play.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMENBOL Pick: Uruguay | Bet Uruguay vs Chile
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


 

Brazil vs Bolivia

Handicap Line: Bolivia +3.5 -109 / Brazil -3.5 -116
Money Line: Bolivia +5200 / Brazil -3030 / Draw +1575
Match Total: O 4.5 +101 / U 4.5 -128

When: Friday, Sep 8 at 8:45 pm ET
Where: Mangueirao, Belem, Brazil

Why Bolivia is a Good Bet Versus Brazil
Bolivia isn’t a good money line bet. But the overmatched team offers excellent odds to lose this game by no more than 3 goals. At +3.5 -109, Bolivia is a terrific bet.

The Bolivians have lost 3-of-5 with a draw and a win but the 3 losses were by a single goal: 1-0 versus Uzbekistan, 1-0 against Ecuador, and 2-1 versus Panama.

Why Brazil is a Good Bet Versus Bolivia
Based on form, Brazil shouldn’t be such a massive favorite. The Brazilians have lost 3-of-4 with a win.

But the losses, 1-1 via penalty kicks to Croatia, 2-1 against Morocco in an international friendly, and 2-4 against Senegal on June 20 in an international friendly doesn’t imply Brazil will struggle against Bolivia.

Brazil almost never puts forth their best effort when it comes to international friendlies. Brazil for sure will put their best foot forward on Friday.

Final Betting Analysis: Brazil vs Bolivia
Bolivia will play tough but they shouldn’t keep this close. Brazil should be at full strength, which means the great soccer nation will win this by multiple goals.

However, the handicap line favors Bolivia. Brazil wins, but they only win by 2 goals. It will be a surprise if Brazil beats Bolivia by 3 or more. So the best bet is on Bolivia at +3.5.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Bolivia +3.5 | Bet Brazil vs Bolivia
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: First Round Betting Analysis
 

2023 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifying Schedule


Date Time Matchday Home   Away
Thursday, September 7 6:30 p.m. Matchday 1 Paraguay vs. Peru
Thursday, September 7 7:00 p.m. Matchday 1 Colombia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, September 7 8:30 p.m. Matchday 1 Argentina vs. Ecuador
Friday, September 8 7:00 p.m. Matchday 1 Uruguay vs. Chile
Friday, September 8 8:45 p.m. Matchday 1 Brazil vs. Bolivia

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2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualification Process
Confederation Direct slots Play-off slots Teams started Start date End date
CONMEBOL 6 1 10 7 September 2023 September 2025
 

2026 World Cup Odds to Win | Odds to Win World Cup

Top Teams Odds
Brazil +590
Spain +600
France +600
England +650
Argentina +870
Germany +980
Portugal +1400
Netherlands +1925
Italy +2200
Uruguay +2500

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Team Odds
Belgium +3300
USA +3300
Mexico +5000
Colombia +6200
Croatia +6400
Denmark +6600
Norway +6800
Morocco +7500
Switzerland +8000
Japan +8500
Canada +10000
Serbia +11000
Austria +12000
Ecuador +14000
Sweden +15000
Chile +15000
Senegal +15000
Ivory Coast +15000
Egypt +16000
Korea Republic +16000
Algeria +19000
Nigeria +19000
Ghana +19000
Poland +20000
Turkiye +20000
Ukraine +22000
Czechia +24000
Paraguay +26000
Cameroon +26000
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Team Odds
Tunisia +28000
Georgia +30000
Slovakia +30000
Slovenia +34000
Israel +34000
Peru +34000
Scotland +36000
Wales +36000
Romania +38000
Hungary +46000
Australia +48000
Greece +50000
Bolivia +50000
Venezuela +50000
South Africa +50000
IR Iran +50000
China PR +55000
Panama +75000
Ireland +90000
Costa Rica +90000
New Zealand +90000
Saudi Arabia +90000
Northern Ireland +95000
Honduras +95000
Qatar +95000
Bulgaria +100000
Finland +100000
Jamaica +100000
DR Congo +100000
Team Odds
United Arab Emirates +100000
Bahrain +100000
Palestine +100000
Iceland +100000
Albania +100000
Montenegro
+100000
Togo +150000
Kazakhstan +200000
Luxembourg +200000
Benin +200000
Vietnam +200000
Thailand +200000
Singapore +200000
Malaysia +200000
Kenya +200000
Gambia +200000
Uzbekistan +200000
Bangladesh +250000
Iraq +250000
Tanzania +250000
Kuwait +250000
Jordan +250000
Eritrea +250000
India +250000
Maldives +250000
San Marino +300000
Haiti +300000
Gibraltar +300000
Virgin Islands, British +300000

 

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