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Paris Saint-Germain heads to Santiago Bernabeau on Wednesday to take on Real Madrid in the second leg of the two teams’ Round of 16 Champions League matchup. PSG has a 1 goal lead over Real. Will Paris’ lead hold? Or will the home team turn the tables on their CL rival? See below for Champions League odds, analysis, and a free pick for Paris Saint-Germain at Real Madrid.

PSG versus Real Madrid Betting Odds | UCL Round of 16 Analysis for 2nd Leg Match

Paris Saint-Germain at Madrid – UEFA Champions League Betting Info

When: Wednesday, March 9 at 3:00 pm ET

Where: Santiago Bernabeau, Madrid, Spain

Handicap Odds: PSG + ½ -200 / Real Madrid -½ +141

Moneyline Odds: PSG +160 / Real Madrid +148 / Draw +245

Total Odds: O 2 ½ -158 / U 2 ½ +114

Why Paris Saint-Germain will beat Real Madrid

Paris Saint-Germain controlled the flow of the first leg. PSG possessed the ball 57% of the time. Although Paris scored a single goal, and it came off of Kylian Mbappe’s foot, Paris Saint-Germain had way more shots than Real, 21-to-3, and more shots on goal, 8-to-0. So even though Mbappe won’t play in this, Paris should escape Santiago Bernabeau with a regulation victory.

Paris Saint-Germain Last 5

L – 1-0 vs. Nice
W – 3-1 vs. Saint-Etienne
L – 3-1 vs. Nantes
W – 1-0 vs. Real Madrid
W – 1-0 vs. Stade Rennais

Paris Saint-Germain Predicted Starting Lineup

Navas
Kimpembe
Marquinhos
Bernat
Hakimi
Paredes
Verratti
Draxler
Messi
Mbappe
Wijnaldum

Why Real Madrid will beat Paris Saint-Germain

Real played Paris Saint-Germain at the tail end of a tough stretch. The home team in this simply wasn’t playing as well as they’re playing now. Heading into the match versus Paris Saint-Germain, Real had won a single match in their last 3 and it didn’t impress. Heading into the second leg, RM has won 3 straight and dominated all 3 opponents.

Real Madrid Last 5

W – 4-1 vs. Real Sociedad
W – 0-1 vs. Rayo Vallecano
W – 3-0 vs. Alaves
L – 0-1 vs. Paris Saint-Germain
D – 0-0 vs. Villareal

Real Madrid Predicted Starting Lineup

Curtois
Alaba
Militao
Marcelo
Carvajal
Casemiro
Modric
Kroos
Bale
Junior
Asensio

Final Betting Analysis: Paris Saint-Germain versus Real Madrid

No doubt, Paris Saint-Germain has enough quality players to beat Real without Kylian Mbappe. Lionel Messi, Neymar, and Angel Di Maria are three of the best strikers in the world.

Neymar, especially, could have a terrific match. Real didn’t see much of the Brazilian star in the first. So Carlo Ancelotti’s squad may not have the defense to stop Neymar.

But although Paris has a chance, Real is the play. RM didn’t suffer a knockout loss in the first leg and, like we wrote above, the match came on the heels of Real’s worst stretch of the season.

Things were so bad, Real dropped a match to La Liga Segundo Division squad Athletic Club in a Copa del Rey match. Don’t expect to see that RM squad for a while.

In their last, Karim Benzema, Marco Asensio, Luka Modric, and Eduardo Camavinga, all scored goals in Real’s 4-1 victory over Sociedad. Players who didn’t score goals include Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo.

Neymar and Messi must play great for PSG to win. Ancelotti can lean on four to six players to get the victory on Wednesday. Real is on fire. They’ll turn the tables on Paris Saint-Germain.

Champions League Pick: Real Madrid

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