Serie A Matchday 31 Expert Analysis - Soccer Betting

Serie A Matchday 31 Expert Analysis – Soccer Betting

Written by on April 13, 2021

Top Serie A soccer matches kick off on Saturday, April 17 and run to Sunday, April 18. The two most competitive matches happen on Sunday when Juventus travels to Atalanta and Napoli hosts Inter Milano. Check out analysis, Serie A odds and free picks for those two matches as well as the other great games happening in Serie A this weekend.

Top Serie A Games to Watch this Weekend (From Apr. 17th – 18th)

Top Serie A Soccer Matches – Saturday, April 17th

  • Udinese -116 / Crotone +289

Neither squad heads into this playing their best soccer. Udinese is on a 3-match losing streak. Crotone has dropped 4 in a row. These two drew in the last head-to-head. If you don’t like the draw, consider Crotone. Udinese should be the favorite, but the current odds make then an underlay.

Soccer Free Pick: Crotone

  • Hellas Verona +171 / Sampdoria +149

Sampdoria and Hellas Verona each have a win in their last 5 matches. Hellas is in worse form than the home squad. The road team is 1-4 SU while Sampdoria has drawn twice, including drawing with AC Milan on April 3, in their last 5. The home team gets the nod.

Soccer Free Pick: Sampdoria 

  • Fiorentina +190 / Sassuolo +145

Sassuolo heads into this in slightly better form than road squad Fiorentina. Sassuolo has a couple of wins in their last 5 while Fiorentina has a lone win. Not only that, but Sassuolo won one of the two head-to-head matches in 2020. Fiorentina and Sassuolo drew in the other match. The home team should take this.

Soccer Free Pick: Sassuolo 

  • Parma +218 / Cagliari +114

Cagliari is on a 4-match losing streak. Parma hasn’t played much better, drawing once and losing twice in their last 3. But Parma’s lone win in their last 5, 2-0 against As Roma, impresses more than anything Cagliari has done in their last 5. The road team has a real shot to win this. 

Soccer Free Pick: Parma  

Top Serie A Soccer Matches – Sunday,  April 18th

  • Genoa +1 ½ (-185) / AC Milan -1 ½ (+138)

AC Milan appears back on track. The favored squad in this had lost 2 straight to Napoli and Manchester United. Since the losses, AC has won 2 and drawn once. The victories happened against Parma and Fiorentina. The draw occurred against Sampdoria. Genoa pushed AC to a draw in the last head-to-head. Also, Milan hasn’t beaten Genoa by more than a goal since January 21, 2019. But the odds make Genoa an underlay. AC is the best play. 

Soccer Free Pick: AC Milan 

  • Juventus +172 / Atalanta +132

Juventus is often an underlay. Ronaldo’s squad offers fair odds in their match versus Atalanta on Sunday. But just because Juvy offers fair odds, it doesn’t mean they’re the pick. Atalanta is in better form, having won 4-of-5 with the lone loss versus Real Madrid in a Champions League match. Juvy has won 2 in a row. These two drew in their 2020 matches. Neither has much of an edge, which is why the best play is on the team offering the better odds.  

Soccer Free Pick: Juventus 

  • Spezia +236 / Bologna +100

Bologna has 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5. Spezia has won 2-of-3. Spezia also beat Bologna 4-2 last Nov. 25. So even though this happens on Bologna’s pitch, the road team is the one soccer handicappers should consider backing.

Soccer Free Pick: Spezia 

  • Benevento +1 ½ (-131) / Lazio -1 ½ (-101)

Lazio has won 4-of-5. The home squad in this is playing like one of the best teams in Serie A. Benevento has a draw and a loss in their last 2. The underdog did beat Juventus on March 21, though. Still, Lazio offers a better payout, plays on their grass, and is on fire. 

Soccer Free Pick: Lazio 

  • As Roma -102 / Torino +231

As Roma beat Ajax 2-1 on April 8. They followed up that victory with a 1-0 win against Bologna on April 11. Torino heads into this after a win, but on Dec. 17, in the last head-to-head, Roma blasted Torino 3-1. Roma gets the nod.

Soccer Free Pick: As Roma 

  • Inter Milano +121 / Napoli +204

It’s rare to see Inter Milano offer more than even money odds to win a Serie A game. Napoli is in great form, which is why Inter, the road team in this, shows better than even money odds. Is Inter worth backing even though this takes place on Napoli’s pitch? They are. Inter Milano has shut out Napoli in the last couple of head-to-head matches.

Soccer Free Pick: Inter Milano 


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