France has already stamped their ticket to the Round of 16, which is why Tunisia versus France on the final day in November is so intriguing. Tunisia won’t move to the knockout stage. But the Tunisians could end their World Cup run in a positive way. Will Tunisia pull off the upset or at least force a draw? Can France get by Tunisia even though they won’t go all out in this contest? Check out FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Tunisia versus France.
2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Tunisia vs France Group D Matchup
FIFA World Cup Qatar: Group D – Tunisia versus France
- When: Wednesday, Nov. 30 at 10:00 am ET
- Where: Education System, Doha, Qatar
- TV/Streaming: FOX
- Handicap Odds: France -1.5 +136 / Tunisia +1.5 -175
- Moneyline Odds: Tunisia +590 / France -200 / Draw +320
- Total Odds: O 2.5 -109/ U 2.5 -116
Why Tunisia is a good play versus France
The Tunisians failed big time in their final World Cup prep, losing to Brazil 5-1, but that performance doesn’t matter. The performances that do matter shows the Tunisians drawing 0-0 versus Denmark, a +2800 choice before the World Cup to win, and losing by a single goal to Australia.
Bottom line? Tunisia played best versus their top competition, the Danes. The set up in this Wednesday match, no doubt, could lead to at least another draw performance versus a French team that has no reason to dominate the Tunisians.
Tunisia Last 5
- L – 0-1 vs. Australia
- D – 0-0 vs. Denmark
- L – 5-1 vs. Brazil
- W – 0-1 vs,. Comoros Islands
- W – 0-3 vs. Japan
Tunisia Predicted Starting Lineup
- Dahmen
- Meriah
- Talbi
- Bronn
- Laidouni
- Skhiri
- Abdi
- Drager
- Jebali
- Msakni
- Sliti
Why France is a good play versus Tunisia
France won’t play their top players like Kylian Mbappe for long, but it may not matter. The French entered the tournament the deepest team on paper.
So even if France takes Mbappe, Dembele, Giroud, and Griezmann out early, they will still have more attacking power than Tunisia. Tunisia is up against it no matter who steps onto the pitch for France. That’s how deep the French are.
France Last 5
- W – 2-1 vs. Denmark
- W – 4-1 vs. Australia
- L – 2-0 vs. Denmark
- W – 2-0 vs. Austria
- L – 0-1 vs. Croatia
France Predicted Starting Lineup
- Lloris
- Upamecano
- Varane
- Hernandez
- Kounde
- Griezmann
- Rabiot
- Tchouameni
- Giroud
- Mbappe
- Dembele
Final Betting Analysis: Tunisia vs France
France has scored 6 goals and ended a losing streak to Denmark, which is why the French have become the team to beat at this year’s World Cup.
But although France can beat Tunisia, and they can beat them by multiple goals, the French understand that resting players for the knockout stage is the most important goal.
So, yes, the French will pull their starters and, yes, players like Thurman and Coman could dominate Tunisia, but France may not even play their second string players. The French require Thurman and Coman to maintain their excellent form.
So France will play their third string players, send their entire bench to the pitch, before putting Thurman and Coman in harms way. We should also expect France to play as conservative as possible to maintain their energy level for the knockout stage match.
All signs point to a draw. Tunisia isn’t good enough to score a goal versus France while the French will play ultra-conservative in their final group stage match to prevent any possible injuries.
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