USA vs Mexico Betting Analysis – CONCACAF World Cup Qualifiers Odds

One of the best rivalries in international soccer resumes on Thursday, March 24 when Team USA heads to Mexico to take on El Tri. The United States has dominated the rivalry in the last few head-to-head matches. But Thursday’s game takes place at Azteca Stadium in Mexico. Will the U.S. step it up enough again to beat their rivals? Or will the Mexicans blow past Team USA on their way to an upset victory? Check out FIFA World Cup Qualifiers odds, analysis, and a free pick for USA versus Mexico. 

CONCACAF WC Qualifying Matches to Bet On: United State versus Mexico

USA vs Mexico Odds | FIFA World Cup Qualifying Betting Analysis

• When: Thursday, March 24 at 10:00 pm ET

• Where: Azteca Stadium, Mexico City, Mexico  

• Handicap Odds: USA +½ -119  / Mexico -½ -107      

• Moneyline Odds: USA +300 / Mexico -104 / Draw +235

• Total Odds: O 2 -129 / U 2 +103

Why USA will beat Mexico

The United States has owned their rival in recent games. In 2021, the U.S. beat Mexico in 3 matches. The United States took down El Tri 3-2 to win the CONCACAF Nations League last June 6. Then on Aug. 1, Team USA beat Mexico 1-0 to win the Gold Cup. The Americans beat the Mexicans for a third straight time on Nov. 12, blasting Mexico 2-0 in a FIFA World Cup Qualifying match.   

USA Last 5

• W – 3-0 vs. Honduras
• L – 2-0 vs. Canada
• W – 1-0 vs. El Salvador
• W – 1-0 vs. Bosnia Herzegovina
• D – 1-1 vs. Jamaica

USA Predicted Starting Lineup

• Steffen

• Zimmerman

• M. Robinson

• A. Robinson

• Yedlin

• Adams

• McKennie

• Acosta

• Ferreira

• Pulisic

• Richards

Why Mexico will beat USA

El Tri hasn’t had any luck versus their top CONCACAF rivals. But although Mexico hasn’t played their best versus the United States, that should change on Thursday. For starters, the match happens at Azteca Stadium in Mexico City. Not only that, but Mexico has begun to pick it up, beating Jamaica, drawing with Costa Rica, and beating Panama in their last 3. 

Mexico Last 5

• W – 1-0 vs. Panama
• D – 0-0 vs. Costa Rica
• W – 1-2 vs. Jamaica
• D – 2-2 vs. Chile
• L – 2-1 vs. Canada

Mexico Predicted Starting Lineup

• Ochoa
• Vasquez
• Dominguez
• Gallardo
• Rodriguez
• Alvarez
• Herrera
• Romo
• Jimenez
• Alvarado
• Corona

Final Betting Analysis: Mexico vs USA 

As of Feb. 10, FIFA ranked Mexico twelfth and the United States thirteenth. But although Mexico ranks head of the U.S., El Tri has produced bad performances in the past 3 head-to-head matches. 

For some reason, Mexico plays their worst when facing the United States. However, we shouldn’t read too much into the losses. 

The Nations League loss happened on Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. The Gold Cup loss occurred at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. The WC Qualifying loss on Nov. 12 by 2 goals happened at TQL Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio.

So, yes, Mexico has lost 3 straight to Team USA. But all 3 matches happened on American soil, which means the United States beat Mexico in 3 straight home games. 

The tables will turn on Thursday. Team USA must travel to Mexico City and play in front of 100,000 El Tri fans. As well as the United States has played against the Mexicans, El Tri figures to get it done in this match. 

Home pitch will be the difference in the rematch on March 24. At -104, Mexico is a great play to beat the U.S. in regulation.   

FIFA World Cup Qualifying Pick: Mexico  

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