On Tuesday, two of Europe’s strongest international teams square off with a trip to the Qatar World Cup at stake. The Polish throw down against the Swedes a slight moneyline favorite because this happens in Silesian Stadium in Chorzow, Poland. Can Sweden provide a second straight upset victory? Or will Poland notch their ticket to the greatest soccer tournament of the year?
Check out the FIFA World Cup odds, analysis, and a free pick for Poland versus Sweden.
World Cup Qualifiers: UEFA Play-offs Sweden at Poland
When: Tuesday, March 29 at 2:45 pm ET
Where: Silesian Stadium, Chorzow, Poland
Moneyline Odds: Sweden +210 / Poland +145 / Draw +200
Total Odds: O 2 -114 / U 2 -109
Why Sweden will beat Poland
Sweden has lost 2-of-3, but save for dropping a match 2-0 versus Georgia, the Swedes have played well. Losing 1-0 to Spain, El Rojo is a World Cup favorite, is nothing to worry about. The Swedes bounced back with a stunning 1-0 victory over the Czech Republic. Granted the match happened in Sweden, but the Czech’s had a fantastic summer and were looking like they had a chance to go to the WC. Sweden is on a roll. They won’t let Poland stop them from their World Cup dreams.
Sweden Last 5
- W – 1-0 vs. Czech Republic
- L – 1-0 vs. Spain
- L – 2-0 vs. Georgia
- W – 2-0 vs. Greece
- W – 3-0 vs. Kosovo
Sweden Predicted Starting Lineup
- Olsen
- Nilsson
- Lindelof
- Bengtsson
- Danielsson
- Svanberg
- Karlstrom
- Elanga
- Quisan
- Helander
- Kulasevski
Why Poland will Beat Sweden
Poland had won 3 in a row. But a 1-2 loss to Hungary has forced Robert Lewandowski and his mates to have play into the World Cup. The 1-1 draw versus Scotland was a friendly, which means Poland used the match to ready for this. On their home pitch, the Polish should be very difficult to beat. If Lewandowski is on, Sweden will find it difficult to keep one of the best strikers in the world from scoring at least 1 goal.
Poland Last 5
- D – 1-1 vs. Scotland
- L – 1-2 vs. Hungary
- W – 1-4 vs. Andorra
- W – 0-1 vs. Albania
- W – 5-0 vs. San Marino
Poland Predicted Starting Lineup
- Szczesny
- Bednarek
- Kedziora
- Dawidowicz
- Linetty
- Krychowiak
- Piatek
- Cash
- Jozwiak
- Sidwerski
- Lewandowski
Final Betting Analysis: Sweden at Poland
Poland has a big advantage because this happens at Silesian Stadium. But history says Sweden takes this.
The Swedes have won the last 6 head-to-heads, including beating Poland 3-2 at EURO 2020 even though Lewandowski scored a couple of goals. Not only that, but Sweden played fantastic against a very good soccer team in the Czech Republic.
The Swedes held possession 57% of the time. Sweden was aggressive on defense, committing 26 fouls, but gained just 5 yellow cards.
Sweden, no doubt, will play Poland differently. Expect the Swedes to use Poland’s attack against it. Sweden can play lose because this is a road game and they’re the underdogs.
They will wait for Poland to push the attack and then will counter. Eventually, one of the counters will lead to a goal. Sweden moneyline is the play.
FIFA World Cup Play-offs Pick: Sweden
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