2023-24 UEFA Champions League Draw Betting Analysis

2023-24 UEFA Champions League Draw Betting Analysis

Earlier this week, UEFA had their group draw for the 2023-2024 season. Most groups boast two favorites and a couple of underdogs to move to the knockout stage. Group F, though, is loaded. PSG, Dortmund, Newcastle, and AC Milan will battle in Group F.

Which teams will finish first or second in their group and head to the Round of 16?

Check out an analysis and our picks. Then when UEFA Champions League odds drop, handicap, and make your wagers.

 

2023-24 UEFA Champions League Draw Betting Analysis | MyBookie Soccer Preview

2023–24 UEFA Champions League | 69th season of Europe’s premier club football tournament
Competition Proper: September 19th, 2023 – June 1st, 2024

 

2024 UEFA Champions League Draw Analysis

Champions League Group A:
Bayern Munich, Manchester United, Copenhagen, Galatasaray

Harry Kane has dominated. Bayern’s new striker is showing why Tottenham was so hesitant to part ways. Bayern wins Group A.

Man United should finish second. Rasmus Hojlund, United’s news striker, should be ready before the first group stage match. So the Red Devils will beat Copenhagen and Galatasaray.

Group A Winner: Bayern
Group A Second: Manchester United  

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Champions League Group B:
Sevilla, Arsenal, PSV Eindhoven, Lens

Europa League winner Sevilla has not had a good start to the LaLiga season. Sevilla will be a disappointment at the Champions League level.

Lens isn’t good enough. PSV Eindhoven can upset Arsenal and win the group. But the Gunners have become one of the Premier’s top clubs. Arsenal wins and PSV finishes second.

Group B Winner: Arsenal
Group B Second: PSV Eindhoven

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Champions League Group C:
Napoli, Real Madrid, Braga, Union Berlin

Braga and Union Berlin are terrific soccer teams. Both would skate to the knockout stage if they didn’t have to face Napoli and Real Madrid.

Real is the greatest Champions League squad in history. So El Blanco stamps their ticket with a group crown. As long as Victor Osimhen plays for Napoli, and right now he does, Napoli will get by Braga and Berlin.

Group C Winner: Real Madrid
Group C Second: Napoli

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Champions League Group D:
Benfica, Internazionale, Salzburg, Real Sociedad

Inter made it to last season’s UEFA Champions League Final. The team is good enough to at least win Group D and make it to the Round of 16.

Benfica and Real Sociedad should fight for second place. Salzburg is solid, but they play in a lower level league and don’t have the players to upset either Benfica or Sociedad. Of the two, the Portuguese Liga squad, Benfica, gets the nod.

Group D Winner: Internazionale  
Group D Second: Benfica

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Champions League Group E:
Feyenoord, Atletico Madrid, Celtic, Lazio

On paper, it’s Atletico and Lazio, right? Not so fast. Atletico should be a lock to win the group, but Lazio will have a tough time beating Celtic.

Celtic is a solid franchsie and Lazio doesn’t appear to be as good this season as they were last. Atletico to win and Celtic to finish second.

Group E Winner: Atletico  
Group E Second: Celtic

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Champions League Group F:
Paris Saint-Germain, Dortmund, AC Milan, Newcastle

On paper, the Group of Death is well, the Group of Death. Ah, but Paris won’t be focused. Neymar is gone. Messi is gone and Mbappe wants out.
Dortmund is solid. So we can’t discount their chances. AC Milan, though, is a different squad with Christian Pulisic. The American has 2 goals in 2 games from 4 shots.

Newcastle will upset Dortmund and finish second. The Premier League squad has become one of the better teams in the EPL.

Group F Winner: AC Milan  
Group F Second: Newcastle

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Champions League Group H:
Barcelona, Porto, Shakhtar Donetsk, Antwerp 

Barca and Porto have a free pass. Shakhtar Donetsk and Antwerp fought hard to qualify for he Champions League, but they landed in the same group as two of the better UEFA squads.

Barca routinely wins Spanish LaLiga. Porto routinely wins Portuguese Liga. Barcelona finishes first and Porto finishes second.

Group H Winner: Barcelona
Group H Second: Porto

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Schedule for 2023–24 UEFA Champions League Qualifying Phase and Play-off Round

Round Draw date First Leg Second Leg
Qualifying
Preliminary round 13 June 2023 27 June 2023 (semi-finals) 30 June 2023 (final)
First qualifying round 20 June 2023 11–12 July 2023 18–19 July 2023
Second qualifying round 21 June 2023 25–26 July 2023 1–2 August 2023
Third qualifying round 24 July 2023 8–9 & 15 August 2023 15 & 19 August 2023
Play-offs
Play-off round 7 August 2023 22–23 August 2023 29–30 August 2023
Group Stage
Matchday 1 31 August 2023 19–20 September 2023
Matchday 2 31 August 2023 3–4 October 2023
Matchday 3 31 August 2023 24–25 October 2023
Matchday 4 31 August 2023 7–8 November 2023
Matchday 5 31 August 2023 28–29 November 2023
Matchday 6 31 August 2023 12–13 December 2023
Knockout Phase
Round of 16 18 December 2023 13–14 & 20–21 February 2024 5–6 & 12–13 March 2024
Quarter-finals 15 March 2024 9–10 April 2024 16–17 April 2024
Semi-finals 15 March 2024 30 April – 1 May 2024 7–8 May 2024
Final 15 March 2024 1 June 2024 at Wembley Stadium, London

 

2024 UEFA Champions League Odds to Win

Champions League Schedule Unfolds: Updated Standings and Remaining Fixtures!

Team Odds
Manchester City +350
Real Madrid +450
FC Barcelona +550
Liverpool FC +600
Arsenal FC +890
Bayern Munich +890
Inter Milano +1800
Bayer Leverkusen +2800
Paris Saint-Germain +3900
Sporting Lisbon +4000
Borussia Dortmund +4000
Aston Villa +4000
Juventus Turin +4100
Atalanta BC +4100
Atletico Madrid +4900
AC Milan +6600
AS Monaco +8000
Lille OSC +10000
SL Benfica +12000
PSV Eindhoven +15000
Stade Brest 29 +20000
Celtic Glasgow +24000
Feyenoord Rotterdam +24000
VfB Stuttgart +24000
RB Leipzig +30000
Club Brugge +34000
FC Shakhtar Donetsk +50000
Girona FC +70000
Bologna FC +70000
Sparta Prague +75000
GNK Dinamo Zagreb +75000
FC Salzburg +75000
SK Sturm Graz +225000
Young Boys Bern +225000
FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade +300000
SK Slovan Bratislava +300000

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UEFA 2021-22 Champions League Qualifying Matches Betting Analysis
 

Previous Betting News

Champions League matches start this week with teams like AS Monaco, Shakhtar Donetsk, Dynamo Zagreb and Young Boys looking to play their way into the CL. Check out analysis and free picks for this Tuesday’s top UEFA Champions League Qualifying matches so you can get ready to bet against their Champions League odds

Soccer Betting Preview for Champions League Qualifying Matches (Qualif. 3 – 2nd Leg)

Ferencvaros Vs Slavia Prague

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

Ferencvaros dominated Slavia Prague 2-0 in the first match on August. 8. Although there’s reason to believe Prague plays much better this time around, there’s also a reason to believe Ferencvaros takes it easy. The draw is the most likely outcome. 

Soccer Pick: Draw

Racing Genk Vs Shakhtar Donetsk

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

In the first leg on August 3, Shakhtar Donetsk beat Racing Genk 2-1. Shakhtar has the ability to win this one again. The victory happen on Racing Genk’s pitch, which mean Shakhtar will close the deal with, most likely, a 1-0 victory. 

Soccer Pick: Shakhtar Donetsk   

Sparta Prague Vs AS Monaco

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

Monaco believes they deserve a spot in the Champions League. The Italy Serie A team beat Sparta Prague 2-0 in the first leg. Monaco has made some changes this season that should make them competitive once the CL starts, which means they won’t leave anything to chance in this. 

Soccer Pick: AS Monaco

PSV Eindhoven Vs FC Midtjylland

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

FC Midtjylland beat Vejle BK 4-1 on August 6. Before the match with Vejle, Eindhoven dusted Midtjylland 3-0, which is the reason that even though PSV Eindhoven fell 0-4 to Ajax Amsterdam on August 7, they deserve the nod to win this.    

Soccer Pick: PSV Eindhoven

Olympiakos Vs Ludogorets Razgrad

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

Olympiakos is better known, but Ludogorets Razgrad pushed for a draw in the first head-to-head. Don’t expect a 1-1 draw repeat. In the first match, Ludogorets played Olympiakos on their pitch. Olympiakos plays their rivals on their field. 

Soccer Pick: Olympiakos

CFR Cluj-Napoca Vs Young Boys

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

Swiss Super League power Young Boys played Cluj-Napoca to a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Young Boys dropped a match to FC Scion on August 7. But they’re better than their Romanian League opponents. Expect the Young Boys to turn the tables on Cluj-Napoca.

Soccer Pick: Young Boys

Spartak Moscow Vs Benfica

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

Portuguese Liga team Benfica beat Spartak Moscow 2-0 in the first leg. This happens in Russia, which gives Moscow a shot, but Spartak is in a big hole. With a 2-goal league, Benfica won’t push the attack. Expect a draw. 

Soccer Pick: Draw   

 Dinamo Zagreb Vs Legia Warsaw

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

These teams drew 1-1 in the first match. Legia Warsaw and Dinamo Zagreb show similar form with 4 victories in 4 matches before the draw. Legia Warsaw can force a 0-0 draw and they’d win the aggregate via away goals. Warsaw should complete the mission. 

Soccer Pick: Draw

Malmo FF Vs Rangers

When: Tuesday, Aug. 10

The Rangers are a decent Scottish Premiership team. But Malmo FF beat the Rangers 2-1 in the last head-to-head. Going all out won’t help the Rangers in this. It could lead to an easy score on the other end. Still, with a lead, Malmo won’t force the issue. A draw is possible.   

Soccer Pick: Draw

Soccer Betting News

 
Soccer Betting: What You Need to Know about the Champions League Draw
 

Previous Betting News

Group A: Paris Saint-Germain, Real Madrid, Malmo, Shakhtar Donetsk

The French champion club and the 10-time champions in Real Madrid are the two who should emerge from this group to no surprise of Soccer betting fans , but the reason why they have group play is to see who messes up. Shakhtar Donetsk had to move to Kviv as a result of the Ukraine conflict, but they still played well…until Luiz Adriano left for Milan and Douglas Costa left for Bayern this summer. Malmo will be ready. The first games come on September 15 as PSG takes on Malmo and Real takes on Shakhtar Donetsk.

Manchester United finally have a tough group opponent now that Bundesliga runners-up Wolfsburg are in there with them. PSV has lost Georginio Wijnaldum and Memphis Depay, which could cost them when it comes to emerging from group play. If Manchester City buy Kevin De Bruyne away from Wolfsburg, that would create a huge hole there. For now, Man U and Wolfsburg should emerge. The first games come on September 15 as PSV has Man U and Wolfsburg has CSKA Moscow.

Group C: Benfica, Atletico Madrid, Astana, Galatasaray

No team from Kazakhstan has every qualified for the group stage – until Astana, who have been on a steady climb since they were formed in 2008. Benfica will have a 10-hour flight to play Astana in the group opener, which could potend a tough match. Galatasaray did not win any group tilts last year. Look for Benfica and Atletico Madrid to qualify. On September 15, the other opening match sees Galatasaray and Atletico Madrid facing off.

Group D: Juventus, Manchester City, Borussia Moenchengladbach, Sevilla

Once more, City find themselves in another Champions League “Group of Death” with the Italian champions, the Europa League holders, and Germany’s third best team. Juventus and City should come out. On September 15, City play Juventus and Sevilla must deal with Borussia.

Group E: Barcelona, Roma, Bate Borisov, Bayer Leverkusen

Barcelona shouldn’t have any trouble coming through this group. They beat Bate Borisov 4-0 and 5-0 in 2011 and dominated Bayer Leverkusen 7-1 in 2012 as Lionel Messi tallied five goals. Roma looks like the other team who will come out of this group. They open play on September 16 as Bayer Leverkusen take on Bate Borisov and Roma and Batcelona square off.

Group F: Bayern Munich, Arsenal, Dinamo Zagreb, Olympiakos

Arsenal and Bayern Munich should emerge fairly easy against Olympiakos and the champions of Croatia. Of course, given that Olympiakos is in the middle of a match-fixing investigation makes it an excellent question as to whether they should be even included in the draw at all. On September 16, Olympiakos have Bayern Munich while Dinamo Zagreb face Arsenal.

Group G: Maccabi Tel Aviv, Chelsea, Porto, Dynamo Kyiv

When Jose Mourinho managed Porto, he won the 2004 Champions League title. Now managing Chelsea, Mourinho can revisit the site of his former glory – and rekindle is ongoing feud with Porto goalie Iker Casillas. If Andriy Yarmolenko stays with Dynamo Kyiv, the team could scare some of their foes, but it looks like Porto and Chelsea will come out. On September 16, Dynamo Kyiv face Proto and Maccabi Tel Aviv tackle Chelsea.

Group H: Zenit St. Petersburg, Lyon, Valencia, Gent

Valencia qualified thanks to a playoff win over Monaco, and they are now in a competitive group. Gent shocked Belgium by winning their entry, and Lyon could legitimately challenge Zenit St. Petersburg who still have not made a big dent in the Champions League. Look for Zenit St. Petersburg and Lyon to qualify. September 16 will see Gent taking on Lyon and Valencia dealing with Zenit St. Petersburg.

Sources:

 
 

 

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