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The UEFA Nations League comes to its conclusion on Sunday when Croatia takes on Spain in the tournament’s final. Spain is the favorite to beat Croatia and lift the trophy. Before the Spanish and Croatians step onto the pitch at De Kuip in Rotterdam, host nation Netherlands throws down against Italy in the third place game.

Check out UEFA Nations League lines, analysis, and free picks for Netherlands versus Italy and Spain agianst Croatia.

UEFA Nations League Final & Third Place Odds Right Before Games | MyBookie UEFA Nations League Betting Preview

Netherlands vs. Italy | UEFA Nations League Third Place Game

Handicap Odds: Netherlands -0.5 +125 / Italy +0.5 -161
Money Line Odds: Italy +196 / Netherlands +132 / Draw +225
Over Under Total: O 2.5 -130 / U 2.5 +102
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede, Netherlands
Sunday, June 18 at 9:00 am ET

Why the Netherlands is a good bet versus Italy
Italy’s fans travel well, but the Netherlands should have a decided edge. This happens in the Netherlands, which means it’s a home match for the Dutch.

Not only that, but the Dutch, although the score says otherwise, played well against Croatia in the semifinals. The Netherlands took the same amount of shots 14. 1 more of the Dutch’s shots was on goal than the Croatian’s.

Why Italy is a good bet versus Netherlands
Italy might be the visiting team in this, but the Italians are playing better soccer than the Dutch. Spain beat Italy in the semifinals, but it was by a single goal.

In that match, the Italians yielded possession 38% to 62%. The gambit, encouraging Italy to take bad shots so Italy could counter, almost paid off.

Final Betting Analysis: Netherlands vs. Italy
The Netherlands has home pitch edge, but the Azzurri will have a decent strategy. The Italians have played well during the Nations League tournament.

Also, because Italy didn’t play in last year’s World Cup, the Italians are more motivated than their opponents to secure a third-place trophy. Give the Azzurri the nod.

UEFA Nations League Third Place Pick: Italy | Bet Netherlands vs. Italy Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Croatia vs. Spain | UEFA Nations League Final

Handicap Odds: Spain -0.5 +100 / Croatia +0.5 -128
Money Line Odds: Croatia +265 / Spain +105 / Draw +246
Over Under Total: O 2.5 -103 / U 2.5 -123
De Kuip, Rotterdam, Netherlands
Sunday, June 18 at 2:45 pm ET

Why Croatia is a good bet versus Spain
Among the UEFA Nations League final four, Croatia is playing the best. The Croatians have won 4-of-5. 1 of the wins came against Morocco for third-place at the 2022 World Cup.

Croatia dusted the home nation Netherlands 4-2 in the semifinals. Luka Modric scored the final goal via a penalty kick.

Why Spain is a good bet versus Croatia
In Spain’s victory over Italy, Yeremy Pino scored in the third minute. After Italy tied it up in the eleventh minute via a Ciro Immobile goal, the two squads appeared to be on their way to extra time.

But Joselu got a goal in the eighty-eighth minute. Spain beat a very good team in the semifinals. The Spanish can keep it going in the final.

Final Betting Analysis: Croatia vs. Spain
Spain played well to get by Italy, but we shouldn’t read too much into the victory. There was luck involved in the eighty-eighth minute goal.

More importantly, Croatia has been playing great soccer since last fall when the Croats made it to the semifinals at the World Cup. Luka Modric, Andrej Kramaric, and Mario Pasalic are motivated.

We can’t say the same regarding Spain’s stars. Croatia wins the UEFA Nations League Final.

UEFA Nations League Final Pick: Croatia +265 | Bet Croatia vs. Spain Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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