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US Open 2024: Expert Analysis of WTA Title Favorites and Top Contenders

US Open 2024: Expert Analysis of WTA Title Favorites and Top Contenders

In men’s tennis this year, you could pretty much count on one hand the legitimate contenders in each Grand Slam event so far because that side of the sport is very top-heavy.

That’s definitely not the case on the women’s side as we look at early odds to win the final major of the year, the U.S. Open in New York. It starts on Aug. 26 and world No. 1 Iga Swiatek is the +300 co-favorite on the tennis odds.

Expert Prediction: Swiatek wins her second U.S. Open.

While Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz has largely dominated on the men’s side in majors this year by winning the French Open and Wimbledon and favored to win the U.S. Open, three different women have won Slams this year.

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Aryna Sabalenka

Early this year, Aryna Sabalenka from Belarus repeated at the Australian Open with a 6-3, 6-2 victory over Zheng Qinwen in 76 minutes.

She has previously predicted she would win at least two major titles by the age of 25, and she did it just under the wire in winning the title with the loss of just 31 total games.

Sabalenka became the first woman to defend an Australian Open victory since countrywoman Victoria Azarenka, who won back-to-back titles in 2012 and 2013.

Aryna lost in the quarterfinals of the French Open and then withdrew ahead of Wimbledon because of an injured shoulder.

She should be ready for New York and is also +300 with Swiatek. Sabalenka lost in the 2023 final to American Coco Gauff and has yet to win the U.S. Open.

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Coco Gauff

Gauff, then 19 (now 20) became the 10th teenager to win the U.S. Open women’s title all-time and the first American teenager to be crowned at her home major since Serena Williams won as a 17-year-old in 1999.

In addition to Williams, Gauff joined Tracy Austin, Stefanie Graf, Monica Seles, Martina Hingis, Svetlana Kuznetsova, Maria Sharapova, Bianca Andreescu and Emma Raducanu on New York’s under-20 roll of honor.

(Austin and Seles each did it twice.) Gauff is +550 to repeat.

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Iga Swiatek

Swiatek won the French Open for the third straight year and fourth overall.

She joined Monica Seles and Justine Henin into the record books as the only players to have claimed a threepeat in the women’s singles since the Open era began in 1968.

In addition, Swiatek at age 23 became the youngest woman to win four total French Open titles.

She beat 12th seed Jasmine Paolini of Italy 6-2, 6-1 in the final. Only Chris Evert (seven), Steffi Graf (six) and Henin (four) have won more French Open titles than the Pole. Swiatek was upset in the third round of Wimbledon.

She did win the 2022 U.S. Open title, beating Ons Jabeur 6-2, 7-6(5).

It made Swiatek the first woman to win two Grand Slam singles titles in the same season since Angelique Kerber triumphed at the Australian Open and US Open in 2016.

No one has won two in the same year since.

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Barbora Krejcikova

The rather unlikely winner of Wimbledon this year was No. 31 seed Barbora Krejcikova as she beat No. 7 seed Paolini, the crowd favorite, 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 to claim her first Wimbledon title.

Krejcikova became the eighth woman to win the Wimbledon title since 2016.

The 28-year-old from Czechia had previously won the 2021 French Open title, as well as 11 major titles in doubles and mixed doubles, but she hadn’t advanced past the quarterfinals in singles at a Grand Slam since her triumph in Paris over three years ago.

After a tough season that included a back injury, an illness and an 0-4 record on clay, Krejcikova was hardly considered a favorite to win at the All England Club.

She had never previously advanced past the fourth round.

Krejcikova is now a remarkable 12-1 all-time in Slam finals: a perfect 2-0 in singles, 7-1 in doubles and 3-0 in mixed doubles, along with her women’s doubles gold medal at the Tokyo Olympics.

This past Monday, Krejcikova returned to the WTA’s top 10 for the first time in six months and runner-up Paolini rose to a career-best No. 5. Krejcikova jumped 22 places to No. 10. Krejcikova had last been that high in the rankings the week of Jan. 8; in the past, she reached No. 2 in singles and No. 1 in doubles.

She is +1800 to win the singles title in New York.

Paolini moved up from No. 7 by becoming the first woman since Serena Williams to get to the finals at Wimbledon and the French Open in the same year. Paolini is +2200 to win the U.S. Open for her first major title.

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WTA Top 10 – US Open 2024 Winner Odds

  • Aryna Sabalenka +260
  • Iga Swiatek +260
  • Coco Gauff +500
  • Elena Rybakina +650
  • Naomi Osaka +780
  • Jessica Pegula +1300
  • Mirra Andreeva +1700
  • Ons Jabeur +2000
  • Danielle Collins +2100
  • Barbora Krejcikova +2400
   
 
 

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2017 US Open WTA
  With the incomparable Serena Williams sitting out the 2017 WTA US Open due to the impending birth of her first child, the field is yet again, wide open for the final major of the year, after an unwittingly pregnant Williams bested everyone for the Australian Open championship in January. If you want to know whether or not there will be a fourth different major winner this year, I’ve got the answers you’re looking for in the form of my expert WTA U.S. Open betting lines breakdown. On the other hand, with 20-year-old sensation Jelena Ostapenko claiming the French Open in May to bag the first major of her now, promising career and 23-year-old Garbine Muguruza claiming her second major by winning Wimbledon just over a month ago, tennis betting enthusiasts that have their eyes on the WTA portion of the quickly approaching fourth and final major of the year. Let’s get started.

A Closer Look at the WTA US Open Tennis Betting Odds and Winning Favorites

 

The Favorites

Garbiñe Muguruza +450 Karolina Pliskova +550 Simona Halep +750 Elina Svitolina +1000 Jelena Ostapenko +1300 Analysis: World No. 3 Garbiñe Muguruza (39-15) is the prohibitive favorite and rightfully so, seeing as how she just won Wimbledon over a month ago by mauling an exhausted Venus Williams in the final and comes into the U.S. Open off an equally impressive 6-0, 6-1 smackdown of World No. 2 Simona Halep at the Western & Southern Open championship match in Cincinnati this past Sunday. In addition, I also like the chances of big-serving World No. 1 Karolina Pliskova (42-12) and believe the added motivation of having yet to win a major could lead her to brand new heights at the year’s final major. Simona Halep (39-12) may have lost in the finals at Cincinnati, but she always seems to make the quarters and semis at every tournament she plays in these days and her aggressiveness will give her another good shot to win her first major and second title this year. Consequently, I absolutely love the value that World No. 4 Elina Svitolina (45-10) is offering seeing as how she’s won five titles this year alone. Last but not least, I love the chances of World No. 12 Jelena Ostapenko (34-15) after she won the French Open and backed that up by reaching the quarters at Wimbledon. Ostapenko is a big hitter that goes for her shots with no compunction whatsoever.

2016 US Open Women’s Final Expert Pick

The Contenders

Angelique Kerber +750 Venus Williams +1100 Caroline Wozniacki +1600 Madison Keys +1800 Sloane Stephens +3300 Analysis: Former world No. 1 Angelique Kerber (25-17) dropped three spots to No.6 last week and hasn’t won a title yet this year after her breakthrough 2016 season, so I’m thinking she’s going to be a non-factor. Therefore, the incomparable Venus Williams is ranked an amazing ninth in the world despite being 37-years-old, but I’ve got to believe her energy-sapping auto-immune disease is going to leave her exhausted by the tournament’s second week, much like it did in her Wimbledon final against Muguruza a month ago. World No. 5 Caroline Wozniacki (48-17) is playing outstanding tennis as well for this coming WTA US Open. Nonetheless, World No. 5 Caroline Wozniacki (48-17) is playing outstanding tennis as well and she should be motivated by the fact that she’s winless this year as far as outright titles are concerned. Everyone is still waiting for World No. 16 Madison Keys to make her slam breakthrough, but that’s a hit and miss proposition if you ask me despite her clearly apparent athletic gifts. For me, the best value in my contenders group is coming from World No. 84 Sloane Stephens (8-4) seeing as how she’s not only gotten back into the Top 100, but done so by looking mostly fantastic in Toronto and Cincinnati the last two weeks while beating Kerber and World No. 13 Petra Kvitova along the way.

The Pretenders

Maria Sharapova Johanna Konta +650 Petra Kvitova +1100 Coco Vandeweghe +1600 Agnieszka Radwanksa +2000 Kristina Mladenovic +2800 Svetlana Kuznetsova +3300 Overall Analysis: while all eyes will be on World No. 3 Garbiñe Muguruza, I’m going with World No. 1 Karolina Pliskova to bag her first slam title and become the fourth different major winner this year. In addition, Pliskova moves extremely well for a tall woman and has a bunch of power that only a few players on tour can handle. Moreover, I’m also expecting her to be highly motivated to make her slam breakthrough and believe the fast courts at the U.S. open are perfectly suited to her big serves and big forehand. I’m going with a final four of Pliskova, Muguruza, Simona Halep and Sloane Stephens. WTA US Open Picks: Karolina Pliskova, Simona Halep, Garbiñe Muguruza, Sloane Stephens

LATEST ODDS TO WIN THE 2017 WOMENS US OPEN

GARBINE MUGURUZA +450 KAROLINA PLISKOVA +550 VICTORIA AZARENKA +600 JOHANNA KONTA +650 MARIA SHARAPOVA SIMONA HALEP +750 ANGELIQUE KERBER +750 PETRA KVITOVA +1100 VENUS WILLIAMS +1100 ELINA SVITOLINA +1000 JELENA OSTAPENKO +1300 CAROLINE WOZNIACKI +1600 COCO VANDEWEGHE +1600 MADISON KEYS +1800 AGNIESZKA RADWANSKA +2000 KRISTINA MLADENOVIC +2800 SLOANE STEPHENS +3300 SVETLANA KUZNETSOVA +3300 DARIA KASATKINA +3300 BELINDA BENCIC +3300 EUGENIE BOUCHARD +3300 LUCIE SAFAROVA +4000 DOMINIKA CIBULKOVA +4000 ANETT KONTAVEIT +4000 TIMEA BACSINSZKY +5500 ANASTASIA PAVLYUCHENKOVA +5500 ASHLEIGH BARTY +6600 NAOMI OSAKA +6600 EKATERINA MAKAROVA +8000 CAROLINE GARCIA +8000 ANA KONJUH +8000 MARKETA VONDROUSOVA +8000 DARIA GAVRILOVA +8000 KIKI BERTENS +8000 ROBERTA VINCI +8000  
 
 
 

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