Chiefs vs Broncos Odds: Betting Preview & Pick to Win

Betting Chiefs vs Broncos Pick for 2025 NFL Week 18: Analysis and Expert Predictions

 

As the NFL heads into Week 18, our Chiefs vs Broncos pick focuses on a key matchup where the Kansas City Chiefs are set to face the Denver Broncos. With the Chiefs having already clinched the top seed, they’re expected to rest many of their starters, which has led to Denver being a significant -8.5 favorite at home to hand Kansas City their second loss of the season. However, the Chiefs’ second team could have the motivation to play spoiler and end the Broncos’ playoff hopes with a strong performance.

 

Betting Chiefs vs Broncos Pick for the 2025 NFL Week 18
NFL Week 18 Face-Off: Don’t Miss Out on the Betting Action

2025 NFL Season | 104th season of National League in the United States
Week 18: Saturday, January 4th – Sunday, January 5th, 2025

 

Betting 2025 Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Week 18 Game

Top seed Kansas City will rest most of their starters in NFL Week 18, which is why the Denver Broncos are a massive -8.5 favorite at home to hand KC their second loss of the season.

The Chiefs head to Mile High not requiring a victory.

However, playing well and ending Denver’s quest for a playoff spot may be enough of an incentive for the Chiefs’ second team to get it done.

Check out NFL odds, analysis, and picks for Kansas City at Denver.

 

NFL Week 18 Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) at Denver Broncos (9-7)
Sunday, January 5th, 2025 at 4:25 PM EST CBS | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

ATS Odds: Chiefs -11
Money line Odds: Kansas City -725 / Denver +490
Over/Under Odds: 40

 

Writer’s Pick for the Chiefs vs Broncos Game Starting Sunday’s Round of Action

Why Bet Kansas City versus Denver

Even if the Chiefs sit their top players like Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, George Karlaftis and Chris Jones, the Chiefs have a deep enough bench to keep this game closer than the spread.

At one time, backup QB Carson Wentz was an NFL MVP candidate.

Wentz’s career has taken a turn south for sure but he remains a capable quarterback.

Kareem Hunt and Samaje Perine are likely to play in this.

KC should also have many of their second team defenders in this game.

Because the Chiefs have a deep bench, they must be taken seriously to at least cover the spread.

Kansas City Betting Stats

  • Record – 15-1
  • ATS – 8-8
  • O/U – 7-9
  • Away – 7-1
  • Home – 8-0

 

Why Bet Denver versus Kansas City 

In Sean Payton’s second season, the Denver Broncos are on the verge of scoring a playoff berth.

Denver’s season didn’t start out well but as rookie quarterback Bo Nix improved, so did the team.

The Broncos sit at 9-7.

Their chances of making the playoffs depends on Week 18.

If they win and Cincinnati loses, the Broncos are in.

If Cincinnati wins and Denver loses, the Broncos are out.

The Miami Dolphins are also alive.

Both Miami and Cincinnati have 8 losses.

So the Broncos are in if they win this game.

We should expect Denver to pull out all the stops, which means Sean Payton is going to open his playbook.

Denver Betting Stats

  • Record 9-7
  • ATS – 11-5
  • O/U – 11-5
  • Away – 4-5
  • Home – 5-2

 

Final Kansas City at Denver Betting Picks for the Game

Kansas City is good enough to keep this game close even if they sit every starter on both offense and defense.

But the Denver Broncos are motivated to get the deal done.

The Broncos had a real shot of knocking out Cincinnati in their last game.

A win would have sent Denver to the playoffs.

Joe Burrow hooked up with Tee Higgins for multiple touchdowns to ensure the Bengals kept their playoff hopes alive.

Denver won’t let another shot at the NFL postseason pass them by.

Kanss City must do more than sit their starters.

They must play a conservative game because if Wentz gets hurt, the Chiefs could be in trouble heading to the playoffs with only Patrick Mahomes healthy enough to play.

Expect the Chiefs to run the ball and try to speed up the clock.

Denver will go all out on both sides to ensure a win.

Broncos cover in an under contest.

NFL ATS Pick: Chiefs -11
NFL Total Pick: Under 40

 

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Kansas City at Denver Betting Trends Today

  • Kansas City are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
  • Kansas City are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver.
  • Total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
  • Total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC West division.
  • Kansas City are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played in January.
  • Denver are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
  • Denver are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver’s last 9 games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC West division.
  • Denver are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played in January.

(Check out: NFL ATS Week 18 betting picks, that’s a rundown on to the top games.)


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Is there a Rivalry between Chiefs vs Broncos? Let’s Find Out
 

Yes, there is a longstanding rivalry between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos, and it is considered one of the most intense rivalries in the NFL. This rivalry is steeped in history, and while it has ebbed and flowed over the years in terms of competitiveness, it remains one of the league’s most closely watched matchups, especially when these two teams face off in the AFC West division.

Key Elements of the Chiefs vs Broncos Rivalry:

  1. Historical Background:
    The Chiefs and Broncos first met in 1960, during the inaugural season of the American Football League (AFL), before the NFL and AFL merged in 1970.
    Over the years, both teams have experienced periods of dominance in the AFC West, but this rivalry has always remained competitive due to the proximity of the two teams and the passionate fan bases in Kansas City and Denver.
    The Broncos and Chiefs are two of the original AFL teams, and their shared history in the league makes the rivalry even more intense. The teams have often been playoff contenders, which increases the stakes when they meet.
  2. Competitive Play and Divisional Implications:
    As members of the AFC West, the Chiefs and Broncos face each other twice a season.
    These games are often crucial not only for playoff implications but also for divisional supremacy.
    The rivalry typically sees both teams fighting for the top spot in the division, which adds fuel to the competitive fire.
    While the rivalry has had its ups and downs in terms of on-field success, both teams have had stretches of dominance.
    For example, the Broncos won back-to-back Super Bowls in the late 1990s, while the Chiefs have been the dominant team in the division in recent years, particularly with the arrival of Patrick Mahomes at quarterback.
  3. High-Profile Games and Memorable Moments:
    One of the most famous moments in the rivalry occurred in 1997, when the Broncos beat the Chiefs 10-7 in a crucial Week 17 game to win the AFC West title.
    The game is remembered for its intense defensive battle and for being a high-stakes contest.
    Another memorable game came in 2015 when the Chiefs ended a 16-game losing streak to the Broncos in Denver.
    This win marked a shift in the rivalry, with the Chiefs eventually becoming the dominant force in the division.
  4. Quarterback Play and the Rivalry’s Evolution:
    Quarterback play has often been a key storyline in this rivalry. Legendary quarterbacks like John Elway for the Broncos and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs have added extra intrigue to these matchups.
    Elway, a Hall of Famer and two-time Super Bowl champion, was often the face of the Broncos’ success during their 1990s glory years, while Mahomes has made the Chiefs one of the most feared teams in the NFL since his arrival in 2017.
    Over the years, the rivalry has also featured other notable quarterbacks like Peyton Manning for the Broncos, who led the team to the Super Bowl in 2015, and Matt Cassel or Alex Smith for the Chiefs, who have both had their fair share of competitive games against Denver.
  5. Fan Base Passion:
    The Chiefs and Broncos fan bases are known for being incredibly passionate and loyal, and both sets of fans take great pride in the rivalry.
    Fans from Kansas City and Denver always mark the Chiefs vs Broncos games on their calendars, often traveling to away games to support their team in this heated divisional rivalry.
    The rivalry’s energy is palpable at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City and Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, where the atmosphere is electric when these two teams meet.
  6. Recent Developments:
    In recent years, the rivalry has shifted toward Kansas City’s favor, thanks in large part to Patrick Mahomes’ rise as one of the league’s most electrifying quarterbacks.
    Since Mahomes became the starter in 2018, the Chiefs have dominated the rivalry, with the Broncos struggling to find consistency at the quarterback position.
    The Chiefs’ high-powered offense and their frequent playoff appearances have further cemented their role as the top team in the AFC West, although the Broncos are still looking to regain their competitive edge.
  7. Impact of the Rivalry on the AFC West:
    While the rivalry is a longstanding one, both teams’ fortunes have fluctuated over the years, with the Broncos’ dominance in the late 1990s and early 2000s eventually giving way to the Chiefs’ current period of supremacy.
    The rivalry continues to be a barometer for the future of the AFC West and frequently has implications for playoff positioning.
    With the Chiefs now firmly in control of the division in recent seasons, each Chiefs vs Broncos game has become a chance for Denver to prove they can compete and potentially spoil Kansas City’s quest for another division title or top playoff spot.

The Chiefs vs Broncos rivalry remains one of the NFL’s most historic and heated matchups, with plenty of drama, passion, and high-stakes moments.

Whether it’s the battle for AFC West supremacy, the ongoing quarterback drama, or the impact on playoff seeding, every meeting between these two teams brings excitement and intrigue. Despite the Chiefs’ recent dominance, the rivalry is far from one-sided, and with both teams looking toward the future, this rivalry will remain an essential part of the AFC landscape for years to come.

 
 

   
 

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Chiefs vs Broncos Odds: Betting Preview & Pick to Win this Game in Week 8
 

Previous Betting News

The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos are slated to mix it up on Sunday in Week 8 of the National Football League. The Kansas City Chiefs are coming into the game with the best record in the AFC.

Kansas City has won six straight games since losing their season opener to Detroit. The Chiefs are leading the AFC West.

For Denver, they are 2-5 on the season. The Broncos are coming off a win over Green Bay last week. The Broncos are looking to get revenge from the game earlier this month that finished 19-8 in favor of the Chiefs, in Kansas City.

The Chiefs are -7 in this game over the Broncos. The total for this affair is listed at 46.5 points.

MyBookie offers the NFL lines, game analysis, and free pick for Kansas City Chiefs versus the Denver Broncos which are playing on Week 8 of the NFL season.

Chiefs vs Broncos Odds and Betting Prediction for this Week 8 Matchup | MyBookie NFL Week 8 Regular Season Preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos | NFL Week 8
ATS: Chiefs -7
Money line: Chiefs -340 / Broncos +265
Over/Under: 46

Sunday, October 29th, 2023 at 4:25 pm ET | CBS
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Kansas City Seeking Seventh Straight

Kansas City seemingly is not even playing great football. They are playing well enough to win six straight games. The Chiefs are scoring 25.4 points per game, which is the 6th most in the National Football League.

Defensively, though, Kansas City has been impressive, allowing just 15 points per game. Back to the offense – they are doing their work with the passing game. 

Patrick Mahomes anchors an offense that is throwing for more than 285 yards per game. His favorite target has been Travis Kelce. The tight end for the Chiefs has caught 48 passes for 525 yards and four touchdowns.

The run game is led by Isiah Pacheco, with 419 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. Kansas City is 18th with 111.3 yards per game via the ground.

The Chiefs will play this game and then head to Germany, where they will face the Dolphins in a big game overseas.

Denver Seeking Big Opportunity Win

The Denver Broncos are seeking an opportunity to come away with a massive win. The Broncos need it to jump-start them a bit, sitting at 2-5. The Broncos are 1-3 at home, coming off their first win last week against the Packers.

Russell Wilson has had another tough season, but his numbers are improving. Coming into this game, the signal caller had 13 touchdowns and four interceptions, and just shy of 1,500 yards.

Cortland Sutton is his main man in the passing game. Sutton has 31 catches for 351 yards and five touchdowns. The Broncos run game is picking up just shy of 112 yards per game and is led by Javonte Williams. Williams has yet to score a rushing touchdown this season, though.

The Broncos have this home game, which is their second straight, and then will take their bye week. After the bye, the Broncos are on the road at the Buffalo Bills before coming home to host the Vikings and Bengals. This is the first year under new head coach Sean Payton.

Chiefs vs Broncos Odds and Betting Prediction | Chiefs Repeat Week 6 Win

The Kansas City Chiefs are going to win again. The Chiefs have figured out the Broncos, and Denver is having a hard enough time moving the football. Kansas City continues to get better week by week.

If the Chiefs can avoid turning the football over, this game is not going to be close. Look for the Chiefs’ offense to score more than they did last time. The final bet for this game on Sunday is the Kansas City Chiefs -7.

Our final score prediction is Kansas City 30-17 over the Denver Broncos. We expect another great performance from Mahomes and Kelce and the frustrated Broncos to not be able to hang in.

NFL Week 8 Pick: ATS Chiefs -7 | Bet Chiefs vs Broncos
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

The following NFL betting odds are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

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