March Madness Final Four ATS Picks

Posted by Eric Williams on March 29, 2016 in

Winner, winner, chicken dinner! Play time is officially over college basketball betting fans! It’s time to get down to the business at hand…picking both Final Four ATS winners! To that end, you’re about to get a pair of free Final Four ATS picks that are sure to please. Now, let’s rock and roll!

March Madness Final Four ATS Picks

Villanova vs. Oklahoma

When: 6:09 PM  ET, Saturday, April 2, 2016
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
NCAA Final Four Odds: Villanova -2
Total: 146


Game Analysis: The bottom line for me for this contest is this. The Oklahoma Sooners  (29-7 SU, 14-20 ATS) have one superstar scorer in All-American Buddy Hield (25.4 ppg) and three other ‘good’ players that all average double digits in scoring.

While Villanova (33-5 SU, 19-17 ATS) also has four players that average double figures in scoring, the Wildcats really have seven players that make significant contributions every time out, including second-leading scorer Kris Jenkins, the team’s best player over the last month or so. On top of that, Villanova is also the better defensive ballclub in this matchup. The Wildcats limit their opponents to just 63.6 points per game while Oklahoma gives up an average of 70.4 points per game.

Villanova is also the better shooting team from the field and has a big edge at the free throw stripe. The Wildcats have not allowed more than 69 points in seven straight games and I expect them to limit Oklahoma to a figure right around that total. Not only that, but the Wildcats had scored 86 points or more in each of their first three tourney games until their 64-59 defensive victory against Kansas in the Elite Eight.

Oklahoma gave up a whopping 81 points in their second round win over VCU and could be had again against a Villanova team that has a bunch of guys that can all put the ball in the hole consistently. Mark my words, Villanova forward Kris Jenkins and 6-11 center Daniel Ochefu are the key players that will lift Villanova to victory.

The Wildcats are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games while the Sooners are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning SU record. I like the well-balanced Wildcats to get the SU win and ATS cover.

The Pick: Villanova 82 Oklahoma 76


No. 10 Syracuse vs. No. 1 North Carolina

When: 8:49 PM  ET, Saturday, April 2, 2016
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
NCAA Final Four Odds: North Carolina -9.5
Total: 149

Game Analysis: Let me get right to the point by saying that there is no way that the Syracuse Orange (23-13 SU, 20-15 ATS) are going to take down the absolutely loaded North Carolina Tar Heels (32-6 SU, 19-18-1 ATS) in their Final Four matchup on Saturday. I know, it sounds like I’m completely dismissing Syracuse’s unmatched ability to overcome adversity – and second half deficits – but really, I’m not…it’s just the ‘realist’ in me taking.

Carolina averages almost 13 points per game more than Syracuse and while the Orange are the better defensive ballclub by 5.3 points per contest, they simply don’t have enough bullets in their handgun to take down a Carolina team whose offensive efficiency is a lot closer to resembling an automatic weapon.

North Carolina has already beaten their ACC foes twice this season and I expect them to get the ‘trifecta’ by beating the Orange again, in nearly identical fashion to their five-point home win over Syracuse on February 29. While I definitely like the Tar Heels to get the SU win to advance to the national championship, I do like the Orange to cover the spread as a nearly double digit underdog.

While Carolina has gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games against their ACC conference rivals Syracuse is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games and 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings against the Tar Heels.

The Pick: North Carolina 77 Syracuse 70