3 Reasons to Bet the Under for Super Bowl LVIII

Super Bowl LVIII is approaching. The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will invade Las Vegas to decide the champion of the National Football League. There will be tons of opportunities to get your bets in for the big game.

As we know, there will be countless opportunities to bet on Super Bowl LVIII. We want to discuss betting the UNDER in this game. Here we are with 3 Reason to bet the UNDER for the Super Bowl:

3 Reasons to Bet the Under for Super Bowl | MyBookie NFL Playoff Preview for the Big Game

Super Bowl LVIII | 58th edition of the annual league championship game of the National Football League
Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers
ATS Odds: 49ers -2
Money line Odds: Kansas City Chiefs Line: +110 / San Francisco 49ers Line: -130
Over/Under Odds: 47.5

Sunday, February 11th, 2024 at 6:30 pm ET | CBS
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Kansas City Defense Allowed 13.7 points in Regular Season, and 13.6 points per game in the postseason.

Kansas City was the second best defense in the National Football League during the regular season. They allowed just 13.7 points per game. As the end of the season came, they allowed 20, 17, 10, 17 and 12 in their final five games of the season. In the postseason, the only team to score more than 10 points was Buffalo. Josh Allen and his offense was able to get 24 on the board against them.

The defense is only allowing 209.7 passing yards per game, and 113 rushing yards. The Chiefs defense is one of the best on third down as well, with a 29.7%. Justin Reid was the top tackler for the Chiefs in the regular season. He finished with 74 on the season. Trent McDuffie was second, and L’Jarius Sneed was third. George Karlaftis is another guy that can wreck a game, and there is no doubt he will put the pressure on Brock Purdy early and often.

He finished the season with 10.5 sacks. If the Chiefs want an interception, Sneed or Nick Bolton are their top guys. The Chiefs did not score a touchdown on an interception this season, which would also help the under. Trent McDuffie led the team with five forced fumbles for Kansas City this season.

Fred Warner, Dre Greenlaw and Nic Bosa

These three are the dominating force that puts Kyle Shanahan’s 49ers defense together. These three guys seemingly are in on every play for the 49ers defense. Warner led the win over the Lions with nine tackles in the game and 4 assists. Greenlaw was the player of the game in the first win over the Packers, and Nick Bosa had two sacks in the win over the Lions.

On the season these three put up quite the numbers. Warner led the team with 82 solo tackles. Greenlaw was second, while Bosa had 34, with 10.5 sacks on the season. When it comes to causing turnovers, Warner was a machine with four interceptions and four forced fumbles. Bosa also forced two fumbles as well.

We already know the difference maker Greenlaw is when it comes to interceptions. These three guys can wreck the game of Patrick Mahomes, and make a difference maker quickly.

3 of the Last 5 Super Bowls have Gone Under

While the over has been a little more successful than the UNDER in the big game, the trend of UNDERS is 3-2 in their last 5. Last season, the Chiefs and Eagles saw a shoot-out, and the last time these two teams played, they scored 51. The other three, which included a 13-3 Patriots win over the Rams, a 31-9 Tampa Bay win over Kansas City and a 23-20 Rams win over the Bengals ALL stayed under.

While this is not the most scientific of trends, we do like that there has been some recent history siding with the under. Too many have an expectation that all the Super Bowl games are shoot-outs, and that is not the case. Do not be afraid to bet the UNDER, as history since 2019 is on your side!

There is absolutely no doubt that Kansas City Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnulo and head coach Andy Reid would love this game to stay under. They are looking to get the defense off the field and into the hands of their quarterback Patrick Mahomes. For the 49ers, Steve Wilks is in his first season as the defensive coordinator.

He took over for Demeco Ryans, who went on to be head coach of the Houston Texans. Wilks, joined with Kyle Shanahan has seen his defense a little under fire after allowing Detroit to score 31 points and the Packers to put up 21 last week. There is no doubt the extra week is going to give both these coordinators a chance to shore up the mistakes of the last two weeks.

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There you have it. We hope you enjoyed our look at the big game coming up. Super Bowl LVIII. The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.

Can the Chiefs repeat? Will the 49ers play the spoiler and win, and be sure to not let Patrick Mahomes and company repeat? We will find out.

Good luck with all your Super Bowl betting, and we hope you followed along with our 3 Reasons to bet the UNDER for the Super Bowl!

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

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3 Reasons to Bet the Under for Super Bowl LIV

Previous Betting News

We are in the final few days before we get to enjoy what should be a very exciting Super Bowl. The Kansas City Chiefs, who are appearing in the big game for the first time in 50 years, will be squaring off against the San Francisco 49ers. There are going to be countless ways to wager on this game, with everything from the length of the national anthem to the first score all up for grabs in the prop bet section. For the purposes of this piece, though, we are going to solely focus on the point total, and the UNDER in particular. We will be looking at reasons for betting the OVER in a separate piece, but for now, let’s look at 3 reasons why you might want to play the UNDER in Super Bowl LIV.

3 Reasons to Bet the Under for Super Bowl LIV

The Kansas City Chiefs and the UNDER

Over the course of the season and the playoffs, the Kansas City Chiefs have gone 10-8 O/U, so they are certainly leaning a little more towards the OVER here. If we look at the games that the Chiefs started as a favorite, which they will do this coming Sunday, the results are more of the same, with the O/U in those matchups sitting at 8-7.

While it has been the OVER that has hit in both playoff games for Kansas City, it is worth looking back at the final few weeks of the season. The Chiefs defense got hot, which helped the UNDER hit in 5 of their last 6 regular season games. Given the Chiefs offensive prowess, the UNDER is always a bit of a gamble.

The San Francisco 49ers and the UNDER

The 49ers have a very similar record to that of the Chiefs wen we talk about the point total this season, going 9-8-1 O/U through the regular season and the playoffs. Again, this would suggest that the OVER would be the play to make here, but things slide in the favor of the UNDER, just a little, when you look at the 49ers as an underdog this season.

In those 5 games, the O/U came in at 2-3, so still not an entirely convincing argument for the UNDER to be found there. While the Super Bowl is a neutral site game, both teams taking part are assigned as either the home or away team. The 49ers are listed as the away team, and while this particular stat should not be taken too seriously, they were 3-4-1 in road games this season.

Historical Data

The point total for Super Bowl LIV is currently sitting at 54 ½, which could well be seen as a pretty big point total for a championship game. If we look at the previous 53 Super Bowls, we see that only 15 of those games have gone over that point total. Simple math tells us that 38 of the 53 games have seen less than 54 ½ points scored, which is a pretty convincing argument for the UNDER.

3 Reasons To Bet The UNDER In 2017 NFL Super Bowl 51

Previous Betting News

We are now only a few days away from the spectacle that is the Super Bowl, and there is already a lot of talk that we might be in for a shootout that would make the events at the OK Corral seem like a minor skirmish. The bookies tend to agree with this notion, as they have set the OVER/UNDER at 59 points, which is the highest total ever for the championship game. That is a big number for the New England Patriots and the Atlanta Falcons to attain, yet everyone that I have spoken to seems to agree that the total will be eclipsed quite easily. I’m going to leave my predictions for articles later this week, and for now, I’m going to look at 3 reasons as to why this game might fall UNDER the total and before you wager on NFL playoffs, cash in on the updated Super Bowl.

3 Reasons To Bet The UNDER In 2017 NFL Super Bowl 51

Two High Scoring Teams Doesn’t Always Equal A High Scoring Game

We all assume that a pair of high-powered offenses are simply going to go out and do what they always so when the Super Bowl rolls around. This isn’t always the case, though, as you quite often get one defensive unit rising to the occasion and slowing the other team down. Yes, the Falcons are the highest scoring team in the league, but let’s not forget that the New England Patriots have the best defense in the league. You only need a few big defensive stops to keep points off the board, which can have a direct effect on a point total that is set this high. If you need proof of this, just look at the last time the point total was in the 50’s. That came in Super Bowl 44 when Drew Brees and Peyton Manning went head to head. The Saints and Colts had two of the best offenses ever assembled, but still fell short of the 57-point total, with the Colts only managing 17 points.

Big Game Jitters from the Falcons

The New England Patriots are an organization that has made a habit of heading to the Super Bowl, so they will be well aware of the pressure that comes with the big game. This is not something that can be said for Matt Ryan and the Falcons. Keep in mind that prior to this season, there were serious questions about Ryan’s ability to get the job done in the postseason. Yes, he has looked calm and poised in the playoffs this year, but better QB’s than him have come unglued when playing in the big one, especially for the first time.

More Field Goals than TD’s

While the OVER/UNDER number has been set high because of the play of both of these teams offensively, it also has to be said that part of the reason for the big number is down to the “bend, but don’t break” philosophy of both defenses. Both teams are going to give up yards, but if they batten down the hatches in the red zone, we could be looking at a lot of field goals hitting the board. You have just 3 big drives ending in FG’s instead of TD’s, you are looking at 12 points shaved off the game total. This seems like the most likely way the score will stay UNDER in SB51.