Vikings vs. Saints NFC Divisional Round Betting Odds & Expert Pick

Posted by Eric Williams on Thursday,January 11, 2018 11:41, EST in

The Minnesota Vikings got a first-round bye after earning the No. 2 seed in the NFC playoffs following their fantastic 13-win regular season campaign. Now, however, the Vikes need to be on full alert in order to avoid a home upset at the Divisional Round betting odds in their showdown against Drew Brees and a New Orleans Saints team that is playing some inspiring football right now.

If you’re looking to cash in on this NFC divisional showdown, then let’s find out where the NFL betting value of this contest lies. Minnesota will host New Orleans on Sunday, January 14, 2018, 4:40 PM ET, live from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

New Orleans at Minnesota NFC Divisional Round Betting Odds & Expert Pick

  • When: Sunday, January 14, 2018, 4:40 PM ET
  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • TV: FOX
  • Radio: 105.3 FM (New Orleans) / 100.3 FM (Minnesota)
  • Streaming Option: NFL Live
  • Divisional Round Betting Odds: Minnesota Vikings -4 (Over/Under at 45.5 points)

Weather Forecast

  • Snow Showers: -11°C/13°F
  • Humidity: 65%
  • Precipitation: 72%
  • Cloud Cover: 99%
  • Wind: 10 mph S
  • Stadium Type: Indoor

Jaguars at Steelers AFC Divisional Round NFL Lines & Prediction

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 32
  • First Meeting: 10/13/1968 (Minnesota Vikings 17 – New Orleans Saints 20)
  • Last Meeting: 09/11/2017 (New Orleans Saints 19 – Minnesota Vikings 29)
  • All-Time Series: Minnesota Vikings lead series 21-11-0
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Minnesota Vikings by 42 points
  • Longest Win Streak: Minnesota Vikings winning 6
  • Current Win Streak: Minnesota Vikings winning 1

Why consider the Saints Divisional Round Betting Odds?

Why consider betting on the Saints in this NFC divisional matchup? Because they’re playing outstanding football and have the best quarterback in this matchup. New Orleans beat Carolina for the third time this season in their 31-26 wild-card win over the Panthers on Sunday as future Hall of Fame signal-caller Drew Brees passed for 376 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while rookie running back Alvin Kamara continued to build on his phenomenal first season by adding one rushing score in the win.

Defensively, the Saints recorded four sacks on elusive Carolina quarterback Cam Newton and forced the Panthers to settle for four field goals instead of allowing their NFC South rivals to get in the end zone.

New Orleans will be looking for payback after getting smacked around in their 29-19 Week 1 loss against the Vikings as Brees was limited to one TD pass and the Saints were held to just 60 rushing yards and then, Minnesota starter Sam Bradford tossed three TD passes. Of course, that was when the Saints still had the veteran running back Adrian Peterson on their roster and when the Vikings were featuring rookie Dalvin Cook as their No. 1 running back.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 28.18
  • Total Yards: 392.53
  • Rush Yards: 124.18
  • Passing Yards: 268.35

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 20.71
  • Total Yards: 341.00
  • Rush Yards: 111.41
  • Passing Yards: 229.59

Why consider the Vikings Divisional Round Betting Odds?

Why consider betting on Minnesota in this contest? Because they’ve got the league’s best defense and already proved they could beat New Orleans this season. While a lot has changed since that Week 1 meeting, there’s a reason the Vikings are favored in their divisional round rematch.

Playing at home, the Divisional Round Betting Odds are by the Vikings side.

Minnesota finished the regular season ranked first in total defense, second against the pass, second against the run and first in points allowed (15.8 ppg). Not only that, but since the Vikings lost Bradford to an injury, they’ve completely taken off under career backup Case Keenum while veteran running back Latavius Murray has been a handful for opponents since taking over for the injured Cook as Minnesota’s No. 1 running back.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 23.88
  • Total Yards: 356.87
  • Rush Yards: 122.31
  • Passing Yards: 234.56

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 15.75
  • Total Yards: 275.94
  • Rush Yards: 83.56
  • Passing Yards: 192.38

Latest NFC Divisional Round Betting Trends

  • New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New Orleans is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
  • Minnesota is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Minnesota is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction

The Vikings closed out the regular season by winning three straight games and an incendiary 11 of their final 12 regular season games overall. Conversely, New Orleans struggled in dropping three of their final six regular-season games before holding on to beat Carolina in their wild-card matchup.

As much as I love Drew Brees and believe the Saints have a decent chance of pulling off the upset in this contest, I’m going to advise you to back the Minnesota Vikings to get the big home win and narrowly cover the chalk because of their outstanding defense.

Minnesota has held each of their last three opponents and five of their final seven opponents overall, with 10 points or less. The Vikings are also a blistering 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games while the Saints have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight games while failing to cover the chalk as a 6.5-point home favorite against Carolina this past weekend.

Even with their explosive offense, I believe New Orleans is going to find scoring very difficult against Minnesota and I’m also thinking Case Keenum and the Vikings’ offense will be able to put just enough points on the board to make a home win and narrow ATS cover stand up.

Pick: Minnesota Vikings -3.5